Casey
Mittelstadt
C · BOS · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 34
- WAR
- 1.5
- Value
- 18
- PTS
- 42
2025-26№ 99 / 615
Casey Mittelstadt (Boston Bruins) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Casey Mittelstadt
#11CPlays: Winger · 11% of faceoffs
Boston Bruins
HEIGHT : 185 cm · WEIGHT : 92 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : November 21, 1998 · Eden Prairie, United States
Drafted : 2017 · BUF · round 1, pick #8
Contract : $5,750,000 · 2024-25 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Boston Bruins | 18 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | Boston Bruins | 71 | 15 | 27 | 42 | 12 |
| 2024-25 | Boston Bruins | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 2024-25 | Colorado Avalanche | 63 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | Colorado Avalanche | 18 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Buffalo Sabres | 62 | 14 | 33 | 47 | 28 |
| 2022-23 | Buffalo Sabres | 82 | 15 | 44 | 59 | 22 |
| 2021-22 | Buffalo Sabres | 40 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 4 |
| 2020-21 | Buffalo Sabres | 41 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 10 |
| 2019-20 | Buffalo Sabres | 31 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 2018-19 | Buffalo Sabres | 77 | 12 | 13 | 25 | 10 |
| 2017-18 | Buffalo Sabres | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| NHL totals | 526 | 101 | 186 | 287 | 120 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Boston Bruins | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 2023-24 | Colorado Avalanche | 11 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 17 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 2 | |
Casey Mittelstadt: our analysis
2025-26 season: 71 GP, 15 G, 27 A, 42 PTS, +12 +/-, 15:10 TOI. WAR 1.5 (99th of 615) · PAL 34, below average.
In 2025-26, Casey Mittelstadt, 27, posts a PAL Rating of 34 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 1.5 ranks 99th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: discipline (82, well above average) and offense (69, above average). On the other hand, creation (11, among the weakest in the league) and penalty kill (17, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+4.9); his biggest cost: EV offense (-0.8).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 7 in 2024-25 to 34; his WAR went from 0.5 to 1.5.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 18 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Casey Mittelstadt's story
Growing up in Eden Prairie after being born in Edina, Casey Mittelstadt finished his high school run as one of the nation’s top prep players, earning ALL‑USA honours in 2016 and 2017 and being named Minnesota’s Mr. Hockey in 2017. Those credentials helped secure his place near the top of the 2017 entry draft, where Buffalo took him 8th overall.
He spent the 2017–18 season with the Minnesota Golden Gophers and made an immediate impact as a freshman, scoring 30 points to finish second on the team and among the leading NCAA freshmen. That season brought him selection to the Big Ten All‑Freshman Team and a finalist nod for Freshman of the Year.
Mittelstadt opted to turn pro on 26 March 2018, signing a three‑year entry‑level deal with the Sabres. He debuted in the NHL three days later and recorded his first goal on 6 April 2018. Buffalo kept him at the NHL level for 2018–19, a season that yielded 12 goals and 13 assists in 77 games. After a slow start to 2019–20 he was assigned to Rochester on 15 December 2019. He subsequently signed a one‑year contract on 23 December 2020 and then a three‑year, $7.5 million extension on 2 September 2021.
In 2023–24 Mittelstadt emerged as Buffalo’s top‑line, two‑way centre, leading the club with 33 assists and posting 47 points through 62 regular‑season games before being traded to the Colorado Avalanche for Bowen Byram on 6 March 2024. He debuted for Colorado on 8 March, scored his first goal for the club on 12 March, and finished the regular season with 10 points in 18 games. He made his first playoff appearance that spring, notching his first postseason goal on 21 April 2024 and tallying 9 points in 11 playoff games, all at even strength.
