Alexander
Holtz
R · VGK · Limited · Very poor
- PAL
- 8
- WAR
- -0.5
- Value
- 20
- PTS
- 9
2025-26№ 574 / 615
Alexander Holtz (Vegas Golden Knights) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Alexander Holtz
#10RPlays: Right wing · 5% of faceoffs
Vegas Golden Knights
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 87 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : January 22, 2002 · Stockholm, Sweden
Drafted : 2020 · NJD · round 1, pick #7
Contract : $837,500 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · RFA (Arb)
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | Vegas Golden Knights | 28 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 |
| 2024-25 | Vegas Golden Knights | 53 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 2023-24 | New Jersey Devils | 82 | 16 | 12 | 28 | 14 |
| 2022-23 | New Jersey Devils | 19 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| 2021-22 | New Jersey Devils | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| NHL totals | 193 | 26 | 30 | 56 | 44 | |
Alexander Holtz: our analysis
2025-26 season: 28 GP, 3 G, 6 A, 9 PTS, -1 +/-, 11:29 TOI. WAR -0.5 (574th of 615) · PAL 8, very poor.
In 2025-26, Alexander Holtz, 24, posts a PAL Rating of 8 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.5 ranks 574th among 615 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
On the other hand, discipline (8, among the weakest in the league) and possession (17, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), no component is positive; the costliest: finishing (-1.6).
An improvement on 2024-25, when his PAL was 5; his WAR went from -1.0 to -0.5.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 20 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Alexander Holtz's story
At 13 Holtz was already playing up in a junior U16 context, standing out in Nacka’s system while following his older brother into hockey and taking advantage of a family background that included senior-level play. He sampled several sports as a child but gravitated toward hockey, developing first at Boo IF and then through Nacka HK’s youth ranks where he produced at a high rate even when facing older opponents.
A move to Djurgårdens IF in 2017 accelerated his rise. He made his SHL debut on 29 January 2019 and led J20 SuperElit goal scorers with 30 tallies in 38 games that season, later extending his contract with Djurgården through 2021–22. He gained experience in the Champions Hockey League and posted his first SHL points and goals during the 2019–20 campaign, before setting new career marks in the 2020–21 SHL season.
Selected seventh overall by the New Jersey Devils in the 2020 NHL Entry Draft, Holtz signed a three-year entry-level deal with New Jersey on 19 April 2021 and joined their AHL affiliate on an amateur tryout. He relocated to North America for 2021–22 and thrived in the AHL with the Utica Comets, finishing among top rookie scorers with 26 goals and 51 points in 52 games. He made occasional appearances with the Devils, earning his first NHL point via an assist on 9 November 2021 and scoring his first NHL goal on 13 October 2022.
Holtz was traded to the Vegas Golden Knights on 29 June 2024 as part of a deal that also involved Akira Schmid and Paul Cotter. He opened his scoring account for Vegas on 22 October 2024 in a 6–1 victory over the Los Angeles Kings. After the 2024–25 season he and the club needed more time on terms: he attended the 2025–26 training camp on a professional tryout signed 18 September 2025 and then agreed to a two-year contract with an AAV of $837,500 on 7 October.
Described by his record as a natural finisher, Holtz’s game centers on goal scoring instincts developed in Sweden and sharpened in the AHL. His junior numbers and early professional seasons point to a forward who finds scoring opportunities and who has gradually translated that touch into NHL play.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 11:47
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:00
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.50
- EV points
- 1
- Hits
- 1
- Blocks
- 0
- Takeaways
- 0
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 56.5 %
- Off. zone starts
- 20.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
10between 1 and 20 (80% range)
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 7
- Games
- 34
So far: 1 pts in 2 games. The team has played 19 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.29 pts per game (last season: 0.32).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.34 in 23-24, 0.32 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 5 → 8
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 24: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 67 %
55
Replacement or prospect
- SK
- Skating
- 71
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 77
- Confidence 72 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 57
- Confidence 75 %
- DU
- Durability
- 57
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 73
- Confidence 72 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 71
- Confidence 53 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 64
- Confidence 72 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 64
- Confidence 67 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 68
- Confidence 67 %
- DF
- Defense
- 68
- Confidence 63 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 62
- Confidence 14 %
- EX
- Experience
- 54
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating71
- Top speed (35 %)35.5 · 65
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)5.411 · 74
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.5 · 85
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.3 · 61
ST — Strength77
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.745 · 82
- Body mass (50 %)-0.602 · 70
EN — Endurance57
- Ice time per game (45 %)12.4 · 60
- Total ice time (20 %)318 · 35
- Shift length (15 %)44.6 · 69
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)11.6 · 63
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.285 · 60
DU — Durability57
- Share of games played (100 %)0.663 · 57
CK — Checking73
- Hits /60 (70 %)4.44 · 75
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.277 · 73
- Season volume (10 %)3.401 · 64
FG — Fighting71
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.766 · 71
DI — Discipline64
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.02 · 63
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.611 · 77
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.493 · 57
PA — Passing64
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.535 · 64
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.508 · 77
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.063 · 56
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.545 · 61
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.412 · 71
SC — Scoring68
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.779 · 65
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.836 · 72
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.164 · 70
