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Nassir

Little

SF · MIA · Below average

PAL
24
WAR
-0.3
PTS
3.4

2023-24

Nassir Little

#25SFMiami Heat logoMiami Heat

Biography

Team
Miami Heat
Position
Small Forward
Height
6' 6"
Weight
220 lbs
Born
February 11, 2000 (26)
Birthplace
Orange Park, FL
College
North Carolina
Draft
2019: Rd 1, Pk 25 (POR)
Experience
5th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Phoenix Suns · 2023-24 (1 season)
  • Portland Trail Blazers · 2019-20 – 2022-23 (4 seasons)

NBA record

YearTeamGPGSMINFGFG%3PT3P%FT
2023-24Phoenix Suns45210.21.3-2.846.00.5-1.630.00.4-0.4
2022-23Portland Trail Blazers54418.12.5-5.644.21.1-2.936.70.6-0.9
2021-22Portland Trail Blazers422325.93.5-7.546.01.2-3.733.11.6-2.2
2020-21Portland Trail Blazers48213.31.6-3.546.70.6-1.735.00.8-0.9
2019-20Portland Trail Blazers48511.91.4-3.143.00.3-1.223.70.6-0.9

Nassir Little: our analysis

2023-24 season: 45 GP, 3.4 PTS, 1.7 REB, 0.5 AST, 0.2 STL, 0.2 BLK. WAR -0.3 · PAL 24, below average.

In 2023-24, Nassir Little, 26, posts a PAL Rating of 24 out of 100 (below average), with a WAR of -0.3.

On the other hand, impact (23, well below average) and scoring (35, below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (points per 100 possessions above average), no component is positive; the costliest: offensive BPM (-2.4).

A clear step forward: his PAL went from 9 in 2022-23 to 24; his WAR went from -0.8 to -0.3.

Advanced stats, 2023-24 Forwards

NBA stats →

Points

3.4

Rebounds

1.7

Assists

0.5

TS%

57.2 %

Usage

13.9 %

PER

9.9

WS/48

.074

On/off +/−

-11.3

Minutes

10.2

Games

45

Per game, regular season. Stats: Basketball-Reference.

2024-25 projection

NBA trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

80% of cases: -1.2 to 1.2

Points/game

3.6

Games

49

WAR 2023-24

-0.3

The pace of the last three seasons, pulled toward the group average, over the minutes of the last two, adjusted for age. Average backtest error: 1.7 wins.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 2021-220.5 WAR · 0.9 per 2,000 min
  • 2022-23-0.8 WAR · -1.6 per 2,000 min
  • 2023-24-0.3 WAR

Outlook, age included

+25 · 23 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023-24

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

56

End of bench or prospect

SCO
Scoring
67
SHT
Shooting
72
FIN
Finishing
79
PLY
Playmaking
61
BAL
Ball security
79
REB
Rebounding
76
DEF
Defense
66
DUR
Durability
44
EX
Experience
61
Why these ratings?
  • SCO — Scoring : Points per 100 possessions, usage, efficiency (TS%)
  • SHT — Shooting : Three-point shooting (accuracy and volume), free throws, midrange
  • FIN — Finishing : Finishing at the rim, dunks, free throws drawn
  • PLY — Playmaking : Assists (rate and volume)
  • BAL — Ball security : Turnovers avoided
  • REB — Rebounding : Offensive and defensive rebound rates
  • DEF — Defense : Defensive impact estimated from available stats (defensive BPM, steals, blocks); not a complete measure of individual defense
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NBA

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023-24

How we rate →

WAR: Basketball-Reference's VORP × 2.7, wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Impact23
Scoring35
Playmaking37
Shooting42
Rebounding51
Defense38

Where WAR comes from

VORP-0.1
BPM (per 100 possessions)-3.0
Offensive BPM-2.4
Defensive BPM-0.6
Win Shares+0.7

Where the shots come from and how well they go in, 2023-24 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the group: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Avg distance

16.4 pi

31th percentile

At the rim

76.9 %

83th percentile

Rim share

21.0 %

41th percentile

Midrange

75.0 %

96th percentile

Three-point

.300

11th percentile

3PA share

56.5 %

75th percentile

Corner threes

32.0 %

14th percentile

Free throws

.850

85th percentile

Season by season
SeasonTeamPTSWARPALOVTS %3P%3PA share
2023-24PHX3.4-0.3245657.2.30056.5
2022-23POR6.6-0.895955.5.36752.1
2021-22POR9.80.5456357.5.33148.9

Game log

DateOpponentResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG3PT
Apr 29Playoffsvs MINL 122-1167010000-10-1
Apr 23Playoffs@ MINL 105-932500002-31-2
Apr 20Playoffs@ MINL 120-954200001-10-0
Apr 14@ MINW 125-1065400002-30-1
Apr 11@ LACW 124-1081000000-10-1
Apr 10vs LACL 105-921200001-10-0
Apr 6vs MINW 97-874010000-30-2
Apr 4vs CLEW 122-1011010000-00-0
Mar 30@ OKCL 128-1038711003-41-2
Mar 24@ SASW 131-1066201001-20-1

Nassir Little: frequently asked questions

How many points per game does Nassir Little average in 2023-24?

Nassir Little averages 3.4 points, 1.7 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game in 45 games in 2023-24.

How old is Nassir Little?

Nassir Little is 26 years old: he was born on February 11, 2000.

How tall is Nassir Little, and how much does he weigh?

Nassir Little is 6'6" (198 cm) and weighs 220 lb (100 kg).

Where is Nassir Little from?

United States: Nassir Little was born in Orange Park, FL, in the United States.

What team does Nassir Little play for?

Nassir Little plays for the Miami Heat in the NBA, at SF, wearing number 25.

How good is Nassir Little?

Nassir Little produced -0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023-24. His PAL rating is 24 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is Nassir Little getting better?

Yes: his PAL rating went from 9 in 2022-23 to 24 in 2023-24 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

Where was Nassir Little drafted?

Nassir Little was drafted in 2019 by POR, in round 1 (pick 25 of the round).

What is Nassir Little's projection for 2024-25?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2024-25, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Miami Heat teammates

Full roster →