Emil
Heineman
L · NYI · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 29
- WAR
- 1.2
- Value
- 41
- PTS
- 31
2025-26№ 136 / 615
Emil Heineman (New York Islanders) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Emil Heineman
#51LPlays: Left wing · 2% of faceoffs
New York Islanders
HEIGHT : 188 cm · WEIGHT : 93 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : November 15, 2001 · Leksand, Sweden
Drafted : 2020 · FLA · round 2, pick #43
Contract : $1,100,000 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · RFA (Arb)
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | New York Islanders | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 |
| 2025-26 | New York Islanders | 82 | 22 | 9 | 31 | 18 |
| 2024-25 | Montréal Canadiens | 62 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | Montréal Canadiens | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 164 | 34 | 23 | 57 | 57 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Montréal Canadiens | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
Emil Heineman: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 22 G, 9 A, 31 PTS, -13 +/-, 16:37 TOI. WAR 1.2 (136th of 615) · PAL 29, below average.
In 2025-26, Emil Heineman, 24, posts a PAL Rating of 29 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 1.2 ranks 136th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: shooting (67, above average), penalty kill (66, above average) and discipline (64, above average). On the other hand, offense (26, below average) and possession (32, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+2.4); his biggest cost: EV offense (-0.9).
A marked decline: his PAL was 41 in 2024-25, against 29 now; his WAR, though, went from 0.6 to 1.2.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 41 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Emil Heineman's story
Growing up in Leksand, Emil Heineman broke into senior hockey with Leksands IF during the 2019–20 SHL season and developed there as a winger known for quick edges and an attacking instinct around the net. That early SHL exposure caught NHL attention and led to his selection in the second round, 43rd overall, by the Florida Panthers at the 2020 draft.
Heineman stayed in Sweden to continue his progression. In 2021–22 he posted career highs in his first full SHL campaign, appearing in 38 games and scoring 11 goals for 16 points. While he was still overseas his NHL rights changed hands: traded from Florida to Calgary in April 2021, then packaged to Montréal in February 2022 as part of a deal that brought Tyler Toffoli to Calgary.
Montréal signed him to a three-year entry-level contract commencing with the 2022–23 season on 4 April 2022, and he joined the Laval Rocket on a professional tryout to finish that AHL season. Over the next two seasons he moved between Laval and the Canadiens. He was recalled on 13 December 2023 and made his NHL debut on 21 December 2023 in a 4–3 loss to Minnesota. After further short stints in the NHL, he won a spot on Montréal’s opening night roster in 2024–25 and recorded his first NHL point — a goal against Linus Ullmark — in a 4–1 victory over Ottawa on 12 October.
Heineman’s rookie campaign ranked him among the top-10 scorers among rookies, but a traffic accident on 13 January 2025 sidelined him for several weeks with an upper-body injury. In late June 2025 he was part of a trade that sent him and two first-round picks to the New York Islanders in exchange for Noah Dobson; as a restricted free agent he then signed a two-year deal with the Islanders on 2 July.
On the international stage he represented Sweden at the 2021 World Junior Championships, finishing fifth, and made his senior debut at the 2025 World Championship where he collected three points and helped Sweden secure the bronze medal. In plain terms, Heineman’s game features quick mobility, a knack for finding scoring areas close to goal and a willingness to generate offence on the forecheck.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 14:57
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:31
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:49
- Pts/GP
- 0.50
- EV points
- 6
- Hits
- 43
- Blocks
- 5
- Takeaways
- 2
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 51.3 %
- Off. zone starts
- 33.8 %
- Faceoffs
- 0.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
35between 18 and 52 (80% range)
- Goals
- 17
- Assists
- 18
- Games
- 79
So far: 8 pts in 16 games. The team has played 16 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.43 pts per game (last season: 0.38).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.29 in 24-25, 0.38 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 41 → 29
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 24: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 67 %
67
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 87
- Confidence 67 %
- ST
- Strength
- 87
- Confidence 72 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 75
- Confidence 67 %
- DU
- Durability
- 67
- Confidence 67 %
- CK
- Checking
- 87
- Confidence 72 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 70
- Confidence 48 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 73
- Confidence 72 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 42
- Confidence 67 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 76
- Confidence 67 %
- DF
- Defense
- 73
- Confidence 63 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 97
- Confidence 33 %
- EX
- Experience
- 59
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating87
- Top speed (35 %)36.9 · 87
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)8.224 · 86
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.1 · 73
- Speed consistency (15 %)36 · 84
ST — Strength87
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.359 · 87
- Body mass (50 %)0.243 · 78
EN — Endurance75
- Ice time per game (45 %)14.7 · 74
- Total ice time (20 %)1,304 · 82
- Shift length (15 %)46.3 · 77
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)12.1 · 67
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.006 · 72
DU — Durability67
- Share of games played (100 %)0.756 · 67
CK — Checking87
- Hits /60 (70 %)10.2 · 87
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)9.1 · 87
- Season volume (10 %)5.513 · 92
FG — Fighting70
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.754 · 70
DI — Discipline73
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.011 · 72
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.554 · 79
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.623 · 65
PA — Passing42
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.347 · 37
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.334 · 60
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.011 · 62
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.486 · 59
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.264 · 60
SC — Scoring76
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.977 · 77