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.38 · 76
- xG per shot (10 %)0.079 · 70
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)14.4 · 76
DF — Defense68
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.06 · 65
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.078 · 69
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.579 · 77
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.036 · 74
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.095 · 62
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)59 · 71
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.038 · 70
PS — Penalty shot62
- Shootouts (60 %)31.2 · 61
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience54
- Career regular-season games (65 %)74
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)61
OV — Overall55
- SC · Scoring (28 %)68
- PA · Passing (22 %)64
- DF · Defense (18 %)68
- SK · Skating (12 %)71
- EN · Endurance (8 %)57
- DI · Discipline (5 %)64
- ST · Strength (4 %)77
- CK · Checking (3 %)73
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 55 | 71 | 68 | 68 |
| 2024-25 | 58 | 72 | 67 | 68 |
| 2023-24 | 62 | 74 | 76 | 65 |
| 2022-23 | 67 | 62 | 77 | 74 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.5
wins above replacement
574 of 615
PAL Rating
8/ 100
Performance · Very poor
438 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
20/ 100
Very poor return
0.84 M$ · expected PAL 34
ProfileLimitedBelow average at both ends
- Offense
- 33
- Defense
- 18
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 35
- Creation
- 60
- Shooting
- 41
- Possession
- 17
- Defense
- 24
- Discipline
- 8
- Power play
- 18
- Penalty kill
- 31
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | VGK | -0.5 | 8 | 20 | 0.84 M$ |
| 2024-25 | VGK | -1.0 | 5 | 13 | 0.89 M$ |
| 2023-24 | NJD | 0.4 | 7 | 15 | 0.89 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
26/ 100
Below average
better than 26% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
20/ 100
Below average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
45/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 312 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 35
- Shot selection
- 63
- Penalties drawn
- 11
- Puck management
- 27
Defense
- Takeaways
- 4
- Discipline
- 65
- Safe zone exits
- 79
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | VGK | 26 | 20 | 45 |
| 2024-25 | VGK | 13 | 6 | 38 |
| 2023-24 | NJD | 6 | 2 | 31 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.5
wins above replacement
-1.0 to 0.0 — 90% interval
574 of 615 forwards
-2.6 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.8
- EV defense
- -0.4
- Power play
- -0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -1.6
- Penalties
- -0.7
- Average → replacement
- +0.8
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | VGK | 29 | -0.5 | -1.0 to 0.0 | 574/615 |
| 2024-25 | VGK | 51 | -1.0 | -1.8 to -0.5 | 589/596 |
| 2023-24 | NJD | 82 | 0.4 | -0.5 to 1.6 | 255/608 |
| 2022-23 | NJD | 19 | 0.1 | -0.2 to 0.4 | 334/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 123.9 km/h20th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 31.8 km/h1st percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 00th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 39.9 %25th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 6.4 km5th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 3.88 km29th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 39.9 %28th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 16.9 %7th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 43.2 %15th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 620th percentile | 024th percentile | 0.0 %3rd percentile |
| High danger | 433rd percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %10th percentile |
| Mid range | 119th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
CBJ
STLAlexander Holtz: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Alexander Holtz have in 2026-27?
Alexander Holtz has 0 goals and 1 point (1 assist) in 2 games in 2026-27.
How old is Alexander Holtz?
Alexander Holtz is 24 years old: he was born on January 23, 2002.
How tall is Alexander Holtz, and how much does he weigh?
Alexander Holtz is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 192 lb (87 kg).
Where is Alexander Holtz from?
Sweden: Alexander Holtz was born in Stockholm, Sweden.
What team does Alexander Holtz play for?
Alexander Holtz plays for the Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL, at R, wearing number 10.
Is Alexander Holtz injured?
No: Alexander Holtz is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Alexander Holtz?
Alexander Holtz produced -0.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 574th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 8 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Alexander Holtz make?
Alexander Holtz earns $840K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 20 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Alexander Holtz's contract end?
Alexander Holtz's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Alexander Holtz overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 20 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Alexander Holtz a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 574th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Alexander Holtz getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 5 in 2024-25 to 8 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
What are Alexander Holtz's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Alexander Holtz has 193 games, 26 goals, 30 assists and 56 points. His best season: 2023-24, with 28 points in 82 games.
Where was Alexander Holtz drafted?
Alexander Holtz was drafted 7th overall (round 1) by New Jersey Devils in 2020.
How does Alexander Holtz perform in the playoffs?
Alexander Holtz has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Alexander Holtz?
Robby Fabbri: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Robby Fabbri's page →Is Alexander Holtz a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 10 points in 2026-27, or 0.29 points per game.
Does Alexander Holtz have siblings?
Yes: his brother David.
Is Alexander Holtz related to anyone famous?
Yes: Magnus Holtz (né Andersson) (father, former ice hockey player who played two seasons for Västerviks IK).
What is Alexander Holtz's nationality?
Alexander Holtz is Swedish.
What awards has Alexander Holtz won?
Sven Tumba award as best forward of the TV-pucken tournament (2017).
Where did Alexander Holtz play before turning pro?
junior background: Boo IF (youth), Nacka/Farsta FoC U16 (2014–15), Nacka U16 then J18 Elit (through 2016–17), then Djurgårdens IF junior teams starting in 2017–18.
How many points is Alexander Holtz projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 10 points in 34 games in 2026-27 (1 to 20 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Vegas Golden Knights teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)