Eeli
Tolvanen
R · NYR · Balanced · Very poor
- PAL
- 19
- WAR
- -0.6
- Value
- 14
- PTS
- 36
2025-26№ 581 / 615
Eeli Tolvanen (New York Rangers) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Eeli Tolvanen
#17RPlays: Right wing · 0% of faceoffs
New York Rangers
HEIGHT : 180 cm · WEIGHT : 83 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : April 21, 1999 · Vihti, Finland
Drafted : 2017 · NSH · round 1, pick #30
Contract : $1,500,000 · 2026-27 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | New York Rangers | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Seattle Kraken | 78 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 30 |
| 2024-25 | Seattle Kraken | 81 | 23 | 12 | 35 | 23 |
| 2023-24 | Seattle Kraken | 81 | 16 | 25 | 41 | 24 |
| 2022-23 | Seattle Kraken | 48 | 16 | 11 | 27 | 10 |
| 2022-23 | Nashville Predators | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | Nashville Predators | 75 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 16 |
| 2020-21 | Nashville Predators | 40 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 4 |
| 2018-19 | Nashville Predators | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2017-18 | Nashville Predators | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 441 | 96 | 100 | 196 | 115 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | Seattle Kraken | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 2021-22 | Nashville Predators | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2020-21 | Nashville Predators | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 21 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | |
Eeli Tolvanen: our analysis
2025-26 season: 78 GP, 12 G, 24 A, 36 PTS, -18 +/-, 16:03 TOI. WAR -0.6 (581st of 615) · PAL 19, very poor.
In 2025-26, Eeli Tolvanen, 27, posts a PAL Rating of 19 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.6 ranks 581st among 615 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
His strengths: power play (71, above average), penalty kill (69, above average) and defense (63, above average). On the other hand, possession (4, among the weakest in the league) and discipline (15, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+1.2); his biggest cost: finishing (-4.3).
A marked decline: his PAL was 44 in 2024-25, against 19 now; his WAR went from 1.5 to -0.6.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 14 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Eeli Tolvanen's story
Growing up in Vihti, Tolvanen moved through Finland’s junior ranks before opting for a North American route. After time with the Blues Espoo juniors, he joined the Sioux City Musketeers of the USHL in 2015–16 to test himself against stronger competition and raise his profile for the NHL draft.
A strong 2016–17 campaign with Sioux City put him on draft boards; Nashville selected him 30th overall in the 2017 NHL Entry Draft. Tolvanen had planned to continue at Boston College, but his NCAA path closed when his admission was denied for a high-school credit issue, sending him toward a professional contract instead.
In July 2017 he signed a two-year optional deal with Jokerit of the KHL and made an immediate impact. He scored a hat trick in his KHL debut on 23 August 2017 — becoming the youngest player in league history to do so — and added a second hat trick on 25 September. Named KHL Rookie of the Month in both September and October, he finished the regular season with 19 goals and 17 assists in 49 games, setting a new KHL scoring mark for players under 19, before signing a three-year entry-level contract with Nashville after Jokerit’s playoff exit.
Tolvanen split time between the Nashville Predators and their AHL affiliate, the Milwaukee Admirals. He scored his first AHL goal on 13 October and netted his first NHL goal on 1 December 2018 against Cam Ward. After several seasons in the Predators organization, he was placed on waivers in December 2022 and claimed by the Seattle Kraken the following day. In Seattle he saw steadier deployment, scoring his first Kraken goal on 1 January 2023 on the power play and finishing that season with 16 goals and 11 assists in 48 games; he also scored Seattle’s first-ever playoff goal on 18 April.
