Connor
McMichael
L · STL · Balanced · Very poor
- PAL
- 8
- WAR
- -0.8
- Value
- 10
- PTS
- 46
2025-26№ 591 / 615
Connor McMichael (St. Louis Blues) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Connor McMichael
#77LPlays: Left wing · 15% of faceoffs
St. Louis Blues
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 82 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : January 14, 2001 · Ajax, Canada
Drafted : 2019 · WSH · round 1, pick #25
Contract : $6,750,000 · 2026-27 → 2031-32 · Standard Contract · UFAM-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | St. Louis Blues | 17 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | Washington Capitals | 78 | 14 | 32 | 46 | 30 |
| 2024-25 | Washington Capitals | 82 | 26 | 31 | 57 | 49 |
| 2023-24 | Washington Capitals | 80 | 18 | 15 | 33 | 34 |
| 2022-23 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2021-22 | Washington Capitals | 68 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
| 2020-21 | Washington Capitals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| NHL totals | 332 | 69 | 94 | 163 | 132 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Washington Capitals | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 2023-24 | Washington Capitals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | Washington Capitals | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | |
Connor McMichael: our analysis
2025-26 season: 78 GP, 14 G, 32 A, 46 PTS, +8 +/-, 16:54 TOI. WAR -0.8 (591st of 615) · PAL 8, very poor.
In 2025-26, Connor McMichael, 25, posts a PAL Rating of 8 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.8 ranks 591st among 615 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
His strengths: creation (68, above average) and offense (62, above average). On the other hand, defense (7, among the weakest in the league) and discipline (13, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+1.8); his biggest cost: finishing (-4.0).
A marked decline: his PAL was 50 in 2024-25, against 8 now; his WAR went from 0.6 to -0.8.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 10 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Connor McMichael's story
Growing up around rinks in Ajax, Ontario, Connor McMichael moved quickly through the Ontario junior ranks and established himself at centre during his OHL tenure. He entered the league as a high pick for the Hamilton Bulldogs and experienced the usual learning curve of a young forward adapting to bigger ice and tougher competition.
January 2018 brought a defining change when Hamilton traded him to the London Knights. With London he completed his rookie year and then broke out offensively in 2018–19: multi-goal games, a first career hat trick and several four-point nights highlighted a season in which he led the Knights with 36 goals and 72 points. That surge in production helped him land 25th overall in the 2019 NHL Entry Draft, when the Washington Capitals selected him and signed him to a three-year entry-level deal later that summer.
His professional path mixed AHL seasoning with NHL opportunities. McMichael made his NHL debut on January 24, 2021, and spent the remainder of that season developing with the Hershey Bears in the AHL. He earned a spot on Washington’s roster out of the 2021 training camp and scored his first NHL goal on November 4, 2021, against the Florida Panthers. On July 1, 2024, the Capitals extended him for two years with an average annual value of US$2.1 million.
McMichael’s career took another turn on June 23, 2026, when Washington traded him, along with Milton Gästrin and a 2026 first-round pick, to the St. Louis Blues in exchange for Jordan Kyrou. Shortly thereafter, on July 16, 2026, he agreed to a six-year contract with St. Louis worth US$40.5 million.
A centre by position, McMichael’s junior resume emphasizes goal-scoring and playmaking — the 2018–19 totals with London are the clearest evidence of his offensive instincts. His professional resume so far combines those junior scoring traits with the typical development pattern of a young centre moving between the AHL and the NHL to expand his role.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 15:30
- PP TOI/GP
- 1:57
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:19
- Pts/GP
- 0.53
- EV points
- 6
- Hits
- 11
- Blocks
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 55.1 %
- Off. zone starts
- 41.4 %
- Faceoffs
- 44.2 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
47between 27 and 67 (80% range)
- Goals
- 13
- Assists
- 34
- Games
- 82
So far: 9 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.59 pts per game (last season: 0.59).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.41 in 23-24, 0.59 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 50 → 8
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 25: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 79 %
65
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 82
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 51
- Confidence 83 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 79
- Confidence 75 %
- DU
- Durability
- 78
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 68
- Confidence 83 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 77
- Confidence 60 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 56
- Confidence 83 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 57
- Confidence 80 %
- PA
- Passing
- 79
- Confidence 79 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 78
- Confidence 79 %
- DF
- Defense
- 57
- Confidence 76 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 46
- Confidence 37 %
- EX
- Experience
- 73
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating82
- Top speed (35 %)36.7 · 84
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)8.004 · 82
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.2 · 71
- Speed consistency (15 %)36 · 83
ST — Strength51
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)2.979 · 63
- Body mass (50 %)-1.217 · 60
EN — Endurance79
- Ice time per game (45 %)16 · 79
- Total ice time (20 %)1,288 · 82
- Shift length (15 %)43.8 · 70
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)15.1 · 80
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.98 · 80
DU — Durability78
- Share of games played (100 %)0.837 · 78
CK — Checking68
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.523 · 66
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.381 · 69
- Season volume (10 %)3.829 · 70
FG — Fighting77
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.85 · 77
DI — Discipline56
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.033 · 54
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.72 · 70
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.53 · 62
FO — Faceoffs57
- Faceoff % (85 %)45.3 · 57
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)26.9 · 66
PA — Passing79
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.792 · 80
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.53 · 78
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.077 · 79
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.731 · 62
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.488 · 76
SC — Scoring78
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.848 · 77
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.885 · 81
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.469 · 70
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.546 · 83
