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26BaseJustise Winslow headshot

Justise

Winslow

PF · TOR · Below average

PAL
24
WAR
-0.5
PTS
6.8

2022-23

Justise Winslow

#26PFToronto Raptors logoToronto Raptors

Biography

Team
Toronto Raptors
Position
Power Forward
Height
6' 6"
Weight
222 lbs
Born
March 26, 1996 (30)
Birthplace
Houston, TX
College
Duke
Draft
2015: Rd 1, Pk 10 (MIA)
Experience
6th Season
Status
Inactive

Career history

  • Portland Trail Blazers · 2022-23 (1 season)
  • 2021 22 Totals · 2021-22 (1 season)
  • Portland Trail Blazers · 2021-22 (1 season)
  • La Clippers · 2021-22 (1 season)
  • Memphis Grizzlies · 2020-21 (1 season)
  • Miami Heat · 2015-16 – 2019-20 (5 seasons)

NBA record

YearTeamGPGSMINFGFG%3PT3P%FT
2022-23Portland Trail Blazers291126.82.8-6.840.90.5-1.631.10.7-1.0
2021-222021 22 Totals481116.12.3-5.442.80.3-1.422.70.8-1.4
2021-22Portland Trail Blazers111026.84.3-10.540.50.9-3.427.01.3-2.3
2021-22La Clippers37113.01.7-3.844.70.1-0.817.20.7-1.1
2020-21Memphis Grizzlies26119.52.8-8.135.20.4-2.118.50.8-1.3
2019-20Miami Heat11532.04.5-11.738.80.5-2.522.21.6-2.5
2018-19Miami Heat665229.74.9-11.343.31.5-3.937.51.3-2.1
2017-18Miami Heat682524.73.0-7.242.40.7-1.938.01.0-1.5
2016-17Miami Heat181534.74.4-12.535.60.4-1.920.01.6-2.6
2015-16Miami Heat78828.62.5-5.942.20.4-1.527.61.0-1.5

Justise Winslow: our analysis

2022-23 season: 29 GP, 6.8 PTS, 5.0 REB, 3.4 AST, 1.0 STL, 0.4 BLK. WAR -0.5 · PAL 24, below average.

In 2022-23, Justise Winslow, 30, posts a PAL Rating of 24 out of 100 (below average), with a WAR of -0.5.

His strengths: playmaking (75, well above average), defense (72, above average) and rebounding (68, above average). On the other hand, scoring (1, among the weakest in the league) and shooting (22, well below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (points per 100 possessions above average), his biggest contribution: defensive BPM (+0.6); his biggest cost: offensive BPM (-3.4).

A marked decline: his PAL was 41 in 2021-22, against 24 now; his WAR went from 0.3 to -0.5.

Advanced stats, 2022-23 Forwards

NBA stats →

Points

6.8

Rebounds

5.0

Assists

3.4

TS%

46.6 %

Usage

14.2 %

PER

9.3

WS/48

.022

On/off +/−

+2.5

Minutes

26.8

Games

29

Per game, regular season. Stats: Basketball-Reference.

2023-24 projection

NBA trends →

Projected WAR

-0.1

80% of cases: -1.4 to 1.2

Points/game

6.9

Games

37

WAR 2022-23

-0.5

The pace of the last three seasons, pulled toward the group average, over the minutes of the last two, adjusted for age. Average backtest error: 1.7 wins.

Trend

↓ Slight decline (-14)

  • 2021-220.3 WAR · 0.8 per 2,000 min
  • 2022-23-0.5 WAR · -1.3 per 2,000 min

Outlook, age included

-4 · 26 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022-23

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

58

End of bench or prospect

SCO
Scoring
35
SHT
Shooting
47
FIN
Finishing
50
PLY
Playmaking
84
BAL
Ball security
57
REB
Rebounding
82
DEF
Defense
84
DUR
Durability
35
EX
Experience
75
Why these ratings?
  • SCO — Scoring : Points per 100 possessions, usage, efficiency (TS%)
  • SHT — Shooting : Three-point shooting (accuracy and volume), free throws, midrange
  • FIN — Finishing : Finishing at the rim, dunks, free throws drawn
  • PLY — Playmaking : Assists (rate and volume)
  • BAL — Ball security : Turnovers avoided
  • REB — Rebounding : Offensive and defensive rebound rates
  • DEF — Defense : Defensive impact estimated from available stats (defensive BPM, steals, blocks); not a complete measure of individual defense
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NBA

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022-23

How we rate →

WAR: Basketball-Reference's VORP × 2.7, wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Impact22
Scoring1
Playmaking75
Shooting22
Rebounding68
Defense72

Where WAR comes from

VORP-0.2
BPM (per 100 possessions)-2.8
Offensive BPM-3.4
Defensive BPM+0.6
Win Shares+0.4

Where the shots come from and how well they go in, 2022-23 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the group: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Avg distance

9.8 pi

90th percentile

At the rim

55.1 %

4th percentile

Rim share

34.8 %

88th percentile

Midrange

16.7 %

12th percentile

Three-point

.311

16th percentile

3PA share

22.7 %

12th percentile

Corner threes

30.0 %

13th percentile

Free throws

.714

20th percentile

Season by season
SeasonTeamPTSWARPALOVTS %3P%3PA share
2022-23POR6.8-0.5245846.6.31122.7
2021-22POR5.70.3416247.9.22725.7

Game log

DateOpponentResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG3PT
Dec 22@ OKCL 101-9816322011-51-3
Dec 20@ OKCL 123-12122862104-70-1
Dec 18@ HOUW 107-9528232401-40-0
Dec 17@ DALL 130-11018530012-51-3
Dec 15@ SASW 128-11215230001-10-0
Dec 13vs MINW 133-112309610104-81-3
Dec 11vs MINW 124-11814220000-00-0
Dec 9vs DENL 121-12022454002-60-0
Dec 5vs INDW 116-10024463202-60-1
Dec 4@ UTAW 116-11139275311-30-0

Justise Winslow: frequently asked questions

How many points per game does Justise Winslow average in 2022-23?

Justise Winslow averages 6.8 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game in 29 games in 2022-23.

How old is Justise Winslow?

Justise Winslow is 30 years old: he was born on March 26, 1996.

How tall is Justise Winslow, and how much does he weigh?

Justise Winslow is 6'6" (198 cm) and weighs 223 lb (101 kg).

Where is Justise Winslow from?

United States: Justise Winslow was born in Houston, TX, in the United States.

What team does Justise Winslow play for?

Justise Winslow plays for the Toronto Raptors in the NBA, at PF, wearing number 26.

How good is Justise Winslow?

Justise Winslow produced -0.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022-23. His PAL rating is 24 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is Justise Winslow getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 41 in 2021-22 to 24 in 2022-23 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

Where was Justise Winslow drafted?

Justise Winslow was drafted in 2015 by MIA, in round 1 (pick 10 of the round).

What is Justise Winslow's projection for 2023-24?

Our projection has him at -0.1 WAR in 2023-24, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Toronto Raptors teammates

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