Internationally, Tolvanen represented Finland at the U18 level, winning gold at the 2016 World U18 Championships, and played at the World Junior Championships in 2017 and 2018. He was on Finland’s roster for the 2018 Winter Olympics, producing nine points in five games and recording four points in Finland’s opening win over Germany. He later faced his brother Atte at the 2025 World Championship and won an Olympic bronze medal with Finland in 2026. On the ice, Tolvanen is known for a quick, accurate shot and a knack for finding scoring lanes, qualities that surfaced early in the KHL and have carried into his NHL play.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 12:30
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:48
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:17
- Pts/GP
- 0.33
- EV points
- 6
- Hits
- 26
- Blocks
- 15
- Takeaways
- 0
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 46.9 %
- Off. zone starts
- 26.4 %
- Faceoffs
- 0.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
35between 17 and 52 (80% range)
- Goals
- 14
- Assists
- 20
- Games
- 82
So far: 6 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.45 pts per game (last season: 0.46).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.51 in 23-24, 0.46 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 44 → 19
Outlook, age included
↘ Slight declineAge 27: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 82 %
62
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 64
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 60
- Confidence 85 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 77
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 85
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 85
- Confidence 85 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 71
- Confidence 65 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 63
- Confidence 85 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 68
- Confidence 82 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 66
- Confidence 82 %
- DF
- Defense
- 77
- Confidence 79 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 53
- Confidence 37 %
- EX
- Experience
- 78
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating64
- Top speed (35 %)35.4 · 64
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)3.27 · 61
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.1 · 76
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.9 · 68
ST — Strength60
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.465 · 68
- Body mass (50 %)-1.152 · 63
EN — Endurance77
- Ice time per game (45 %)15 · 76
- Total ice time (20 %)1,221 · 79
- Shift length (15 %)45.2 · 71
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)13.9 · 76
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.347 · 77
DU — Durability85
- Share of games played (100 %)0.872 · 85
CK — Checking85
- Hits /60 (70 %)8.963 · 85
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)5.917 · 82
- Season volume (10 %)5.236 · 89
FG — Fighting71
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.769 · 71
DI — Discipline63
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.022 · 62
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.649 · 75
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.517 · 58
PA — Passing68
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.634 · 71
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.457 · 75
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.09 · 51
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.802 · 82
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.324 · 64
SC — Scoring66
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.863 · 71
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.774 · 67
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.089 · 74
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.918 · 51
- xG per shot (10 %)0.075 · 60
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)15 · 78
DF — Defense77
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.052 · 80
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.063 · 71
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.685 · 70
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.032 · 60
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.143 · 83
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)61.8 · 55
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)3.679 · 90
PS — Penalty shot53
- Shootouts (60 %)30.7 · 59
- Penalty shots (40 %)25.4 · 57
EX — Experience78
- Career regular-season games (65 %)85
- Career playoff games (25 %)58
- NHL seasons (10 %)78
OV — Overall62
- SC · Scoring (28 %)66
- PA · Passing (22 %)68
- DF · Defense (18 %)77
- SK · Skating (12 %)64
- EN · Endurance (8 %)77
- DI · Discipline (5 %)63
- ST · Strength (4 %)60
- CK · Checking (3 %)85
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 62 | 64 | 66 | 77 |
| 2024-25 | 67 | 65 | 77 | 78 |
| 2023-24 | 70 | 69 | 72 | 80 |
| 2022-23 | 73 | 67 | 78 | 83 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.6
wins above replacement
581 of 615
PAL Rating
19/ 100
Performance · Very poor
379 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
14/ 100
Very poor return
3.48 M$ · expected PAL 58
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 23
- Defense
- 42
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 40
- Creation
- 28
- Shooting
- 18
- Possession
- 4
- Defense
- 63
- Discipline
- 15
- Power play
- 71
- Penalty kill
- 69
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SEA | -0.6 | 19 | 14 | 3.48 M$ |
| 2024-25 | SEA | 1.5 | 44 | 31 | 3.48 M$ |
| 2023-24 | SEA | -0.4 | 33 | 39 | 1.45 M$ |
| 2022-23 | SEA | 1.7 | 58 | 62 | 1.45 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
29/ 100
Below average
better than 29% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
11/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
65/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 299 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 32
- Shot selection
- 9
- Penalties drawn
- 25
- Puck management
- 65
Defense
- Takeaways
- 54
- Discipline
- 50
- Safe zone exits
- 74
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SEA | 29 | 11 | 65 |
| 2024-25 | SEA | 15 | 10 | 37 |
| 2023-24 | SEA | 22 | 5 | 60 |
| 2022-23 | SEA | 25 | 5 | 60 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.6
wins above replacement
-1.3 to 0.6 — 90% interval
581 of 615 forwards
-3.1 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -2.1
- EV defense
- +1.2
- Power play
- -0.1
- Penalty kill
- -0.2
- Shooting
- -4.3
- Penalties
- -0.9
- Average → replacement
- +3.2
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SEA | 78 | -0.6 | -1.3 to 0.6 | 581/615 |
| 2024-25 | SEA | 78 | 1.5 | -0.1 to 2.7 | 105/596 |
| 2023-24 | SEA | 81 | -0.4 | -1.3 to 0.6 | 533/608 |
| 2022-23 | SEA | 61 | 1.7 | 0.5 to 2.8 | 84/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 143.8 km/h88th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.3 km/h26th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1337th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 39.3 %20th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 57.7 km48th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 3.79 km27th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 39.0 %16th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.2 %57th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 42.5 %19th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2050th percentile | 474th percentile | 20.0 %80th percentile |
| High danger | 433rd percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %10th percentile |
| Mid range | 334th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 272nd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
SEA
PHI
STL
EDM
LAK
OTT
TOR
ANA
CBJ
NJD
TBL
VAN
WSH
NYI
UTA
DET
BOSEeli Tolvanen: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Eeli Tolvanen have in 2026-27?
