Brandon
Carlo
D · STL · Defensive · Very poor
- PAL
- 17
- WAR
- -0.5
- Value
- 12
- PTS
- 7
2025-26№ 298 / 325
Brandon Carlo (St. Louis Blues) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Brandon Carlo
#25D
St. Louis Blues
HEIGHT : 196 cm · WEIGHT : 97 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : November 25, 1996 · Colorado Springs, United States
Drafted : 2015 · BOS · round 2, pick #37
Contract : $4,100,000 · 2021-22 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFAM-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | St. Louis Blues | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
| 2025-26 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 55 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 37 |
| 2024-25 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 20 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 2024-25 | Boston Bruins | 63 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 24 |
| 2023-24 | Boston Bruins | 76 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 42 |
| 2022-23 | Boston Bruins | 75 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
| 2021-22 | Boston Bruins | 79 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 31 |
| 2020-21 | Boston Bruins | 27 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 2019-20 | Boston Bruins | 67 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 33 |
| 2018-19 | Boston Bruins | 72 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 47 |
| 2017-18 | Boston Bruins | 76 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 45 |
| 2016-17 | Boston Bruins | 82 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 59 |
| NHL totals | 709 | 29 | 91 | 120 | 402 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2023-24 | Boston Bruins | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2022-23 | Boston Bruins | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | Boston Bruins | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 2020-21 | Boston Bruins | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2019-20 | Boston Bruins | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 2018-19 | Boston Bruins | 24 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Playoff totals | 85 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 42 | |
Brandon Carlo: our analysis
2025-26 season: 55 GP, 0 G, 7 A, 7 PTS, +4 +/-, 19:22 TOI. WAR -0.5 (298th of 325) · PAL 17, very poor.
In 2025-26, Brandon Carlo, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 17 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.5 ranks 298th among 325 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
His strengths: penalty kill (92, among the best in the league). On the other hand, shooting (1, among the weakest in the league) and offense (1, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+0.6); his biggest cost: penalties (-2.0).
A marked decline: his PAL was 30 in 2024-25, against 17 now; his WAR went from 0.1 to -0.5.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 12 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Brandon Carlo's story
Growing up in Colorado Springs, Carlo spent his childhood playing ice and street hockey with neighbours who were already involved in the sport, learning to defend from a young age. He rose through the minor ranks with the Colorado Thunderbirds, serving as team captain in his final season there, and made the trip to the Quebec International Pee-Wee Tournament in 2009. While attending Pine Creek High School he commuted regularly to Denver for club play, balancing school hockey with higher-level competition.
Tri-City of the WHL drafted him late in the bantam draft, and Carlo gradually established himself as a steady junior defenseman. He became an assistant captain for the Americans in 2014–15, earned praise for his defensive play and took part in the CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game. After a 2014–15 campaign that produced 25 points in 63 games, Boston selected him 37th overall in the 2015 NHL Entry Draft. The Bruins signed him to a three-year entry-level contract in September 2015, and he finished his junior eligibility before turning pro.
Carlo began his professional career with Providence at the close of 2015–16, then made Boston’s opening-night roster in 2016–17. He recorded an assist in his NHL debut on October 13, 2016, and scored his first NHL goal four days later. Early pairings included veteran Zdeno Chára; over the years Carlo skated beside several partners and became a regular on Boston’s blue line despite multiple injury interruptions. He played through the 2019 playoff run to the Stanley Cup Final and signed a two-year deal in 2019 followed by a six-year extension in July 2021. After nine seasons with the Bruins, he was traded to the Toronto Maple Leafs on March 7, 2025.
