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Yuta

Watanabe

SF · MEM · Very poor

PAL
1
WAR
-1.3
PTS
3.4

2023-24

Yuta Watanabe

#18SFMemphis Grizzlies logoMemphis Grizzlies

Biography

Team
Memphis Grizzlies
Position
Small Forward
Height
6' 9"
Weight
215 lbs
Born
October 13, 1994 (32)
Birthplace
Kagawa, Japan
College
George Washington
Experience
5th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • 2023 24 Totals · 2023-24 (1 season)
  • Memphis Grizzlies · 2023-24 (1 season)
  • Phoenix Suns · 2023-24 (1 season)
  • Brooklyn Nets · 2022-23 (1 season)
  • Toronto Raptors · 2020-21 – 2021-22 (2 seasons)
  • Memphis Grizzlies · 2018-19 – 2019-20 (2 seasons)

NBA record

YearTeamGPGSMINFGFG%3PT3P%FT
2023-242023 24 Totals34013.61.2-3.435.30.7-2.529.40.3-0.5
2023-24Memphis Grizzlies5016.41.2-3.831.60.2-2.010.00.0-0.4
2023-24Phoenix Suns29013.21.2-3.336.10.8-2.632.00.3-0.5
2022-23Brooklyn Nets58116.02.0-4.049.11.0-2.344.40.6-0.8
2021-22Toronto Raptors38411.71.5-3.640.60.7-2.134.20.6-1.1
2020-21Toronto Raptors50414.51.6-3.643.90.7-1.840.00.5-0.6
2019-20Memphis Grizzlies1805.80.8-1.944.10.2-0.437.50.2-0.4
2018-19Memphis Grizzlies15011.61.0-3.429.40.1-1.112.50.5-0.7

Yuta Watanabe: our analysis

2023-24 season: 34 GP, 3.4 PTS, 1.6 REB, 0.4 AST, 0.4 STL, 0.2 BLK. WAR -1.3 · PAL 1, very poor.

In 2023-24, Yuta Watanabe, 32, posts a PAL Rating of 1 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -1.3.

On the other hand, impact (2, among the weakest in the league) and playmaking (6, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (points per 100 possessions above average), no component is positive; the costliest: offensive BPM (-5.3).

A marked decline: his PAL was 51 in 2022-23, against 1 now; his WAR went from 0.8 to -1.3.

Advanced stats, 2023-24 Forwards

NBA stats →

Points

3.4

Rebounds

1.6

Assists

0.4

TS%

47.4 %

Usage

13.3 %

PER

4.7

WS/48

-0.009

On/off +/−

-10.7

Minutes

13.6

Games

34

Per game, regular season. Stats: Basketball-Reference.

2024-25 projection

NBA trends →

Projected WAR

-0.2

80% of cases: -1.0 to 1.0

Points/game

3.2

Games

44

WAR 2023-24

-1.3

The pace of the last three seasons, pulled toward the group average, over the minutes of the last two, adjusted for age. Average backtest error: 1.7 wins.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 2021-220.0 WAR
  • 2022-230.8 WAR · 1.7 per 2,000 min
  • 2023-24-1.3 WAR

Outlook, age included

0 · 29 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023-24

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

49

End of bench or prospect

SCO
Scoring
61
SHT
Shooting
71
FIN
Finishing
79
PLY
Playmaking
56
BAL
Ball security
75
REB
Rebounding
71
DEF
Defense
73
DUR
Durability
35
EX
Experience
66
Why these ratings?
  • SCO — Scoring : Points per 100 possessions, usage, efficiency (TS%)
  • SHT — Shooting : Three-point shooting (accuracy and volume), free throws, midrange
  • FIN — Finishing : Finishing at the rim, dunks, free throws drawn
  • PLY — Playmaking : Assists (rate and volume)
  • BAL — Ball security : Turnovers avoided
  • REB — Rebounding : Offensive and defensive rebound rates
  • DEF — Defense : Defensive impact estimated from available stats (defensive BPM, steals, blocks); not a complete measure of individual defense
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NBA

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023-24

How we rate →

WAR: Basketball-Reference's VORP × 2.7, wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Impact2
Scoring6
Playmaking6
Shooting24
Rebounding24
Defense31

Where WAR comes from

VORP-0.5
BPM (per 100 possessions)-6.4
Offensive BPM-5.3
Defensive BPM-1.1
Win Shares-0.1

Where the shots come from and how well they go in, 2023-24 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the group: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Avg distance

18.7 pi

11th percentile

At the rim

81.8 %

99th percentile

Rim share

9.5 %

5th percentile

Midrange

0.0 %

4th percentile

Three-point

.294

8th percentile

3PA share

73.3 %

97th percentile

Corner threes

28.6 %

7th percentile

Free throws

.588

2th percentile

Season by season
SeasonTeamPTSWARPALOVTS %3P%3PA share
2023-24MEM3.4-1.314947.4.29473.3
2022-23BKN5.60.8517563.7.44458.2
2021-22TOR4.30.0306552.4.34257.2

Game log

DateOpponentResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG3PT
Mar 2vs PORL 122-9217010100-10-0
Feb 29@ MINL 110-1017012000-10-1
Feb 27vs BKNL 111-8622241001-30-1
Feb 16vs MILW 113-11011011000-20-1
Feb 13vs NOPL 96-87251121205-121-7
Feb 4@ WASW 140-1128700203-41-2
Feb 1@ BKNW 136-1201000000-00-0
Jan 25@ DALW 132-1097220001-10-0
Jan 12@ LALW 127-1095010000-00-0
Jan 9@ LACL 138-1115100000-20-2

Yuta Watanabe: frequently asked questions

How many points per game does Yuta Watanabe average in 2023-24?

Yuta Watanabe averages 3.4 points, 1.6 rebounds and 0.4 assists per game in 34 games in 2023-24.

How old is Yuta Watanabe?

Yuta Watanabe is 32 years old: he was born on October 13, 1994.

How tall is Yuta Watanabe, and how much does he weigh?

Yuta Watanabe is 6'9" (206 cm) and weighs 216 lb (98 kg).

Where is Yuta Watanabe from?

Japan: Yuta Watanabe was born in Kagawa, Japan.

What team does Yuta Watanabe play for?

Yuta Watanabe plays for the Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA, at SF, wearing number 18.

How good is Yuta Watanabe?

Yuta Watanabe produced -1.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023-24. His PAL rating is 1 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Yuta Watanabe getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 51 in 2022-23 to 1 in 2023-24 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Yuta Watanabe's projection for 2024-25?

Our projection has him at -0.2 WAR in 2024-25, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Memphis Grizzlies teammates

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