Jean-Gabriel
Pageau
C · NYI · Balanced · Very poor
- PAL
- 9
- WAR
- 1.5
- Value
- 5
- PTS
- 35
2025-26№ 104 / 615
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (New York Islanders) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Jean-Gabriel Pageau
#44CPlays: Centre · 96% of faceoffs
New York Islanders
HEIGHT : 180 cm · WEIGHT : 82 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : November 10, 1992 · Ottawa, Canada
Drafted : 2011 · OTT · round 4, pick #96
Contract : $4,850,000 · 2026-27 → 2028-29 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFANTC / M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | New York Islanders | 17 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | New York Islanders | 74 | 17 | 18 | 35 | 4 |
| 2024-25 | New York Islanders | 79 | 14 | 28 | 42 | 23 |
| 2023-24 | New York Islanders | 82 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 13 |
| 2022-23 | New York Islanders | 70 | 13 | 27 | 40 | 14 |
| 2021-22 | New York Islanders | 77 | 18 | 21 | 39 | 30 |
| 2020-21 | New York Islanders | 54 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 10 |
| 2019-20 | New York Islanders | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 |
| 2019-20 | Ottawa Senators | 60 | 24 | 16 | 40 | 32 |
| 2018-19 | Ottawa Senators | 39 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| 2017-18 | Ottawa Senators | 78 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 36 |
| 2016-17 | Ottawa Senators | 82 | 12 | 21 | 33 | 24 |
| 2015-16 | Ottawa Senators | 82 | 19 | 24 | 43 | 26 |
| 2014-15 | Ottawa Senators | 50 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
| 2013-14 | Ottawa Senators | 28 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
| 2012-13 | Ottawa Senators | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 887 | 177 | 232 | 409 | 266 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | New York Islanders | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | New York Islanders | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-21 | New York Islanders | 19 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 2019-20 | New York Islanders | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 21 |
| 2016-17 | Ottawa Senators | 19 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 2014-15 | Ottawa Senators | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2012-13 | Ottawa Senators | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Playoff totals | 86 | 24 | 19 | 43 | 51 | |
Jean-Gabriel Pageau: our analysis
2025-26 season: 74 GP, 17 G, 18 A, 35 PTS, 0 +/-, 15:40 TOI. WAR 1.5 (104th of 615) · PAL 9, very poor.
In 2025-26, Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 33, posts a PAL Rating of 9 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 1.5 ranks 104th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
On the other hand, penalty kill (1, among the weakest in the league) and power play (14, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+5.4); his biggest cost: penalty kill (-1.6).
A marked decline: his PAL was 51 in 2024-25, against 9 now; his WAR, though, went from 1.0 to 1.5.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 5 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Jean-Gabriel Pageau's story
Growing up in the Gatineau area after being born in Ottawa, Jean‑Gabriel Pageau passed through local youth tournaments and the QMJHL with Gatineau and Chicoutimi, where he honed a two‑way approach and the ability to play in all situations. Those early years shaped his role as a dependable centre who can be counted on in both ends of the ice.
Taken 96th overall by the Ottawa Senators in the 2011 draft, Pageau turned professional in 2012–13 with Ottawa’s AHL affiliate in Binghamton. He earned his first NHL call‑up in April 2013 and made an immediate impact in the 2013 playoffs, scoring a hat‑trick on May 5 against Montreal in a conference final game.
Pageau established himself over the next seasons in Ottawa. After signing a two‑year deal in June 2015, he played all 82 games in 2015–16 and posted career highs with 19 goals and 43 points, while leading the NHL with seven shorthanded goals. He continued to be a playoff performer, notably scoring four goals in a single 2017 playoff game against the New York Rangers, including the double‑overtime winner.
At the 2020 trade deadline he was dealt to the New York Islanders and immediately signed a six‑year extension. He scored in his Islanders debut and became a key depth centre during the club’s playoff run in the summer of 2020, contributing on draws, special teams and in crucial moments. He reached his 100th career goal on March 25, 2021, and was later awarded the Bob Nystrom Award for the 2020–21 season. On March 6, 2026, he agreed to a three‑year extension to remain with New York.
