Fabian
Zetterlund
L · OTT · Balanced · Around average
- PAL
- 49
- WAR
- 0.7
- Value
- 37
- PTS
- 33
2025-26№ 200 / 615
Fabian Zetterlund (Ottawa Senators) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Fabian Zetterlund
#20LPlays: Left wing · 1% of faceoffs
Ottawa Senators
HEIGHT : 180 cm · WEIGHT : 94 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : August 24, 1999 · Karlstad, Sweden
Drafted : 2017 · NJD · round 3, pick #63
Contract : $4,275,000 · 2025-26 → 2027-28 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Ottawa Senators | 18 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | Ottawa Senators | 82 | 17 | 16 | 33 | 16 |
| 2024-25 | Ottawa Senators | 20 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 2024-25 | San Jose Sharks | 64 | 17 | 19 | 36 | 10 |
| 2023-24 | San Jose Sharks | 82 | 24 | 20 | 44 | 33 |
| 2022-23 | San Jose Sharks | 22 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 2022-23 | New Jersey Devils | 45 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
| 2021-22 | New Jersey Devils | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 347 | 71 | 86 | 157 | 79 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Ottawa Senators | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | Ottawa Senators | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Fabian Zetterlund: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 17 G, 16 A, 33 PTS, -1 +/-, 12:55 TOI. WAR 0.7 (200th of 615) · PAL 49, around average.
In 2025-26, Fabian Zetterlund, 27, posts a PAL Rating of 49 out of 100 (around average), and his WAR of 0.7 ranks 200th among 615 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: discipline (93, among the best in the league), possession (69, above average) and creation (65, above average). On the other hand, defense (24, well below average) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: penalties (+1.5); his biggest cost: EV defense (-2.4).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 25 in 2024-25 to 49; his WAR went from -0.3 to 0.7.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 37 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Fabian Zetterlund's story
Growing up in the Färjestad BK system, Fabian Zetterlund moved through the club’s junior ranks and made early appearances in Sweden’s top tier, developing the blend of skill and instinct that would carry him to North America.
At junior level he posted notable totals—16 goals and 26 points in J20 Superelit in 2016–17—while his initial SHL minutes were sparse. An ACL injury in 2018–19 cut short a season with Färjestad after 16 games, prompting rehabilitation and, soon after, a step toward the NHL following his draft selection in 2017.
Chosen 63rd overall by the New Jersey Devils, Zetterlund signed a three-year entry-level deal on 13 May 2019 and split time between the AHL and NHL as he adjusted to the pro game. In the AHL he produced consistently—eight goals and 19 points in 46 games with Binghamton in 2019–20 and later 24 goals and 52 points in 58 games with Utica in 2021–22. He made his NHL debut in November 2021 and scored his first NHL goal on 13 April 2022.
On 26 February 2023 he was traded to the San Jose Sharks, where after a difficult short stint he signed a two-year contract on 1 July 2023. The 2023–24 campaign was a breakout in terms of availability and scoring: he played all 82 games and registered career highs with 24 goals and 44 points. The following season he added 17 goals and 36 points in 64 games. Traded to the Ottawa Senators on 7 March 2025, he debuted three days later, notched his first Senators assist on 27 March and his first goal for Ottawa on 8 April, finishing the regular stint in Ottawa with two goals and five points in 20 games; he re-signed a three-year deal on 19 June 2025.
