Justin
Barron
D · STL · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 25
- WAR
- -0.4
- Value
- 35
- PTS
- 9
2025-26№ 290 / 325
Justin Barron (St. Louis Blues) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Justin Barron
#72D
St. Louis Blues
HEIGHT : 188 cm · WEIGHT : 90 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : November 14, 2001 · Halifax, Canada
Drafted : 2020 · COL · round 1, pick #25
Contract : $1,575,000 · 2026-27 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · RFA (Arb)
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | St. Louis Blues | 14 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | Nashville Predators | 52 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 2024-25 | Nashville Predators | 45 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 15 |
| 2024-25 | Montréal Canadiens | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| 2023-24 | Montréal Canadiens | 48 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 16 |
| 2022-23 | Montréal Canadiens | 39 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 20 |
| 2021-22 | Montréal Canadiens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2021-22 | Colorado Avalanche | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 222 | 20 | 41 | 61 | 78 | |
Justin Barron: our analysis
2025-26 season: 52 GP, 0 G, 9 A, 9 PTS, -1 +/-, 14:15 TOI. WAR -0.4 (290th of 325) · PAL 25, below average.
In 2025-26, Justin Barron, 24, posts a PAL Rating of 25 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of -0.4 ranks 290th among 325 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
On the other hand, offense (12, among the weakest in the league) and power play (20, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: penalty kill (+0.1); his biggest cost: finishing (-2.4).
A marked decline: his PAL was 53 in 2024-25, against 25 now; his WAR went from 0.6 to -0.4.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 35 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Justin Barron's story
Growing up in Halifax, Justin Barron developed through Nova Scotia’s hockey ranks before establishing himself with the Halifax Mooseheads in the QMJHL. He earned the Mooseheads’ captaincy ahead of the pandemic-shortened 2020–21 season and produced at a strong rate during that campaign, showing the leadership and play-driving ability that drew NHL attention.
Selected 25th overall by the Colorado Avalanche in the 2020 draft, Barron signed a three-year entry-level deal with Colorado in April 2021 and immediately joined the organization’s AHL affiliate, the Colorado Eagles, on an amateur tryout. He split time in the minors while making his NHL debut with the Avalanche in December 2021, gaining professional minutes and acclimating to the higher level of competition.
In March 2022 Barron was traded to the Montreal Canadiens alongside a 2024 second-round pick in exchange for Artturi Lehkonen. He logged his first NHL assist late that month and scored his first goal at the Bell Centre on April 5, 2022, a game that also ended early for him due to an ankle injury. After time with the Laval Rocket and subsequent recalls, he signed a two-year extension in July 2024. Montreal later traded him to the Nashville Predators for Alexandre Carrier in December 2024. Facing assignment to the AHL in September 2026, he was placed on waivers and was claimed the following day by the St. Louis Blues.
Internationally Barron has represented Canada at multiple levels: a silver medal with Canada Red at the U17 World Hockey Challenge, gold at the 2018 Hlinka Gretzky Cup with Canada’s U18s, participation at the 2021 World Junior Championship, and a gold medal with the senior national team at the 2023 IIHF World Championship.
As a defenceman Barron brings size, skating and the ability to move the puck out of danger. His game blends physical reach with mobility, allowing him to be effective in zone exits and to contribute offensively when called upon. His trajectory between AHL and NHL rosters reflects that combination of tools and adaptability on the back end.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 16:34
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:04
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:52
- Pts/GP
- 0.64
- EV points
- 9
- Hits
- 11
- Blocks
- 16
- Takeaways
- 3
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 49.0 %
- Off. zone starts
- 35.4 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
22between 12 and 31 (80% range)
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 17
- Games
- 61
So far: 9 pts in 14 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.27 pts per game (last season: 0.17).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.27 in 23-24, 0.17 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 53 → 25
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 24: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 76 %
72
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 88
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 73
- Confidence 80 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 60
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 62
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 77
- Confidence 80 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 81
- Confidence 55 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 72
- Confidence 80 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 65
- Confidence 76 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 78
- Confidence 76 %
- DF
- Defense
- 74
- Confidence 73 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 55
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating88
- Top speed (35 %)36.1 · 83
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)3.601 · 88
- Distance /60 (20 %)14.7 · 87
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.7 · 77
ST — Strength73
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.302 · 76
- Body mass (50 %)-0.116 · 70
EN — Endurance60
- Ice time per game (45 %)16.6 · 60
- Total ice time (20 %)731 · 63
- Shift length (15 %)46.5 · 71
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)14.8 · 61
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.433 · 57
DU — Durability62
- Share of games played (100 %)0.706 · 62
CK — Checking77
- Hits /60 (70 %)3.706 · 77
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.042 · 77
- Season volume (10 %)3.638 · 71
FG — Fighting81
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.996 · 81
DI — Discipline72
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.047 · 72
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.583 · 77
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.304 · 65
PA — Passing65
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.254 · 61
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.411 · 75
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.019 · 72
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.66 · 63
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.164 · 65
SC — Scoring78
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.23 · 76
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.227 · 78
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.187 · 74
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.173 · 85
- xG per shot (10 %)0.036 · 85
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)9.084 · 71
DF — Defense74
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.023 · 70
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.22 · 89
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.662 · 72
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.097 · 82