Eeli Tolvanen has 4 goals and 6 points (2 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Eeli Tolvanen?
Eeli Tolvanen is 27 years old: he was born on April 22, 1999.
How tall is Eeli Tolvanen, and how much does he weigh?
Eeli Tolvanen is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).
Where is Eeli Tolvanen from?
Finland: Eeli Tolvanen was born in Vihti, Finland.
What team does Eeli Tolvanen play for?
Eeli Tolvanen plays for the New York Rangers in the NHL, at R, wearing number 17.
Is Eeli Tolvanen injured?
No: Eeli Tolvanen is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Eeli Tolvanen?
Eeli Tolvanen produced -0.6 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 581st of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 19 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Eeli Tolvanen make?
Eeli Tolvanen earns $3.5M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 14 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Eeli Tolvanen's contract end?
Eeli Tolvanen's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Eeli Tolvanen overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 14 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Eeli Tolvanen a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 581st of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Eeli Tolvanen getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 44 in 2024-25 to 19 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Eeli Tolvanen played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Eeli Tolvanen has 2 points (1 goal, 1 assist).
What are Eeli Tolvanen's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Eeli Tolvanen has 441 games, 96 goals, 100 assists and 196 points. His best season: 2023-24, with 41 points in 81 games.
Where was Eeli Tolvanen drafted?
Eeli Tolvanen was drafted 30th overall (round 1) by Nashville Predators in 2017.
Is Eeli Tolvanen better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.50 points per game at home (5 in 10 games) and 0.13 on the road (1 in 8 games).
How does Eeli Tolvanen perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Eeli Tolvanen has 21 games and 9 points in his career. His pace (0.43 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.44).
Which player is most similar to Eeli Tolvanen?
Noah Laba: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Noah Laba's page →Is Eeli Tolvanen a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 35 points in 2026-27, or 0.43 points per game.
Does Eeli Tolvanen have siblings?
Yes: his brother Joona Tolvanen (plays in the Finnish Mestis league), his brother Atte Tolvanen (plays for EC Red Bull Salzburg in the Austrian ICE Hockey League; has received Austrian citizenship).
What is Eeli Tolvanen's nationality?
Eeli Tolvanen is Finnish. Internationally: Finland — gold medal at the 2016 World U18 Championship; played at the 2017 and 2018 World Junior Championships; selected for the 2018 Winter Olympics (9 points in 5 games); bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics.
What awards has Eeli Tolvanen won?
KHL Rookie of the Month — September 2017 ; KHL Rookie of the Month — October 2017 ; Voted by fans to the 2018 KHL All-Star Game.
How many championships has Eeli Tolvanen won?
2: 2016 World U18 Championship — Gold medal with Finland; 2026 Winter Olympics — Bronze medal with Finland.
Where did Eeli Tolvanen play before turning pro?
Kiekko‑Espoo (Finland); Sioux City Musketeers (USHL), opted for a North American development path in the 2015–16 season and played two seasons in the USHL.
How many points is Eeli Tolvanen projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 35 points in 82 games in 2026-27 (17 to 52 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his New York Rangers teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)