Internationally, Carlo represented the United States twice at the World Junior Championship, in 2015 and 2016. His game is straightforward: a defensive-minded blueliner known for physicality, shot blocking and steady positioning. Offence has never been his primary tool at the NHL level; coaches have relied on him to stabilise defensive pairings and to perform in penalty-kill situations.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 17:43
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:00
- SH TOI/GP
- 2:05
- Pts/GP
- 0.06
- EV points
- 1
- Hits
- 24
- Blocks
- 23
- Takeaways
- 4
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 50.1 %
- Off. zone starts
- 18.6 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
8between 1 and 14 (80% range)
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 7
- Games
- 73
So far: 1 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.12 pts per game (last season: 0.13).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.18 in 23-24, 0.13 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 30 → 17
Outlook, age included
↘ Slight declineAge 29: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 84 %
60
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 68
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 83
- Confidence 87 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 71
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 76
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 79
- Confidence 87 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 82
- Confidence 64 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 62
- Confidence 87 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 53
- Confidence 84 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 46
- Confidence 84 %
- DF
- Defense
- 79
- Confidence 82 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 89
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating68
- Top speed (35 %)35.4 · 74
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)1.179 · 62
- Distance /60 (20 %)13.6 · 58
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.9 · 79
ST — Strength83
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.637 · 79
- Body mass (50 %)0.972 · 82
EN — Endurance71
- Ice time per game (45 %)18.8 · 75
- Total ice time (20 %)1,040 · 69
- Shift length (15 %)42.9 · 57
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)18.1 · 77
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.763 · 80
DU — Durability76
- Share of games played (100 %)0.823 · 76
CK — Checking79
- Hits /60 (70 %)4.107 · 79
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.505 · 79
- Season volume (10 %)4.19 · 77
FG — Fighting82
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.023 · 82
DI — Discipline62
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.078 · 62
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.733 · 69
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.276 · 63
PA — Passing53
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.182 · 45
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.335 · 65
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.093 · 63
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.19 · 77
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.086 · 56
SC — Scoring46
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.094 · 46
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.142 · 58
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.148 · 57
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.075 · 69
- xG per shot (10 %)0.032 · 56
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)8.362 · 64
DF — Defense79
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.096 · 83
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.009 · 73
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.701 · 70
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.189 · 88
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.149 · 70
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)59.3 · 68
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)5.506 · 86
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience89
- Career regular-season games (65 %)92
- Career playoff games (25 %)84
- NHL seasons (10 %)81
OV — Overall60
- DF · Defense (30 %)79
- PA · Passing (22 %)53
- SK · Skating (12 %)68
- SC · Scoring (12 %)46
- EN · Endurance (9 %)71
- ST · Strength (6 %)83
- DI · Discipline (5 %)62
- CK · Checking (4 %)79
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 60 | 68 | 46 | 79 |
| 2024-25 | 67 | 71 | 54 | 83 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 74 | 69 | 89 |
| 2022-23 | 89 | 77 | 73 | 96 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.5
wins above replacement
298 of 325
PAL Rating
17/ 100
Performance · Very poor
206 of 250 at the position
Value Rating
12/ 100
Very poor return
4.10 M$ · expected PAL 62
ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense
- Offense
- 3
- Defense
- 53
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 1
- Creation
- 38
- Shooting
- 1
- Possession
- 17
- Defense
- 43
- Discipline
- 11
- Power play
- 56
- Penalty kill
- 92
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | -0.5 | 17 | 12 | 4.10 M$ |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 0.1 | 30 | 17 | 4.10 M$ |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 0.6 | 46 | 26 | 4.10 M$ |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 1.2 | 89 | 86 | 4.10 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
0/ 100
Low
better than 0% of defensemen, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
7/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
5/ 100
Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 224 of 225 defensemen.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 0
- Shot selection
- 3
- Penalties drawn
- 37
- Puck management
- 79
Defense
- Takeaways
- 6
- Discipline
- 14
- Safe zone exits
- 24
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 0 | 7 | 5 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 17 | 23 | 26 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 66 | 64 | 59 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.5
wins above replacement
-0.8 to -0.0 — 90% interval
298 of 325 defensemen
-2.5 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -2.0
- EV defense
- +0.6
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- +0.6
- Shooting
- -1.9
- Penalties
- -2.0
- Average → replacement
- +2.2
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 55 | -0.5 | -0.8 to -0.0 | 298/325 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 79 | 0.1 | -0.7 to 0.7 | 165/314 |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 76 | 0.6 | 0.1 to 1.5 | 76/316 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 75 | 1.2 | 0.3 to 2.1 | 40/334 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 140.9 km/h50th percentileleague avg. 139.7 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 33.3 km/h29th percentileleague avg. 34.0 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 647th percentileleague avg. 8
- Offensive zone time
- 39.8 %29th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 66.6 km54th percentileleague avg. 56.1 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.72 km37th percentileleague avg. 4.98 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.2 %37th percentileleague avg. 42.8 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.5 %73rd percentileleague avg. 16.9 %
- Defensive zone time
- 41.6 %36th percentileleague avg. 40.8 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1246th percentile | 049th percentile | 0.0 %27th percentile |
| High danger | 051st percentile | 084th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| Mid range | 473rd percentile | 073rd percentile | 0.0 %50th percentile |
| Long range | 651st percentile | 077th percentile | 0.0 %67th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
NSH
NJD
NYR
DET
BOS
MTL
CAR
VGK
WPG
MIN
OTT
CBJ
SJS
CHI
COL
DALBrandon Carlo: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Brandon Carlo have in 2026-27?