As a junior international, Mittelstadt starred at the 2018 World Junior Championship, leading the tournament with 11 points, earning a bronze medal with the United States and being named the tournament’s Best Forward, included on the all‑star team and voted MVP by the media. On the ice he is known for his playmaking instincts, his role as a centre who can handle defensive responsibilities and his ability to set up teammates.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 14:22
- PP TOI/GP
- 1:41
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.56
- EV points
- 9
- Hits
- 6
- Blocks
- 7
- Takeaways
- 5
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 50.8 %
- Off. zone starts
- 27.0 %
- Faceoffs
- 44.4 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
45between 26 and 64 (80% range)
- Goals
- 18
- Assists
- 27
- Games
- 79
So far: 10 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.58 pts per game (last season: 0.59).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slightly up
- Points per game: 0.71 in 23-24, 0.59 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 7 → 34
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 27: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 83 %
74
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 74
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 77
- Confidence 86 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 78
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 81
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 59
- Confidence 86 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 57
- Confidence 66 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 76
- Confidence 86 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 64
- Confidence 88 %
- PA
- Passing
- 81
- Confidence 83 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 74
- Confidence 83 %
- DF
- Defense
- 68
- Confidence 80 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 61
- Confidence 50 %
- EX
- Experience
- 79
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating74
- Top speed (35 %)36.2 · 77
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)4.553 · 68
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.4 · 78
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.6 · 77
ST — Strength77
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.073 · 75
- Body mass (50 %)0 · 77
EN — Endurance78
- Ice time per game (45 %)15.5 · 77
- Total ice time (20 %)1,037 · 74
- Shift length (15 %)47.7 · 81
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)14.5 · 77
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.157 · 71
DU — Durability81
- Share of games played (100 %)0.856 · 81
CK — Checking59
- Hits /60 (70 %)1.954 · 59
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.705 · 62
- Season volume (10 %)3.178 · 61
FG — Fighting57
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.664 · 57
DI — Discipline76
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.016 · 75
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.484 · 82
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.58 · 65
FO — Faceoffs64
- Faceoff % (85 %)47.1 · 64
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)31.3 · 69
PA — Passing81
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.849 · 83
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.643 · 84
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.007 · 68
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.197 · 71
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.709 · 84
SC — Scoring74
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.804 · 75
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.639 · 63
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.709 · 87
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.914 · 58
- xG per shot (10 %)0.082 · 71
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)10.2 · 60
DF — Defense68
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.011 · 75
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.011 · 72
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.748 · 67
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.021 · 77
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.132 · 59
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)56.5 · 82
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.618 · 50
PS — Penalty shot61
- Shootouts (60 %)31 · 60
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience79
- Career regular-season games (65 %)88
- Career playoff games (25 %)55
- NHL seasons (10 %)78
OV — Overall74
- SC · Scoring (20 %)74
- PA · Passing (20 %)81
- DF · Defense (20 %)68
- SK · Skating (12 %)74
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)64
- EN · Endurance (8 %)78
- DI · Discipline (5 %)76
- ST · Strength (3 %)77
- CK · Checking (2 %)59
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 74 | 74 | 74 | 68 |
| 2024-25 | 70 | 71 | 71 | 70 |
| 2023-24 | 77 | 68 | 73 | 78 |
| 2022-23 | 77 | 68 | 72 | 69 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.5
wins above replacement
99 of 615
PAL Rating
34/ 100
Performance · Below average
299 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
18/ 100
Very poor return
5.75 M$ · expected PAL 66
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 48
- Defense
- 26
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 69
- Creation
- 11
- Shooting
- 46
- Possession
- 48
- Defense
- 28
- Discipline
- 82
- Power play
- 54
- Penalty kill
- 17
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BOS | 1.5 | 34 | 18 | 5.75 M$ |
| 2024-25 | BOS | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 5.75 M$ |
| 2023-24 | COL | 1.3 | 52 | 44 | 2.50 M$ |
| 2022-23 | BUF | 1.2 | 48 | 39 | 2.50 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
20/ 100
Below average
better than 20% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
14/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
40/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 338 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 71
- Shot selection
- 35
- Penalties drawn
- 55
- Puck management
- 1
Defense
- Takeaways
- 17
- Discipline
- 88
- Safe zone exits
- 18
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BOS | 20 | 14 | 40 |
| 2024-25 | BOS | 4 | 3 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | COL | 20 | 7 | 51 |
| 2022-23 | BUF | 94 | 43 | 100 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.5
wins above replacement
0.9 to 2.7 — 90% interval
99 of 615 forwards
+8.1 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.8
- EV defense
- -0.0
- Power play
- +0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +4.9
- Penalties
- +1.2
- Average → replacement
- +2.7
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BOS | 71 | 1.5 | 0.9 to 2.7 | 99/615 |
| 2024-25 | BOS | 77 | 0.5 | -0.7 to 1.9 | 235/596 |
| 2023-24 | COL | 80 | 1.3 | 0.4 to 2.3 | 114/608 |
| 2022-23 | BUF | 82 | 1.2 | -0.1 to 3.2 | 117/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 121.9 km/h16th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.5 km/h60th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2772nd percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 38.6 %15th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 63.9 km59th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.64 km54th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 37.8 %7th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 19.8 %99th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 41.6 %29th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2459th percentile | 581st percentile | 20.8 %84th percentile |
| High danger | 752nd percentile | 274th percentile | 28.6 %75th percentile |
| Mid range | 1075th percentile | 396th percentile | 30.0 %92nd percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
FLA
PIT
VGK
CHI
STL
CAR
SJS
NSH
DAL
LAK
ANA
PHI
UTA
OTT
MIN
WPG
NYRCasey Mittelstadt: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Casey Mittelstadt have in 2026-27?