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.723 · 56
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.7 · 71
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)4.614 · 77
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience55
- Career regular-season games (65 %)75
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)61
OV — Overall72
- DF · Defense (30 %)74
- PA · Passing (22 %)65
- SK · Skating (12 %)88
- SC · Scoring (12 %)78
- EN · Endurance (9 %)60
- ST · Strength (6 %)73
- DI · Discipline (5 %)72
- CK · Checking (4 %)77
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 72 | 88 | 78 | 74 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 93 | 86 | 73 |
| 2023-24 | 70 | 85 | 86 | 64 |
| 2022-23 | 73 | 84 | 80 | 64 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.4
wins above replacement
290 of 325
PAL Rating
25/ 100
Performance · Below average
186 of 250 at the position
Value Rating
35/ 100
Poor return
1.15 M$ · expected PAL 43
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 29
- Defense
- 41
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 12
- Creation
- 59
- Shooting
- 33
- Possession
- 43
- Defense
- 45
- Discipline
- 22
- Power play
- 20
- Penalty kill
- 42
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | -0.4 | 25 | 35 | 1.15 M$ |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 0.6 | 53 | 71 | 1.15 M$ |
| 2023-24 | MTL | 0.5 | 46 | 53 | 0.93 M$ |
| 2022-23 | MTL | 0.2 | 27 | 37 | 0.93 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
26/ 100
Below average
better than 26% of defensemen, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
60/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
11/ 100
Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 166 of 225 defensemen.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 21
- Shot selection
- 94
- Penalties drawn
- 8
- Puck management
- 27
Defense
- Takeaways
- 1
- Discipline
- 70
- Safe zone exits
- 6
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | 26 | 60 | 11 |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 65 | 81 | 41 |
| 2023-24 | MTL | 42 | 62 | 32 |
| 2022-23 | MTL | 21 | 47 | 14 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.4
wins above replacement
-0.7 to -0.0 — 90% interval
290 of 325 defensemen
-2.0 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.4
- EV defense
- -0.1
- Power play
- +0.0
- Penalty kill
- +0.1
- Shooting
- -2.4
- Penalties
- -0.9
- Average → replacement
- +1.5
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | 52 | -0.4 | -0.7 to -0.0 | 290/325 |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 58 | 0.6 | -0.2 to 1.6 | 82/314 |
| 2023-24 | MTL | 48 | 0.5 | -0.1 to 1.3 | 88/316 |
| 2022-23 | MTL | 39 | 0.2 | -0.4 to 1.0 | 126/334 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 135.2 km/h29th percentileleague avg. 139.7 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.7 km/h86th percentileleague avg. 34.0 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2091st percentileleague avg. 8
- Offensive zone time
- 41.6 %53rd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 55.8 km44th percentileleague avg. 56.1 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.02 km49th percentileleague avg. 4.98 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.8 %47th percentileleague avg. 42.8 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.5 %74th percentileleague avg. 16.9 %
- Defensive zone time
- 39.9 %57th percentileleague avg. 40.8 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2277th percentile | 287th percentile | 9.1 %71st percentile |
| High danger | 287th percentile | 084th percentile | 0.0 %60th percentile |
| Mid range | 787th percentile | 297th percentile | 28.6 %90th percentile |
| Long range | 435th percentile | 077th percentile | 0.0 %67th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
NSH
NJD
NYR
DET
BOS
MTL
CAR
VGK
WPG
MIN
OTT
CBJ
SJSJustin Barron: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Justin Barron have in 2026-27?
Justin Barron has 2 goals and 9 points (7 assists) in 14 games in 2026-27.
How old is Justin Barron?
Justin Barron is 24 years old: he was born on November 15, 2001.
How tall is Justin Barron, and how much does he weigh?
Justin Barron is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 198 lb (90 kg).
Where is Justin Barron from?
Canada: Justin Barron was born in Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
What team does Justin Barron play for?
Justin Barron plays for the St. Louis Blues in the NHL, at D, wearing number 72.
Is Justin Barron injured?
No: Justin Barron is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Justin Barron?
Justin Barron produced -0.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 290th of 325 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 25 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Justin Barron make?
Justin Barron earns $1.2M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 35 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Justin Barron's contract end?
Justin Barron's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Justin Barron overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 35 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Justin Barron a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 290th of 325 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Justin Barron getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 53 in 2024-25 to 25 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Justin Barron played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Justin Barron has 8 points (2 goals, 6 assists).
What are Justin Barron's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Justin Barron has 222 games, 20 goals, 41 assists and 61 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 15 points in 39 games.
Where was Justin Barron drafted?
Justin Barron was drafted 25th overall (round 1) by Colorado Avalanche in 2020.
Is Justin Barron better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.86 points per game at home (6 in 7 games) and 0.43 on the road (3 in 7 games).
How does Justin Barron perform in the playoffs?
Justin Barron has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Justin Barron?
Jeff Petry: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Jeff Petry's page →Is Justin Barron a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 22 points in 2026-27, or 0.36 points per game.
Does Justin Barron have siblings?
Yes: his older brother Morgan (professional ice hockey player for the Winnipeg Jets).
What is Justin Barron's nationality?
Justin Barron is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — silver medal at the World U-17 Hockey Challenge (2017, Canada Red); gold medal at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup (2018, national under-18 team); silver medal at the World Junior Championship (2021, national junior team); gold medal at the IIHF World Championship (2023, senior national team).
How many championships has Justin Barron won?
2: Gold medal at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup with Canada's national under-18 team (2018); Gold medal at the IIHF World Championship with Canada's senior national team (2023).
Where did Justin Barron play before turning pro?
Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL) — three seasons; named captain ahead of the 2020–21 season.
How many points is Justin Barron projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 22 points in 61 games in 2026-27 (12 to 31 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his St. Louis Blues teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)