Jonathan
Marchessault
C · NSH · Balanced · Very poor
- PAL
- 15
- WAR
- -0.8
- Value
- 7
- PTS
- 31
2025-26№ 588 / 615
Jonathan Marchessault (Nashville Predators) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Jonathan Marchessault
#81CPlays: Right wing · 3% of faceoffs
Nashville Predators
HEIGHT : 175 cm · WEIGHT : 84 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : December 26, 1990 · Cap-Rouge, Canada
Contract : $5,500,000 · 2024-25 → 2028-29 · Standard Contract · UFA · Signing bonus $3,000,000NMC / NTC / M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Nashville Predators | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Nashville Predators | 62 | 12 | 19 | 31 | 30 |
| 2024-25 | Nashville Predators | 78 | 21 | 35 | 56 | 37 |
| 2023-24 | Vegas Golden Knights | 82 | 42 | 27 | 69 | 40 |
| 2022-23 | Vegas Golden Knights | 76 | 28 | 29 | 57 | 21 |
| 2021-22 | Vegas Golden Knights | 76 | 30 | 36 | 66 | 36 |
| 2020-21 | Vegas Golden Knights | 55 | 18 | 26 | 44 | 39 |
| 2019-20 | Vegas Golden Knights | 66 | 22 | 25 | 47 | 28 |
| 2018-19 | Vegas Golden Knights | 82 | 25 | 34 | 59 | 52 |
| 2017-18 | Vegas Golden Knights | 77 | 27 | 48 | 75 | 40 |
| 2016-17 | Florida Panthers | 75 | 30 | 21 | 51 | 38 |
| 2015-16 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 45 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 17 |
| 2014-15 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2012-13 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 792 | 265 | 314 | 579 | 382 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Vegas Golden Knights | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | Vegas Golden Knights | 22 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 14 |
| 2020-21 | Vegas Golden Knights | 19 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 2019-20 | Vegas Golden Knights | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2018-19 | Vegas Golden Knights | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2017-18 | Vegas Golden Knights | 20 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 10 |
| 2015-16 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 2014-15 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 102 | 36 | 40 | 76 | 66 | |
Honours
- 🏆 Stanley Cuponce · 2022-23
- 🏆 Conn Smythe Trophyonce · 2022-23
Jonathan Marchessault: our analysis
2025-26 season: 62 GP, 12 G, 19 A, 31 PTS, -18 +/-, 16:42 TOI. WAR -0.8 (588th of 615) · PAL 15, very poor.
In 2025-26, Jonathan Marchessault, 35, posts a PAL Rating of 15 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.8 ranks 588th among 615 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
His strengths: creation (89, among the best in the league) and power play (78, well above average). On the other hand, possession (3, among the weakest in the league) and defense (6, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: power play (+1.2); his biggest cost: finishing (-6.5).
A marked decline: his PAL was 39 in 2024-25, against 15 now; his WAR went from 0.4 to -0.8.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 7 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Jonathan Marchessault's story
Growing up in Cap‑Rouge, Quebec, Marchessault moved through the local development system before establishing himself as a standout with the Quebec Remparts. By 2010–11 he was producing at a high level under Patrick Roy, posting 95 points in 68 games and becoming known for scoring game‑deciding goals.
Undrafted into the NHL, he began his professional journey in 2011 by signing with the New York Rangers organization and joining the AHL’s Connecticut Whale. His play in the minors earned him a three‑year entry‑level deal with the Columbus Blue Jackets and continued AHL success, which eventually prompted a trade to the Tampa Bay Lightning in March 2014 and his first regular NHL opportunities the following seasons.
A free agent move took him to the Florida Panthers on July 1, 2016, where he broke out offensively in 2016–17, leading the team with 30 goals and finishing with 51 points in 75 games. Exposed in the 2017 expansion draft, he was selected by the Vegas Golden Knights and quickly became a core offensive piece, signing a six‑year, $30‑million extension on January 3, 2018. In Vegas he produced some of his best seasons, helped the team reach the Stanley Cup Final in its inaugural campaign, and played a pivotal role in the franchise’s 2023 Stanley Cup victory.
Internationally, Marchessault represented Canada at the 2019 World Championship, finishing the tournament with three goals and seven assists as Canada took the silver medal. His playoff performance in 2023 earned him the Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP, a notable achievement for a player who began his pro career undrafted.
