Jaroslav
Chmelar
R · NYR · Balanced · Around average
- PAL
- 54
- WAR
- 0.6
- Value
- 72
- PTS
- 6
2025-26№ 218 / 615
Jaroslav Chmelar (New York Rangers) stats, profile and latest news: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats and headlines.
2025-26 season: 28 GP, 4 G, 2 A, 6 PTS, -2 +/-, 9:09 TOI. WAR 0.6 (218th of 615) · PAL 54, around average.
Jaroslav Chmelar
#49RPlays: Right wing · 2% of faceoffs
New York Rangers
HEIGHT : 196 cm · WEIGHT : 108 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : July 19, 2003 · Nove Mesto nad Metuji, Czechia
Drafted : 2021 · NYR · round 5, pick #144
Contract : $867,500 · 2024-25 → 2026-27 · Entry-Level Contract · RFA · Signing bonus $92,500 (CapWages)
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | New York Rangers | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | New York Rangers | 28 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| NHL totals | 35 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | |
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 8:15
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:06
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.00
- EV points
- 0
- Hits
- 15
- Blocks
- 0
- Takeaways
- 1
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 40.2 %
- Off. zone starts
- 18.2 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
6between 1 and 20 (80% range)
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 3
- Games
- 49
So far: 0 pts in 7 games. The team has played 0 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.15 pts per game (last season: 0.21).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
This is only a projection. It extends the pace of recent seasons, pulled toward the league average and adjusted for age. It knows nothing about future injuries, trades, or line and power-play changes. About one player in five finishes outside the range. The trend is a hint, not a verdict.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100, computed from data (play-by-play, NHL EDGE, PickALeague analytics), never by hand. Each compares the player with others at the same position, over several seasons. 75 = established NHL player, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. OV describes the abilities a player has shown over several seasons; it is not a forecast: for next season, last season's performance (PAL) tells you as much.
OV · OverallConfidence 20 %
80
Very good
- SK
- Skating
- 86
- Confidence 40 %
- ST
- Strength
- 90
- Confidence 24 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 57
- Confidence 50 %
- DU
- Durability
- 58
- Confidence 40 %
- CK
- Checking
- 82
- Confidence 24 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 83
- Confidence 15 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 92
- Confidence 24 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 71
- Confidence 20 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 75
- Confidence 20 %
- DF
- Defense
- 78
- Confidence 17 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 33
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating86
- Top speed (35 %)36.7 · 85
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)8.071 · 85
- Distance /60 (20 %)16 · 71
- Speed consistency (15 %)36.3 · 88
ST — Strength90
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.449 · 79
- Body mass (50 %)2.202 · 94
EN — Endurance57
- Ice time per game (45 %)12.6 · 62
- Total ice time (20 %)254 · 35
- Shift length (15 %)44.8 · 70
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)11.4 · 61
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.405 · 62
DU — Durability58
- Share of games played (100 %)0.669 · 58
CK — Checking82
- Hits /60 (70 %)7.233 · 83
- Season volume (10 %)3.989 · 71
FG — Fighting83
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.093 · 83
DI — Discipline92
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.084 · 93
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.697 · 73
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)1.196 · 89
PA — Passing71
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.535 · 64
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.5 · 77
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.072 · 74
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.577 · 80
SC — Scoring75
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.977 · 77
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.814 · 70
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.402 · 80
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.291 · 74
- xG per shot (10 %)0.08 · 77
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)13.4 · 71
DF — Defense78
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0 · 74
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.025 · 76
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.554 · 78
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.036 · 79
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-0.959 · 87
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)57.7 · 78
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.839 · 81
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience33
- Career regular-season games (65 %)47
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)24
OV — Overall80
- SC · Scoring (28 %)75
- PA · Passing (22 %)71
- DF · Defense (18 %)78
- SK · Skating (12 %)86
- EN · Endurance (8 %)57
- DI · Discipline (5 %)92
- ST · Strength (4 %)90
- CK · Checking (3 %)82
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.6
wins above replacement
218 of 615
PAL Rating
54/ 100
Performance · Around average
202 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
72/ 100
Good value
0.87 M$ · expected PAL 35
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 38
- Defense
- 55
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 34
- Creation
- 31
- Shooting
- 68
- Possession
- 44
- Defense
- 66
- Discipline
- 100
- Power play
- 36
- Penalty kill
- 30
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →WAR estimates how many wins a player added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player it could have called up from the AHL. It adds up offense, defense, special teams, shooting and penalties, then converts those goals into wins.
0.6
wins above replacement
0.2 to 1.2 — 90% interval
218 of 615 forwards
+3.2 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +0.0
- EV defense
- 0.0
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +1.5
- Penalties
- +1.0
- Average → replacement
- +0.7
In goals.
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →NHL EDGE measures what the eye can't put a number on: skating speed, shot power, distance covered and time spent in each zone, captured by chips in the puck and the shoulder pads. The percentile places the player within the league: 90th means better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 74.1 km/h2nd percentileleague avg. 125.0 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 36.9 km/h94th percentileleague avg. 34.7 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1272nd percentileleague avg. 9
- Offensive zone time
- 42.0 %51st percentileleague avg. 41.8 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 13.0 km19th percentileleague avg. 22.8 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 2.55 km5th percentileleague avg. 4.38 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 42.1 %65th percentileleague avg. 41.8 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.9 %46th percentileleague avg. 17.7 %
- Defensive zone time
- 40.1 %47th percentileleague avg. 40.4 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 318th percentile | 036th percentile | 0.0 %19th percentile |
| High danger | 128th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %40th percentile |
| Mid range | 133rd percentile | 069th percentile | 0.0 %57th percentile |
| Long range | 182nd percentile | 096th percentile | 0.0 %90th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
NJD
VAN
WSH
NYI
UTA
DET
TBLJaroslav Chmelar in five questions
How many goals does Jaroslav Chmelar have in 2026-27?
Jaroslav Chmelar has 0 goals and 0 points (0 assists) in 7 games in 2026-27.
How old and how tall is Jaroslav Chmelar?
Jaroslav Chmelar is 23 years old (born July 20, 2003). He is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 238 lb (108 kg).
Where is Jaroslav Chmelar from?
Jaroslav Chmelar was born in Nove Mesto nad Metuji, Czechia.
How good is Jaroslav Chmelar?
Jaroslav Chmelar produced 0.6 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 218th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 54 out of 100: around average for his position.
How much does Jaroslav Chmelar make?
Jaroslav Chmelar earns $868K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 72 out of 100 (good value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
See also: his New York Rangers teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)