Internationally, Pageau was named to Canada’s roster for the 2018 World Championship, where he recorded one goal and three assists. Plainly put, his game is defined by strong faceoff work, reliable penalty killing, willingness to block shots and steady play as a centre who can be deployed in every situation.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 15:49
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:23
- SH TOI/GP
- 2:39
- Pts/GP
- 0.47
- EV points
- 8
- Hits
- 40
- Blocks
- 18
- Takeaways
- 4
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 51.8 %
- Off. zone starts
- 37.6 %
- Faceoffs
- 58.9 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
36between 19 and 53 (80% range)
- Goals
- 12
- Assists
- 24
- Games
- 80
So far: 8 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.44 pts per game (last season: 0.47).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.40 in 23-24, 0.47 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 51 → 9
Outlook, age included
↓ DecliningAge 33: the age when production usually declines
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 83 %
78
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 73
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 67
- Confidence 86 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 77
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 84
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 82
- Confidence 86 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 76
- Confidence 65 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 81
- Confidence 86 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 94
- Confidence 92 %
- PA
- Passing
- 77
- Confidence 83 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 74
- Confidence 83 %
- DF
- Defense
- 66
- Confidence 80 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 62
- Confidence 14 %
- EX
- Experience
- 92
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating73
- Top speed (35 %)35.9 · 71
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)5.736 · 75
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.4 · 76
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.2 · 72
ST — Strength67
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.461 · 78
- Body mass (50 %)-1.255 · 58
EN — Endurance77
- Ice time per game (45 %)15.5 · 77
- Total ice time (20 %)1,105 · 76
- Shift length (15 %)42.2 · 63
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)14.7 · 78
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.99 · 80
DU — Durability84
- Share of games played (100 %)0.867 · 84
CK — Checking82
- Hits /60 (70 %)6.567 · 82
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)5.808 · 84
- Season volume (10 %)4.754 · 82
FG — Fighting76
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.841 · 76
DI — Discipline81
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.033 · 80
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.266 · 98
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.46 · 51
FO — Faceoffs94
- Faceoff % (85 %)57.2 · 95
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)52.5 · 88
PA — Passing77
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.682 · 76
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.449 · 73
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.132 · 82
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.4 · 55
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.535 · 78
SC — Scoring74
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.793 · 75
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.684 · 67
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.308 · 83
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.091 · 67
- xG per shot (10 %)0.084 · 80
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)9.99 · 60
DF — Defense66
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.025 · 69
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.063 · 68
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.784 · 64
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.303 · 51
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.239 · 78
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)59.8 · 65
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)3.154 · 83
PS — Penalty shot62
- Shootouts (60 %)31.2 · 61
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience92
- Career regular-season games (65 %)95
- Career playoff games (25 %)84
- NHL seasons (10 %)92
OV — Overall78
- SC · Scoring (20 %)74
- PA · Passing (20 %)77
- DF · Defense (20 %)66
- SK · Skating (12 %)73
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)94
- EN · Endurance (8 %)77
- DI · Discipline (5 %)81
- ST · Strength (3 %)67
- CK · Checking (2 %)82
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 78 | 73 | 74 | 66 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 74 | 71 | 72 |
| 2023-24 | 77 | 81 | 65 | 72 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 80 | 71 | 74 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.5
wins above replacement
104 of 615
PAL Rating
9/ 100
Performance · Very poor
430 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
5/ 100
Very poor return
5.00 M$ · expected PAL 63
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 36
- Defense
- 9
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 49
- Creation
- 18
- Shooting
- 56
- Possession
- 33
- Defense
- 24
- Discipline
- 49
- Power play
- 14
- Penalty kill
- 1
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYI | 1.5 | 9 | 5 | 5.00 M$ |
| 2024-25 | NYI | 1.0 | 51 | 31 | 5.00 M$ |
| 2023-24 | NYI | 0.6 | 21 | 9 | 5.00 M$ |
| 2022-23 | NYI | 0.7 | 57 | 35 | 5.00 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