On the ice, Marchessault is a winger prized for finishing ability and offensive instincts, able to both score and generate chances in tight situations. After a career‑high 42 goals in 2023–24, he entered free agency and signed a five‑year, $27.5‑million contract with the Nashville Predators on July 1, 2024.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 16:37
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:13
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.36
- EV points
- 0
- Hits
- 15
- Blocks
- 1
- Takeaways
- 1
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 41.5 %
- Off. zone starts
- 38.6 %
- Faceoffs
- 33.3 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
32between 15 and 49 (80% range)
- Goals
- 12
- Assists
- 20
- Games
- 71
So far: 5 pts in 14 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.47 pts per game (last season: 0.50).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Declining
- Points per game: 0.84 in 23-24, 0.50 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 39 → 15
Outlook, age included
↓ DecliningAge 35: the age when production usually declines
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
Day-to-day· Lower Body· expected back November 10
OV · OverallConfidence 83 %
68
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 54
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 57
- Confidence 86 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 81
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 78
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 75
- Confidence 86 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 76
- Confidence 65 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 66
- Confidence 86 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 63
- Confidence 32 %
- PA
- Passing
- 77
- Confidence 83 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 80
- Confidence 83 %
- DF
- Defense
- 60
- Confidence 80 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 61
- Confidence 54 %
- EX
- Experience
- 92
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating54
- Top speed (35 %)34.4 · 48
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)2.19 · 49
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.2 · 78
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.2 · 59
ST — Strength57
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.183 · 64
- Body mass (50 %)-1.228 · 63
EN — Endurance81
- Ice time per game (45 %)16.3 · 81
- Total ice time (20 %)997 · 74
- Shift length (15 %)49.5 · 87
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)15.6 · 83
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.794 · 81
DU — Durability78
- Share of games played (100 %)0.839 · 78
CK — Checking75
- Hits /60 (70 %)4.345 · 75
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.786 · 76
- Season volume (10 %)4.331 · 77
FG — Fighting76
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.836 · 76
DI — Discipline66
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.01 · 66
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.672 · 74
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.616 · 65
FO — Faceoffs63
- Faceoff % (85 %)47.5 · 66
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)9.681 · 35
PA — Passing77
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.732 · 77
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.532 · 79
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.055 · 72
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.071 · 69
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.633 · 81
SC — Scoring80
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.035 · 79
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.021 · 83
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.307 · 67
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.739 · 85
- xG per shot (10 %)0.08 · 77
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)17.1 · 84
DF — Defense60
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.039 · 68
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.296 · 54
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.853 · 60
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.036 · 75
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.008 · 64
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)61.9 · 55
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.325 · 48
PS — Penalty shot61
- Shootouts (60 %)32.3 · 68
- Penalty shots (40 %)25.4 · 57
EX — Experience92
- Career regular-season games (65 %)94
- Career playoff games (25 %)87
- NHL seasons (10 %)92
OV — Overall68
- SC · Scoring (28 %)80
- PA · Passing (22 %)77
- DF · Defense (18 %)60
- SK · Skating (12 %)54
- EN · Endurance (8 %)81
- DI · Discipline (5 %)66
- ST · Strength (4 %)57
- CK · Checking (3 %)75
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 68 | 54 | 80 | 60 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 57 | 84 | 68 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 56 | 90 | 70 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 61 | 86 | 74 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.8
wins above replacement
588 of 615
PAL Rating
15/ 100
Performance · Very poor
402 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
7/ 100
Very poor return
5.50 M$ · expected PAL 64
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 53
- Defense
- 3
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 46
- Creation
- 89
- Shooting
- 46
- Possession
- 3
- Defense
- 6
- Discipline
- 50
- Power play
- 78
- Penalty kill
- 53
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | -0.8 | 15 | 7 | 5.50 M$ |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 0.4 | 39 | 20 | 5.50 M$ |
| 2023-24 | VGK | 2.8 | 81 | 66 | 5.00 M$ |
| 2022-23 | VGK | 2.3 | 81 | 62 | 5.00 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
37/ 100
Below average
better than 37% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