Internationally, Zetterlund has represented Sweden at several youth levels, appeared in two World Junior Championships—including the 2018 silver-medal run as part of the squad—and won bronze at the 2024 IIHF World Championship. On the ice he is a winger who brings secondary scoring, shot-first instincts and dependable availability, traits that have allowed him to take on both depth and top-six responsibilities at various times in his career.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 13:57
- PP TOI/GP
- 1:42
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:01
- Pts/GP
- 0.44
- EV points
- 6
- Hits
- 36
- Blocks
- 9
- Takeaways
- 3
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 53.9 %
- Off. zone starts
- 34.6 %
- Faceoffs
- 100.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
34between 17 and 51 (80% range)
- Goals
- 13
- Assists
- 21
- Games
- 83
So far: 8 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.41 pts per game (last season: 0.40).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slightly up
- Points per game: 0.54 in 23-24, 0.40 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 25 → 49
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 27: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 82 %
75
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 81
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 82
- Confidence 85 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 70
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 85
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 80
- Confidence 85 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 68
- Confidence 66 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 87
- Confidence 85 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 72
- Confidence 29 %
- PA
- Passing
- 71
- Confidence 82 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 75
- Confidence 82 %
- DF
- Defense
- 66
- Confidence 79 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 84
- Confidence 29 %
- EX
- Experience
- 71
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating81
- Top speed (35 %)36.5 · 81
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)6.125 · 78
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.2 · 77
- Speed consistency (15 %)36 · 85
ST — Strength82
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.831 · 83
- Body mass (50 %)0.129 · 77
EN — Endurance70
- Ice time per game (45 %)14.3 · 71
- Total ice time (20 %)1,039 · 75
- Shift length (15 %)43.8 · 65
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)12.8 · 70
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.737 · 69
DU — Durability85
- Share of games played (100 %)0.873 · 85
CK — Checking80
- Hits /60 (70 %)6.801 · 82
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.826 · 76
- Season volume (10 %)5.05 · 85
FG — Fighting68
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.722 · 68
DI — Discipline87
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.061 · 87
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.479 · 83
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.836 · 78
FO — Faceoffs72
- Faceoff % (85 %)50 · 76
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)9.087 · 35
PA — Passing71
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.672 · 74
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.35 · 62
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.041 · 69
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.366 · 75
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.565 · 78
SC — Scoring75
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.911 · 74
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.918 · 78
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.014 · 72
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.428 · 77
- xG per shot (10 %)0.077 · 67
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)15.9 · 81
DF — Defense66
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.126 · 59
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.149 · 65
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.72 · 69
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.041 · 80
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-0.879 · 89
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)59.6 · 68
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)3.255 · 87
PS — Penalty shot84
- Shootouts (60 %)33.6 · 85
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience71
- Career regular-season games (65 %)82
- Career playoff games (25 %)45
- NHL seasons (10 %)61
OV — Overall75
- SC · Scoring (28 %)75
- PA · Passing (22 %)71
- DF · Defense (18 %)66
- SK · Skating (12 %)81
- EN · Endurance (8 %)70
- DI · Discipline (5 %)87
- ST · Strength (4 %)82
- CK · Checking (3 %)80
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 75 | 81 | 75 | 66 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 81 | 73 | 61 |
| 2023-24 | 71 | 82 | 75 | 59 |
| 2022-23 | 65 | 80 | 60 | 67 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.7
wins above replacement
200 of 615
PAL Rating
49/ 100
Performance · Around average
227 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
37/ 100
Poor return
4.28 M$ · expected PAL 61
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 60
- Defense
- 32
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 53
- Creation
- 65
- Shooting
- 60
- Possession
- 69
- Defense
- 24
- Discipline
- 93
- Power play
- 48
- Penalty kill
- 47
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | OTT | 0.7 | 49 | 37 | 4.28 M$ |
| 2024-25 | OTT | -0.3 | 25 | 31 | 1.45 M$ |
| 2023-24 | SJS | 0.1 | 18 | 21 | 1.45 M$ |
| 2022-23 | SJS | -1.0 | 13 | 25 | 0.75 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
91/ 100
Elite
better than 91% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
74/ 100
Very good
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
85/ 100
Very good