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.867 · 75
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.481 · 81
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.175 · 68
- xG per shot (10 %)0.079 · 71
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)14.7 · 77
DF — Defense73
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.028 · 78
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.003 · 75
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.753 · 67
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.044 · 81
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.918 · 67
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)59.1 · 71
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.799 · 81
PS — Penalty shot97
- Shootouts (60 %)35.8 · 90
- Penalty shots (40 %)30.2 · 93
EX — Experience59
- Career regular-season games (65 %)71
- Career playoff games (25 %)34
- NHL seasons (10 %)47
OV — Overall67
- SC · Scoring (28 %)76
- PA · Passing (22 %)42
- DF · Defense (18 %)73
- SK · Skating (12 %)87
- EN · Endurance (8 %)75
- DI · Discipline (5 %)73
- ST · Strength (4 %)87
- CK · Checking (3 %)87
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 67 | 87 | 76 | 73 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 84 | 73 | 84 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.2
wins above replacement
136 of 615
PAL Rating
29/ 100
Performance · Below average
324 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
41/ 100
Poor return
1.10 M$ · expected PAL 38
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 41
- Defense
- 35
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 26
- Creation
- 62
- Shooting
- 67
- Possession
- 32
- Defense
- 34
- Discipline
- 64
- Power play
- 37
- Penalty kill
- 66
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYI | 1.2 | 29 | 41 | 1.10 M$ |
| 2024-25 | MTL | 0.6 | 41 | 58 | 0.90 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
22/ 100
Below average
better than 22% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
18/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
39/ 100
Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 329 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 2
- Shot selection
- 41
- Penalties drawn
- 25
- Puck management
- 79
Defense
- Takeaways
- 2
- Discipline
- 75
- Safe zone exits
- 58
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYI | 22 | 18 | 39 |
| 2024-25 | MTL | 11 | 3 | 41 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.2
wins above replacement
-0.1 to 1.8 — 90% interval
136 of 615 forwards
+6.3 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.9
- EV defense
- +0.4
- Power play
- +0.1
- Penalty kill
- +0.1
- Shooting
- +2.4
- Penalties
- +0.9
- Average → replacement
- +3.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYI | 82 | 1.2 | -0.1 to 1.8 | 136/615 |
| 2024-25 | MTL | 62 | 0.6 | -0.2 to 1.4 | 209/596 |
| 2023-24 | MTL | 4 | -0.0 | -0.1 to 0.0 | 399/608 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 146.1 km/h93rd percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 36.7 km/h87th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2364th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 39.9 %26th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 61.8 km56th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.56 km51st percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.1 %50th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.1 %50th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 42.0 %25th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2459th percentile | 254th percentile | 8.3 %22nd percentile |
| High danger | 646th percentile | 157th percentile | 16.7 %43rd percentile |
| Mid range | 1075th percentile | 177th percentile | 10.0 %43rd percentile |
| Long range | 272nd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
🔥 2-game point streak
NJD
CAR
EDM
MIN
NSH
DAL
LAK
ANA
TOR
OTT
VAN
TBL
CHI
NYREmil Heineman: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Emil Heineman have in 2026-27?
Emil Heineman has 2 goals and 8 points (6 assists) in 16 games in 2026-27.
How old is Emil Heineman?
Emil Heineman is 24 years old: he was born on November 16, 2001.
How tall is Emil Heineman, and how much does he weigh?
Emil Heineman is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).
Where is Emil Heineman from?
Sweden: Emil Heineman was born in Leksand, Sweden.
What team does Emil Heineman play for?
Emil Heineman plays for the New York Islanders in the NHL, at L, wearing number 51.
Is Emil Heineman injured?
No: Emil Heineman is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Emil Heineman?
Emil Heineman produced 1.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 136th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 29 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Emil Heineman make?
Emil Heineman earns $1.1M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 41 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Emil Heineman's contract end?
Emil Heineman's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Emil Heineman overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 41 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Emil Heineman a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 136th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Emil Heineman getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 41 in 2024-25 to 29 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Emil Heineman played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Emil Heineman has 6 points (0 goals, 6 assists).
What are Emil Heineman's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Emil Heineman has 164 games, 34 goals, 23 assists and 57 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 31 points in 82 games.
Where was Emil Heineman drafted?
Emil Heineman was drafted 43rd overall (round 2) by Florida Panthers in 2020.
Is Emil Heineman better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.56 points per game at home (5 in 9 games) and 0.43 on the road (3 in 7 games).
How does Emil Heineman perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Emil Heineman has 5 games and 1 point in his career. His pace (0.20 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.35).
Which player is most similar to Emil Heineman?
Arttu Hyry: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Arttu Hyry's page →Is Emil Heineman a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 35 points in 2026-27, or 0.44 points per game.
What is Emil Heineman's nationality?
Emil Heineman is Swedish. Internationally: Sweden: 2021 World Junior Championships (5th place), 2025 World Championship (bronze medal, recorded 3 points).
How many points is Emil Heineman projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 35 points in 79 games in 2026-27 (18 to 52 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his New York Islanders teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)