Brandon Carlo has 0 goals and 1 point (1 assist) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Brandon Carlo?
Brandon Carlo is 29 years old: he was born on November 26, 1996.
How tall is Brandon Carlo, and how much does he weigh?
Brandon Carlo is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 214 lb (97 kg).
Where is Brandon Carlo from?
United States: Brandon Carlo was born in Colorado Springs, Colorado, United States.
What team does Brandon Carlo play for?
Brandon Carlo plays for the St. Louis Blues in the NHL, at D, wearing number 25.
Is Brandon Carlo injured?
No: Brandon Carlo is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Brandon Carlo?
Brandon Carlo produced -0.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 298th of 325 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 17 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Brandon Carlo make?
Brandon Carlo earns $4.1M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 12 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Brandon Carlo's contract end?
Brandon Carlo's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a M-NTC clause.
Is Brandon Carlo overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 12 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Brandon Carlo a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 298th of 325 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Brandon Carlo getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 30 in 2024-25 to 17 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Brandon Carlo played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Brandon Carlo has 0 points (0 goals, 0 assists).
What are Brandon Carlo's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Brandon Carlo has 709 games, 29 goals, 91 assists and 120 points. His best season: 2019-20, with 19 points in 67 games.
Where was Brandon Carlo drafted?
Brandon Carlo was drafted 37th overall (round 2) by Boston Bruins in 2015.
Is Brandon Carlo better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2026-27, he averages 0.00 points per game at home (0 in 7 games) and 0.10 on the road (1 in 10 games).
How does Brandon Carlo perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Brandon Carlo has 85 games and 14 points in his career. His pace (0.16 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.17).
Which player is most similar to Brandon Carlo?
Brett Kulak: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Brett Kulak's page →Is Brandon Carlo a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 8 points in 2026-27, or 0.11 points per game.
Is Brandon Carlo married?
Yes, married to Mayson Corbett.
What is Brandon Carlo's nationality?
Brandon Carlo is American. Internationally: United States — Silver medal at the 2013 Ivan Hlinka Tournament (played 5 games); United States at the 2015 World Junior Championship (eliminated in quarterfinals, 1 assist in 5 games); bronze medal at the 2016 World Junior Championship (2 goals and 4 points in 7 games).
What awards has Brandon Carlo won?
Eddie Shore Award (given by the Bruins for “exceptional hustle and determination”) — 2019–20 season.
Where did Brandon Carlo play before turning pro?
Minor hockey with the Colorado Thunderbirds (five years; played in the 2009 Quebec International Pee‑Wee Tournament; captain in 2012–13). Tri‑City Americans (WHL) — joined at the end of 2012–13; served as assistant captain and played through the 2015–16 season..
How many points is Brandon Carlo projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 8 points in 73 games in 2026-27 (1 to 14 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his St. Louis Blues teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)