Justin
Dowling
C · NYR · Balanced · Very poor
- PAL
- 13
- WAR
- -0.3
- Value
- 29
- PTS
- 7
2024-25№ 530 / 596
Justin Dowling (New York Rangers) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Justin Dowling
#37CPlays: Centre · 83% of faceoffs
New York Rangers
HEIGHT : 178 cm · WEIGHT : 83 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : September 30, 1990 · Calgary, Canada
Contract : $775,000 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | New York Rangers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | New York Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-25 | New Jersey Devils | 52 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 2023-24 | New Jersey Devils | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2021-22 | Vancouver Canucks | 22 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 2020-21 | Dallas Stars | 27 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 2019-20 | Dallas Stars | 29 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
| 2018-19 | Dallas Stars | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2016-17 | Dallas Stars | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| NHL totals | 158 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 24 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | New Jersey Devils | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-20 | Dallas Stars | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018-19 | Dallas Stars | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
Justin Dowling: our analysis
2024-25 season: 52 GP, 2 G, 5 A, 7 PTS, -6 +/-, 10:13 TOI. WAR -0.3 (530th of 596) · PAL 13, very poor.
In 2024-25, Justin Dowling, 36, posts a PAL Rating of 13 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.3 ranks 530th among 596 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
On the other hand, shooting (2, among the weakest in the league) and offense (4, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+0.2); his biggest cost: finishing (-2.7).
His WAR went from 0.1 in 2023-24 to -0.3.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 29 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Justin Dowling's story
Born in Cochrane, Alberta on October 1, 1990, Justin Dowling came up through local programs, spending a season with the Airdrie Xtreme before two seasons with the UFA Bisons from 2005 to 2007 and attending Bow Valley High School while advancing toward junior hockey.
Unsigned in the NHL Entry Draft, Dowling turned to major junior hockey with the Swift Current Broncos of the WHL. He finished his junior career as the Broncos’ captain in 2010–11, recording 20 goals and 67 points in 63 games. Although the team did not reach the playoffs that year, he earned his first professional opportunity by signing an amateur try-out with the Abbotsford Heat on March 25, 2011 and made his AHL debut.
Dowling began 2012–13 in the ECHL with the Idaho Steelheads before the Texas Stars acquired him mid-season. Strong AHL play led to a two-year NHL contract with the Dallas Stars on March 26, 2014, and he produced seasons of 50 and 46 points with Texas during that initial contract. Dallas extended him on a one-year, two-way deal on May 31, 2016.
He made his NHL debut for Dallas on October 25, 2016, adding an assist in a 3–2 victory over the Winnipeg Jets, then returned to Texas days later. He scored his first NHL goal on November 13, 2019 against the Calgary Flames. After nine seasons within the Stars organization, Dowling signed a two-year, $1.5 million contract with the Vancouver Canucks on July 28, 2021, then joined the New Jersey Devils on a two-year, two-way deal on July 1, 2023; he recorded a goal in his Devils debut on January 25, 2024.
Dowling was part of a Calder Cup championship in 2013–2014 at the AHL level. As a centre, he is known for consistent offensive contributions in the AHL and the ability to fill complementary roles at the NHL level, moving between leadership duties in the minors and support assignments in the big league.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 7:30
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:00
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.25
- EV points
- 1
- Hits
- 3
- Blocks
- 2
- Takeaways
- 0
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 38.9 %
- Off. zone starts
- 24.0 %
- Faceoffs
- 36.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
3between 1 and 10 (80% range)
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 2
- Games
- 20
So far: 1 pts in 4 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.10 pts per game (last season: 0.00).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2024-25
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 35 %
62
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 70
- Confidence 67 %
- ST
- Strength
- 70
- Confidence 40 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 60
- Confidence 50 %
- DU
- Durability
- 51
- Confidence 67 %
- CK
- Checking
- 78
- Confidence 40 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 78
- Confidence 25 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 73
- Confidence 40 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 74
- Confidence 45 %
- PA
- Passing
- 68
- Confidence 35 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 65
- Confidence 35 %
- DF
- Defense
- 76
- Confidence 31 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 68
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating70
- Top speed (35 %)35.1 · 58
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)7.634 · 80
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.9 · 83
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.6 · 63
ST — Strength70
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.262 · 81
- Body mass (50 %)-1.337 · 57
EN — Endurance60
- Ice time per game (45 %)12.4 · 60
- Total ice time (20 %)507 · 54
- Shift length (15 %)42.3 · 64
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)12.2 · 64
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.193 · 54
DU — Durability51
- Share of games played (100 %)0.622 · 51
CK — Checking78
- Hits /60 (70 %)5.087 · 78
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)4.988 · 80
- Season volume (10 %)3.912 · 71
FG — Fighting78
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.855 · 78
DI — Discipline73
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.011 · 72
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.502 · 80
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.568 · 64
