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Justin

Bailey

R · Defensive · Around average

PAL
43
WAR
0.6
PTS
14

2023-24№ 221 / 608

Justin Bailey stats, profile and latest news: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats and headlines.

Justin Bailey

R

HEIGHT : 193 cm · WEIGHT : 97 kg · SHOOTS : R

Born : June 30, 1995 · Buffalo, United States

Drafted : 2013 · BUF · round 2, pick #52

NHL record

Year Team GPGAPTSPIM
2023-24San Jose Sharks5959146
2021-22Vancouver Canucks140006
2020-21Vancouver Canucks30002
2019-20Vancouver Canucks20000
2018-19Philadelphia Flyers110112
2017-18Buffalo Sabres123142
2016-17Buffalo Sabres322244
2015-16Buffalo Sabres80002
NHL totals14110132324

Justin Bailey: our analysis

2023-24 season: 59 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 14 PTS, -15 +/-, 11:17 TOI. WAR 0.6 (221st of 608) · PAL 43, around average.

In 2023-24, Justin Bailey, 31, posts a PAL Rating of 43 out of 100 (around average), and his WAR of 0.6 ranks 221st among 608 regulars, in the top half.

His strengths: discipline (95, among the best in the league) and defense (77, well above average). On the other hand, shooting (9, among the weakest in the league) and offense (22, well below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: penalties (+1.5); his biggest cost: finishing (-0.6).

Advanced stats

TOI/GP
11:17
PP TOI/GP
0:14
SH TOI/GP
0:25
Pts/GP
0.24
EV points
13
Hits
76
Blocks
29
Takeaways
20
Corsi % (SAT)
49.4 %
Off. zone starts
32.4 %
Faceoffs
35.3 %

Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)

Player ratings, 2023-24

All ratings →

Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.

OV · OverallConfidence 39 %

75

Established NHL

SK
Skating
87
Confidence 57 %
ST
Strength
80
Confidence 45 %
EN
Endurance
60
Confidence 50 %
DU
Durability
62
Confidence 57 %
CK
Checking
80
Confidence 45 %
FG
Fighting
76
Confidence 27 %
DI
Discipline
91
Confidence 45 %
FO
Faceoffs
—
PA
Passing
73
Confidence 39 %
SC
Scoring
64
Confidence 39 %
DF
Defense
81
Confidence 35 %
PS
Penalty shot
76
Confidence 0 %
EX
Experience
53
Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?

SK — Skating87

  • Top speed (35 %)36.9 · 88
  • Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)9.121 · 89
  • Distance /60 (20 %)15.5 · 66
  • Speed consistency (15 %)36 · 84

ST — Strength80

  • Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.408 · 73
  • Body mass (50 %)0.89 · 84

EN — Endurance60

  • Ice time per game (45 %)12.6 · 62
  • Total ice time (20 %)650 · 64
  • Shift length (15 %)41.8 · 59
  • Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)12.5 · 67
  • Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.32 · 61

DU — Durability62

  • Share of games played (100 %)0.696 · 62

CK — Checking80

  • Hits /60 (70 %)6.086 · 80
  • Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)6.062 · 82
  • Season volume (10 %)4.344 · 76

FG — Fighting76

  • Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.929 · 76

DI — Discipline91

  • Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.081 · 90
  • Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.487 · 86
  • Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.97 · 81

PA — Passing73

  • Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.649 · 73
  • Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.385 · 68
  • Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.027 · 70
  • Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.64 · 80
  • Assist consistency (10 %)0.562 · 76

SC — Scoring64

  • Goals /60 (25 %)0.711 · 64
  • Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.706 · 61
  • Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.014 · 75
  • High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.155 · 68
  • xG per shot (10 %)0.075 · 62
  • Shot attempts /60 (10 %)14.1 · 74

DF — Defense81

  • RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.027 · 77
  • Relative xG against (20 %)-0.307 · 91
  • On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.7 · 74
  • Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.007 · 69
  • Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)0.587 · 83
  • Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)62.7 · 60
  • Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.738 · 82

PS — Penalty shot76

  • Shootouts (60 %)31.9 · 76
  • Penalty shots (40 %)30.9 · 76

EX — Experience53

  • Career regular-season games (65 %)70
  • Career playoff games (25 %)0
  • NHL seasons (10 %)78

OV — Overall75

  • SC · Scoring (28 %)64
  • PA · Passing (22 %)73
  • DF · Defense (18 %)81
  • SK · Skating (12 %)87
  • EN · Endurance (8 %)60
  • DI · Discipline (5 %)91
  • ST · Strength (4 %)80
  • CK · Checking (3 %)80

The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.