Casey Mittelstadt has 5 goals and 10 points (5 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Casey Mittelstadt?
Casey Mittelstadt is 27 years old: he was born on November 22, 1998.
How tall is Casey Mittelstadt, and how much does he weigh?
Casey Mittelstadt is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 203 lb (92 kg).
Where is Casey Mittelstadt from?
United States: Casey Mittelstadt was born in Eden Prairie, Minnesota, United States.
What team does Casey Mittelstadt play for?
Casey Mittelstadt plays for the Boston Bruins in the NHL, at C, wearing number 11.
Is Casey Mittelstadt injured?
No: Casey Mittelstadt is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Casey Mittelstadt?
Casey Mittelstadt produced 1.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 99th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 34 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Casey Mittelstadt make?
Casey Mittelstadt earns $5.8M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 18 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Casey Mittelstadt's contract end?
Casey Mittelstadt's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Casey Mittelstadt overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 18 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Casey Mittelstadt a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 99th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Casey Mittelstadt getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 7 in 2024-25 to 34 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Casey Mittelstadt played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Casey Mittelstadt has 7 points (3 goals, 4 assists).
What are Casey Mittelstadt's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Casey Mittelstadt has 526 games, 101 goals, 186 assists and 287 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 59 points in 82 games.
Where was Casey Mittelstadt drafted?
Casey Mittelstadt was drafted 8th overall (round 1) by Buffalo Sabres in 2017.
Is Casey Mittelstadt better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.78 points per game at home (7 in 9 games) and 0.33 on the road (3 in 9 games).
How does Casey Mittelstadt perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Casey Mittelstadt has 17 games and 11 points in his career. His pace (0.65 points per game) is higher than his regular-season pace (0.55).
Which player is most similar to Casey Mittelstadt?
Marco Rossi: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Marco Rossi's page →Is Casey Mittelstadt a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 45 points in 2026-27, or 0.57 points per game.
Does Casey Mittelstadt have siblings?
Yes: his brother John Mittelstadt, his brother Luke Mittelstadt (selected in the seventh round by the Montreal Canadiens in 2023; plays collegiately for the University of Minnesota).
What is Casey Mittelstadt's nationality?
Casey Mittelstadt is American. Internationally: United States — 2018 World Junior Championship: bronze medal; tournament-high 11 points; Best Forward; tournament all-star team; Tournament MVP by media.
What awards has Casey Mittelstadt won?
ALL‑USA Boys Hockey Player of the Year (2016) ; ALL‑USA Boys Hockey Player of the Year (2017) ; Mr. Hockey (Minnesota's top high school senior) (2017) ; Big Ten All‑Freshman Team (2017–18 season) ; Best Forward, World Junior Championship (2018) ; World Junior Championship all‑star team (2018) ; Tournament MVP by media — World Junior Championship (2018).
How many championships has Casey Mittelstadt won?
1: Bronze medal at the 2018 World Junior Championship with the United States.
Where did Casey Mittelstadt play before turning pro?
Eden Prairie High School (high school player; honors in 2016 and 2017); Minnesota Golden Gophers (NCAA) — 2017–18 season.
How many points is Casey Mittelstadt projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 45 points in 79 games in 2026-27 (26 to 64 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Boston Bruins teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)