33/ 100
Below average
better than 33% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
4/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
83/ 100
Very good
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 282 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 29
- Shot selection
- 66
- Penalties drawn
- 1
- Puck management
- 4
Defense
- Takeaways
- 36
- Discipline
- 98
- Safe zone exits
- 55
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYI | 33 | 4 | 83 |
| 2024-25 | NYI | 85 | 84 | 67 |
| 2023-24 | NYI | 64 | 31 | 83 |
| 2022-23 | NYI | 79 | 47 | 88 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.5
wins above replacement
0.2 to 2.6 — 90% interval
104 of 615 forwards
+7.8 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +2.1
- EV defense
- -1.1
- Power play
- -0.1
- Penalty kill
- -1.6
- Shooting
- +5.4
- Penalties
- +0.3
- Average → replacement
- +2.9
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYI | 74 | 1.5 | 0.2 to 2.6 | 104/615 |
| 2024-25 | NYI | 75 | 1.0 | 0.5 to 1.8 | 145/596 |
| 2023-24 | NYI | 82 | 0.6 | -0.5 to 2.0 | 211/608 |
| 2022-23 | NYI | 70 | 0.7 | -0.8 to 1.9 | 173/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 127.9 km/h36th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.0 km/h19th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1646th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 39.1 %19th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 65.1 km61st percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.94 km64th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.1 %51st percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.0 %45th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 42.9 %17th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1947th percentile | 139th percentile | 5.3 %12th percentile |
| High danger | 1068th percentile | 157th percentile | 10.0 %22nd percentile |
| Mid range | 550th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 153rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
SJS
NJD
CAR
EDM
MIN
NSH
DAL
LAK
ANA
TOR
OTT
VAN
TBL
CHI
NYRJean-Gabriel Pageau: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Jean-Gabriel Pageau have in 2026-27?
Jean-Gabriel Pageau has 1 goal and 8 points (7 assists) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Jean-Gabriel Pageau?
Jean-Gabriel Pageau is 33 years old: he was born on November 11, 1992.
How tall is Jean-Gabriel Pageau, and how much does he weigh?
Jean-Gabriel Pageau is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 181 lb (82 kg).
Where is Jean-Gabriel Pageau from?
Canada: Jean-Gabriel Pageau was born in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Jean-Gabriel Pageau play for?
Jean-Gabriel Pageau plays for the New York Islanders in the NHL, at C, wearing number 44.
Is Jean-Gabriel Pageau injured?
No: Jean-Gabriel Pageau is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Jean-Gabriel Pageau?
Jean-Gabriel Pageau produced 1.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 104th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 9 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Jean-Gabriel Pageau make?
Jean-Gabriel Pageau earns $5.0M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 5 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Jean-Gabriel Pageau's contract end?
Jean-Gabriel Pageau's contract runs through the 2028-29 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NTC / M-NTC clause.
Is Jean-Gabriel Pageau overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 5 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Jean-Gabriel Pageau a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 104th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Jean-Gabriel Pageau getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 51 in 2024-25 to 9 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Jean-Gabriel Pageau played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Jean-Gabriel Pageau has 5 points (0 goals, 5 assists).
What are Jean-Gabriel Pageau's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Jean-Gabriel Pageau has 887 games, 177 goals, 232 assists and 409 points. His best season: 2015-16, with 43 points in 82 games.
Where was Jean-Gabriel Pageau drafted?
Jean-Gabriel Pageau was drafted 96th overall (round 4) by Ottawa Senators in 2011.
Is Jean-Gabriel Pageau better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.56 points per game at home (5 in 9 games) and 0.38 on the road (3 in 8 games).
How does Jean-Gabriel Pageau perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Jean-Gabriel Pageau has 86 games and 43 points in his career. His pace (0.50 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.46).
Which player is most similar to Jean-Gabriel Pageau?
Jack Quinn: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Jack Quinn's page →Is Jean-Gabriel Pageau a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 36 points in 2026-27, or 0.45 points per game.
What is Jean-Gabriel Pageau's nationality?
Jean-Gabriel Pageau is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — named to the 2018 World Championship team; 1 goal and 3 assists.
What awards has Jean-Gabriel Pageau won?
Bob Nystrom Award — winner for the 2020–21 season ; Led the NHL in short-handed goals — 7 (2015–16 season).
Where did Jean-Gabriel Pageau play before turning pro?
Gatineau Olympiques and Chicoutimi Saguenéens (QMJHL).
How many points is Jean-Gabriel Pageau projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 36 points in 80 games in 2026-27 (19 to 53 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his New York Islanders teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)