- xG per shot (10 %)0.086 · 85
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)12.6 · 77
DF — Defense57
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.152 · 55
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.264 · 59
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.924 · 54
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.074 · 67
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.23 · 78
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60.6 · 61
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.425 · 72
PS — Penalty shot46
- Shootouts (60 %)27.9 · 39
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience73
- Career regular-season games (65 %)81
- Career playoff games (25 %)56
- NHL seasons (10 %)66
OV — Overall65
- SC · Scoring (20 %)78
- PA · Passing (20 %)79
- DF · Defense (20 %)57
- SK · Skating (12 %)82
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)57
- EN · Endurance (8 %)79
- DI · Discipline (5 %)56
- ST · Strength (3 %)51
- CK · Checking (2 %)68
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 65 | 82 | 78 | 57 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 82 | 85 | 61 |
| 2023-24 | 68 | 86 | 78 | 67 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.8
wins above replacement
591 of 615
PAL Rating
8/ 100
Performance · Very poor
439 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
10/ 100
Very poor return
2.10 M$ · expected PAL 49
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 48
- Defense
- 5
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 62
- Creation
- 68
- Shooting
- 37
- Possession
- 16
- Defense
- 7
- Discipline
- 13
- Power play
- 19
- Penalty kill
- 36
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WSH | -0.8 | 8 | 10 | 2.10 M$ |
| 2024-25 | WSH | 0.6 | 50 | 49 | 2.10 M$ |
| 2023-24 | WSH | -0.6 | 20 | 32 | 0.86 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
85/ 100
Very good
better than 85% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
66/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
84/ 100
Very good
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Why 85, higher than both scores? Overall IQ isn't an average, it's a rank: 62 of 424 forwards. Few players are good at both ends at once; being so puts Connor McMichael ahead of almost everyone else.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 96
- Shot selection
- 69
- Penalties drawn
- 13
- Puck management
- 40
Defense
- Takeaways
- 86
- Discipline
- 50
- Safe zone exits
- 67
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WSH | 85 | 66 | 84 |
| 2024-25 | WSH | 68 | 69 | 58 |
| 2023-24 | WSH | 70 | 82 | 39 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.8
wins above replacement
-2.0 to 0.0 — 90% interval
591 of 615 forwards
-4.3 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +1.8
- EV defense
- -3.9
- Power play
- -0.1
- Penalty kill
- -0.4
- Shooting
- -4.0
- Penalties
- -1.0
- Average → replacement
- +3.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WSH | 78 | -0.8 | -2.0 to 0.0 | 591/615 |
| 2024-25 | WSH | 79 | 0.6 | -0.8 to 1.5 | 222/596 |
| 2023-24 | WSH | 80 | -0.6 | -1.6 to 1.1 | 567/608 |
| 2022-23 | WSH | 6 | 0.0 | -0.1 to 0.0 | 384/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 131.8 km/h49th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 36.0 km/h73rd percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2261st percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 43.3 %64th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 69.1 km68th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.08 km70th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 42.4 %73rd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.4 %64th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 38.3 %66th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2561st percentile | 254th percentile | 8.0 %20th percentile |
| High danger | 1174th percentile | 274th percentile | 18.2 %49th percentile |
| Mid range | 334th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 383rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
NSH
NJD
NYR
DET
BOS
MTL
CAR
VGK
WPG
MIN
OTT
CBJ
SJS
CHI
COL
DALConnor McMichael: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Connor McMichael have in 2026-27?
Connor McMichael has 2 goals and 9 points (7 assists) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Connor McMichael?
Connor McMichael is 25 years old: he was born on January 15, 2001.
How tall is Connor McMichael, and how much does he weigh?
Connor McMichael is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 181 lb (82 kg).
Where is Connor McMichael from?
Canada: Connor McMichael was born in Ajax, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Connor McMichael play for?
Connor McMichael plays for the St. Louis Blues in the NHL, at L, wearing number 77.
Is Connor McMichael injured?
No: Connor McMichael is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Connor McMichael?
Connor McMichael produced -0.8 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 591st of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 8 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Connor McMichael make?
Connor McMichael earns $2.1M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 10 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Connor McMichael's contract end?
Connor McMichael's contract runs through the 2031-32 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a M-NTC clause.
Is Connor McMichael overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 10 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Connor McMichael a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 591st of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Connor McMichael getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 50 in 2024-25 to 8 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Connor McMichael played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Connor McMichael has 3 points (0 goals, 3 assists).
What are Connor McMichael's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Connor McMichael has 332 games, 69 goals, 94 assists and 163 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 57 points in 82 games.
Where was Connor McMichael drafted?
Connor McMichael was drafted 25th overall (round 1) by Washington Capitals in 2019.
Is Connor McMichael better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2026-27, he averages 0.43 points per game at home (3 in 7 games) and 0.60 on the road (6 in 10 games).
How does Connor McMichael perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Connor McMichael has 18 games and 8 points in his career. His pace (0.44 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.49).
Which player is most similar to Connor McMichael?
Robby Fabbri: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Robby Fabbri's page →Is Connor McMichael a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 47 points in 2026-27, or 0.57 points per game.
Is Connor McMichael married?
Yes, married to Lene in 2026.
What is Connor McMichael's nationality?
Connor McMichael is Canadian.
Where did Connor McMichael play before turning pro?
Hamilton Bulldogs (2017–18); London Knights (2018–2020).
How many points is Connor McMichael projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 47 points in 82 games in 2026-27 (27 to 67 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his St. Louis Blues teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)