FO — Faceoffs74
- Faceoff % (85 %)49.5 · 74
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)38.5 · 74
PA — Passing68
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.511 · 63
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.437 · 72
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.002 · 70
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.752 · 79
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.388 · 68
SC — Scoring65
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.613 · 64
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.654 · 65
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.315 · 69
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.054 · 69
- xG per shot (10 %)0.08 · 70
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)11.8 · 71
DF — Defense76
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.015 · 76
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.028 · 75
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.474 · 81
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.017 · 71
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.344 · 65
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)55.9 · 87
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.915 · 78
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)29.3 · 76
EX — Experience68
- Career regular-season games (65 %)71
- Career playoff games (25 %)57
- NHL seasons (10 %)78
OV — Overall62
- SC · Scoring (20 %)65
- PA · Passing (20 %)68
- DF · Defense (20 %)76
- SK · Skating (12 %)70
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)74
- EN · Endurance (8 %)60
- DI · Discipline (5 %)73
- ST · Strength (3 %)70
- CK · Checking (2 %)78
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2024-25
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
PAL Rating
13/ 100
Performance · Very poor
389 of 451 at the position
Value Rating
29/ 100
Poor return
0.78 M$ · expected PAL 28
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 6
- Defense
- 49
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 4
- Creation
- 12
- Shooting
- 2
- Possession
- 33
- Defense
- 61
- Discipline
- 40
- Power play
- 34
- Penalty kill
- 15
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
Hockey IQ, 2024-25
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
32/ 100
Below average
better than 32% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
0/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
97/ 100
Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 270 of 399 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 13
- Shot selection
- 8
- Penalties drawn
- 5
- Puck management
- 5
Defense
- Takeaways
- 97
- Discipline
- 85
- Safe zone exits
- 46
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.0
wins above replacement
-0.1 to 0.0 — 90% interval
419 of 615 forwards
-0.1 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.0
- EV defense
- 0.0
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -0.2
- Penalties
- 0.0
- Average → replacement
- +0.0
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYR | 2 | -0.0 | -0.1 to 0.0 | 419/615 |
| 2024-25 | NJD | 50 | -0.3 | -0.6 to -0.1 | 530/596 |
| 2023-24 | NJD | 2 | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 329/608 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 65.4 km/h1st percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 33.5 km/h10th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 413th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 35.9 %3rd percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 8.3 km8th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 2.46 km2nd percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 35.9 %1st percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.7 %79th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 45.4 %6th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 02nd percentile | 024th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| High danger | 08th percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| Mid range | 010th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
TOR
ANA
CBJ
NJDJustin Dowling: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Justin Dowling have in 2026-27?
Justin Dowling has 0 goals and 1 point (1 assist) in 4 games in 2026-27.
How old is Justin Dowling?
Justin Dowling is 36 years old: he was born on October 1, 1990.
How tall is Justin Dowling, and how much does he weigh?
Justin Dowling is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).
Where is Justin Dowling from?
Canada: Justin Dowling was born in Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
What team does Justin Dowling play for?
Justin Dowling plays for the New York Rangers in the NHL, at C, wearing number 37.
Is Justin Dowling injured?
No: Justin Dowling is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Justin Dowling?
Justin Dowling produced -0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 419th of 615 players at his position in the NHL.
How much does Justin Dowling make?
Justin Dowling carries a cap hit of $775K per season, on a contract worth $1.6M in total over 2 years.
When does Justin Dowling's contract end?
Justin Dowling's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Justin Dowling a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 419th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
How has Justin Dowling played lately?
Over his last 4 games, Justin Dowling has 1 point (0 goals, 1 assist).
What are Justin Dowling's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Justin Dowling has 158 games, 9 goals, 18 assists and 27 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 7 points in 52 games.
How does Justin Dowling perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Justin Dowling has 20 games and 2 points in his career. His pace (0.10 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.17).
Is Justin Dowling a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 3 points in 2026-27, or 0.15 points per game.
What is Justin Dowling's nationality?
Justin Dowling is Canadian.
Where did Justin Dowling play before turning pro?
Airdrie Xtreme (one season), UFA Bisons (2005–2007), Swift Current Broncos (WHL), served as team captain in 2010–11.
How many points is Justin Dowling projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 3 points in 20 games in 2026-27 (1 to 10 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his New York Rangers teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)