42/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
41/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 266 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 79
- Shot selection
- 68
- Penalties drawn
- 15
- Puck management
- 26
Defense
- Takeaways
- 40
- Discipline
- 75
- Safe zone exits
- 18
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | 37 | 42 | 41 |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | VGK | 39 | 30 | 53 |
| 2022-23 | VGK | 44 | 8 | 82 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.8
wins above replacement
-1.7 to 0.3 — 90% interval
588 of 615 forwards
-4.0 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +0.1
- EV defense
- -1.7
- Power play
- +1.2
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -6.5
- Penalties
- +0.3
- Average → replacement
- +2.6
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | 62 | -0.8 | -1.7 to 0.3 | 588/615 |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 74 | 0.4 | -0.9 to 1.4 | 258/596 |
| 2023-24 | VGK | 82 | 2.8 | 0.8 to 5.3 | 34/608 |
| 2022-23 | VGK | 76 | 2.3 | 0.6 to 3.4 | 45/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 127.4 km/h34th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 33.3 km/h8th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1235th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 42.7 %58th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 61.1 km54th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.84 km61st percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 39.2 %19th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.4 %67th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 38.9 %60th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3174th percentile | 254th percentile | 6.5 %14th percentile |
| High danger | 646th percentile | 157th percentile | 16.7 %43rd percentile |
| Mid range | 1179th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 490th percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
TBL
WSH
NYI
COL
PIT
BOS
STL
SJS
VGK
OTT
MTL
TOR
DAL
MINJonathan Marchessault: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Jonathan Marchessault have in 2026-27?
Jonathan Marchessault has 2 goals and 5 points (3 assists) in 14 games in 2026-27.
How old is Jonathan Marchessault?
Jonathan Marchessault is 35 years old: he was born on December 27, 1990.
How tall is Jonathan Marchessault, and how much does he weigh?
Jonathan Marchessault is 5'9" (175 cm) and weighs 185 lb (84 kg).
Where is Jonathan Marchessault from?
Canada: Jonathan Marchessault was born in Cap-Rouge, Quebec, Canada.
What team does Jonathan Marchessault play for?
Jonathan Marchessault plays for the Nashville Predators in the NHL, at C, wearing number 81.
Is Jonathan Marchessault injured?
Yes: Jonathan Marchessault is injured, day-to-day (lower body). He is expected back around November 10.
How good is Jonathan Marchessault?
Jonathan Marchessault produced -0.8 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 588th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 15 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Jonathan Marchessault make?
Jonathan Marchessault earns $5.5M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 7 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Jonathan Marchessault's contract end?
Jonathan Marchessault's contract runs through the 2028-29 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC / NTC / M-NTC clause.
Is Jonathan Marchessault overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 7 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Jonathan Marchessault a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 588th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Jonathan Marchessault getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 39 in 2024-25 to 15 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Jonathan Marchessault played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Jonathan Marchessault has 5 points (2 goals, 3 assists).
What are Jonathan Marchessault's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Jonathan Marchessault has 792 games, 265 goals, 314 assists and 579 points. His best season: 2017-18, with 75 points in 77 games.
Is Jonathan Marchessault better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.44 points per game at home (4 in 9 games) and 0.20 on the road (1 in 5 games).
How does Jonathan Marchessault perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Jonathan Marchessault has 102 games and 76 points in his career. His pace (0.75 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.73).
Which player is most similar to Jonathan Marchessault?
Brock Boeser: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Brock Boeser's page →Is Jonathan Marchessault a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 32 points in 2026-27, or 0.45 points per game.
What is Jonathan Marchessault's nationality?
Jonathan Marchessault is Canadian. Internationally: Canada national team: named to the 2019 World Championship roster — silver medal (3 goals, 7 assists in 10 games).
What awards has Jonathan Marchessault won?
Gaétan Duchesne Trophy (QMJHL best defensive player) — 2009–10 ; Bud Light Cup (Quebec player of the year) — 2010–11 ; QMJHL First Team All-Star — 2010–11 ; AHL First Team All-Star — 2012–13 ; Vegas Golden Knights' representative at the 2022 NHL All-Star Game — 2022 ; Conn Smythe Trophy (playoff MVP) — 2023.
How many championships has Jonathan Marchessault won?
1: Stanley Cup with the Vegas Golden Knights — 2023.
Where did Jonathan Marchessault play before turning pro?
Quebec Remparts (QMJHL), 2007–08 to 2010–11.
How many points is Jonathan Marchessault projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 32 points in 71 games in 2026-27 (15 to 49 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Nashville Predators teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)