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Why 91, higher than both scores? Overall IQ isn't an average, it's a rank: 37 of 424 forwards. Few players are good at both ends at once; being so puts Fabian Zetterlund ahead of almost everyone else.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 58
- Shot selection
- 28
- Penalties drawn
- 82
- Puck management
- 93
Defense
- Takeaways
- 70
- Discipline
- 65
- Safe zone exits
- 81
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | OTT | 91 | 74 | 85 |
| 2024-25 | OTT | 92 | 59 | 96 |
| 2023-24 | SJS | 51 | 10 | 86 |
| 2022-23 | SJS | 48 | 30 | 67 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.7
wins above replacement
-0.7 to 1.8 — 90% interval
200 of 615 forwards
+3.9 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +1.2
- EV defense
- -2.4
- Power play
- -0.4
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +1.3
- Penalties
- +1.5
- Average → replacement
- +2.7
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | OTT | 83 | 0.7 | -0.7 to 1.8 | 200/615 |
| 2024-25 | OTT | 81 | -0.3 | -1.2 to 0.8 | 525/596 |
| 2023-24 | SJS | 82 | 0.1 | -1.3 to 1.6 | 332/608 |
| 2022-23 | SJS | 67 | -1.0 | -2.0 to -0.3 | 606/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 140.2 km/h80th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 36.3 km/h80th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 3380th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 44.3 %75th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 64.3 km60th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.41 km45th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 43.2 %85th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.1 %51st percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 37.6 %75th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3986th percentile | 254th percentile | 5.1 %11th percentile |
| High danger | 1174th percentile | 157th percentile | 9.1 %20th percentile |
| Mid range | 1692nd percentile | 177th percentile | 6.3 %36th percentile |
| Long range | 383rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
🔥 2-game point streak
UTA
BUF
ANA
SJS
LAK
VGK
NYR
FLA
PHI
NYI
STL
NJD
NSH
DET
BOS
TORFabian Zetterlund: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Fabian Zetterlund have in 2026-27?
Fabian Zetterlund has 2 goals and 8 points (6 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Fabian Zetterlund?
Fabian Zetterlund is 27 years old: he was born on August 25, 1999.
How tall is Fabian Zetterlund, and how much does he weigh?
Fabian Zetterlund is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 207 lb (94 kg).
Where is Fabian Zetterlund from?
Sweden: Fabian Zetterlund was born in Karlstad, Sweden.
What team does Fabian Zetterlund play for?
Fabian Zetterlund plays for the Ottawa Senators in the NHL, at L, wearing number 20.
Is Fabian Zetterlund injured?
No: Fabian Zetterlund is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Fabian Zetterlund?
Fabian Zetterlund produced 0.7 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 200th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 49 out of 100: around average for his position.
How much does Fabian Zetterlund make?
Fabian Zetterlund earns $4.3M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 37 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Fabian Zetterlund's contract end?
Fabian Zetterlund's contract runs through the 2027-28 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Fabian Zetterlund overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 37 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Fabian Zetterlund a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 200th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Fabian Zetterlund getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 25 in 2024-25 to 49 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Fabian Zetterlund played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Fabian Zetterlund has 5 points (1 goal, 4 assists).
What are Fabian Zetterlund's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Fabian Zetterlund has 347 games, 71 goals, 86 assists and 157 points. His best season: 2023-24, with 44 points in 82 games.
Where was Fabian Zetterlund drafted?
Fabian Zetterlund was drafted 63rd overall (round 3) by New Jersey Devils in 2017.
Is Fabian Zetterlund better at home or on the road?
No real difference: in 2026-27, he averages 0.50 points per game at home (4 in 8 games) and 0.40 on the road (4 in 10 games).
How does Fabian Zetterlund perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Fabian Zetterlund has 10 games and 0 points in his career. His pace (0.00 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.45).
Which player is most similar to Fabian Zetterlund?
Pierre-Luc Dubois: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Pierre-Luc Dubois's page →Is Fabian Zetterlund a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 34 points in 2026-27, or 0.41 points per game.
Is Fabian Zetterlund related to anyone famous?
Yes: Andre Lee (cousin, left wing who plays for the Ontario Reign).
What is Fabian Zetterlund's nationality?
Fabian Zetterlund is Swedish. Internationally: has represented Sweden at U17, U18, U20 and World Championship levels; silver medal at the 2018 World Junior Championship; selected again (alternate captain) for the 2019 World Junior Championship—team eliminated in the quarterfinals; bronze medal at the 2024 IIHF World Championship.
Where did Fabian Zetterlund play before turning pro?
played youth hockey in the Färjestad BK program; made SHL debut with Färjestad BK in 2015–16; played in the J20 Superelit in 2016–17 (16 goals and 26 points)..
How many points is Fabian Zetterlund projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 34 points in 83 games in 2026-27 (17 to 51 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Ottawa Senators teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)