WAR and PAL ratings, 2023-24

How we rate →

PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.

ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense

Offense
18
Defense
66
See full details
Offense
22
Creation
23
Shooting
9
Possession
31
Defense
77
Discipline
95
Power play
46
Penalty kill
45

From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.

Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.

0.6

wins above replacement

-0.2 to 1.2 — 90% interval

221 of 608 forwards

+2.9 goals above replacement

Full leaderboard →
See full details
EV offense
-0.2
EV defense
+0.5
Power play
-0.0
Penalty kill
0.0
Shooting
-0.6
Penalties
+1.5
Average → replacement
+1.7

In goals.

Player tracking (NHL EDGE)

League EDGE leaderboards →

Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.

Season
Hardest shot
144.1 km/h68th percentileleague avg. 136.0 km/h
Top skating speed
37.9 km/h97th percentileleague avg. 35.6 km/h
Bursts over 20 mph, season
14787th percentileleague avg. 73
Offensive zone time
39.2 %16th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
See full details
Total distance, season
165.5 km42nd percentileleague avg. 200.0 km
Distance, single-game high
4.06 km28th percentileleague avg. 4.70 km
Offensive zone at 5v5
39.3 %20th percentileleague avg. 41.3 %
Neutral zone time
17.9 %56th percentileleague avg. 17.8 %
Defensive zone time
42.9 %18th percentileleague avg. 39.8 %

Shooting

Shots on goalGoalsShooting %
All7044th percentile536th percentile7.1 %9th percentile
High danger1434th percentile231st percentile14.3 %18th percentile
Mid range1336th percentile247th percentile15.4 %83rd percentile
Long range1883rd percentile178th percentile5.6 %70th percentile

Shots on goal by zone

Neutral zone : 4 · 75th percentileOutside left : 5 · 55th percentileOutside right : 8 · 74th percentileLeft point : 6 · 77th percentileRight point : 7 · 86th percentileCenter point : 5 · 74th percentileLeft circle : 3 · 28th percentileRight circle : 6 · 45th percentileHigh slot : 4 · 35th percentileLeft of the net : 3 · 56th percentileRight of the net : 3 · 51th percentileLow slot : 14 · 36th percentileCrease : 0 · 0th percentileLeft corner : 0 · 0th percentileBehind the net : 2 · 72th percentileRight corner : 0 · 0th percentile45867536433140020
Beyond the red line : 0

2023-2024 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.

Last 5 games

DateOpponentGAPTS+/-TOI
April 13, 2024vsMinnesota Wild logoMIN000012:00
April 11, 2024@Seattle Kraken logoSEA000-17:52
April 9, 2024vsCalgary Flames logoCGY000012:31
April 7, 2024vsARI000-112:12
April 6, 2024vsSt. Louis Blues logoSTL00009:55

Justin Bailey: frequently asked questions

How many goals does Justin Bailey have in 2023-24?

Justin Bailey has 5 goals and 14 points (9 assists) in 59 games in 2023-24.

How old is Justin Bailey?

Justin Bailey is 31 years old: he was born on July 1, 1995.

How tall is Justin Bailey, and how much does he weigh?

Justin Bailey is 6'4" (193 cm) and weighs 214 lb (97 kg).

Where is Justin Bailey from?

United States: Justin Bailey was born in Buffalo, New York, United States.

How good is Justin Bailey?

Justin Bailey produced 0.6 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023-24, 221st of 608 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 43 out of 100: around average for his position.

Is Justin Bailey a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 221st of 608 players at his position in the NHL in 2023-24. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

What are Justin Bailey's career stats?

Over his NHL career, Justin Bailey has 141 games, 10 goals, 13 assists and 23 points. His best season: 2023-24, with 14 points in 59 games.

Where was Justin Bailey drafted?

Justin Bailey was drafted 52nd overall (round 2) by Buffalo Sabres in 2013.

How does Justin Bailey perform in the playoffs?

Justin Bailey has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.

NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)