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15BaseJustin Minaya headshot

Justin

Minaya

F · Very poor

PAL
4
WAR
-0.8
PTS
1.8

2023-24

Justin Minaya

#15F

Biography

Position
Forward
Height
6' 5"
Weight
205 lbs
Born
March 26, 1999 (27)
Birthplace
Harrington Park, NJ
College
Providence
Experience
3rd Season
Status
Inactive

NBA record

YearTeamGPGSMINFGFG%3PT3P%FT
2024-25Portland Trail Blazers1905.30.4-1.138.10.1-0.520.00.0-0.1
2023-24Portland Trail Blazers34111.20.6-2.229.70.4-1.424.50.1-0.3
2022-23Portland Trail Blazers4022.31.8-5.830.40.8-3.025.00.0-0.3

Justin Minaya: our analysis

2023-24 season: 34 GP, 1.8 PTS, 1.6 REB, 0.6 AST, 0.3 STL, 0.3 BLK. WAR -0.8 · PAL 4, very poor.

In 2023-24, Justin Minaya, 27, posts a PAL Rating of 4 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -0.8.

On the other hand, scoring (0, among the weakest in the league) and impact (16, well below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (points per 100 possessions above average), no component is positive; the costliest: offensive BPM (-5.1).

Advanced stats, 2023-24 Forwards

NBA stats →

Points

1.8

Rebounds

1.6

Assists

0.6

TS%

39.1 %

Usage

9.7 %

PER

5.8

WS/48

.009

On/off +/−

-0.4

Minutes

11.2

Games

34

Per game, regular season. Stats: Basketball-Reference.

2024-25 projection

NBA trends →

Projected WAR

-0.2

80% of cases: -0.7 to 0.5

Points/game

1.8

Games

22

WAR 2023-24

-0.8

The pace of the last three seasons, pulled toward the group average, over the minutes of the last two, adjusted for age. Average backtest error: 1.7 wins.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 2023-24-0.8 WAR

Outlook, age included

+25 · 24 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023-24

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

44

End of bench or prospect

SCO
Scoring
35
SHT
Shooting
64
FIN
Finishing
64
PLY
Playmaking
75
BAL
Ball security
75
REB
Rebounding
75
DEF
Defense
75
DUR
Durability
35
EX
Experience
—
Why these ratings?
  • SCO — Scoring : Points per 100 possessions, usage, efficiency (TS%)
  • SHT — Shooting : Three-point shooting (accuracy and volume), free throws, midrange
  • FIN — Finishing : Finishing at the rim, dunks, free throws drawn
  • PLY — Playmaking : Assists (rate and volume)
  • BAL — Ball security : Turnovers avoided
  • REB — Rebounding : Offensive and defensive rebound rates
  • DEF — Defense : Defensive impact estimated from available stats (defensive BPM, steals, blocks); not a complete measure of individual defense
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NBA

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023-24

How we rate →

WAR: Basketball-Reference's VORP × 2.7, wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Impact16
Scoring0
Playmaking44
Shooting19
Rebounding51
Defense46

Where WAR comes from

VORP-0.3
BPM (per 100 possessions)-5.6
Offensive BPM-5.1
Defensive BPM-0.5
Win Shares+0.1

Where the shots come from and how well they go in, 2023-24 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the group: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Avg distance

17.5 pi

20th percentile

At the rim

55.6 %

0th percentile

Rim share

24.3 %

56th percentile

Midrange

—

Three-point

.245

4th percentile

3PA share

66.2 %

89th percentile

Corner threes

33.3 %

19th percentile

Free throws

.556

1th percentile

Game log

DateOpponentResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG3PT
Apr 13vs LALW 109-8118532102-51-3
Apr 12vs GSWL 103-8615400102-40-0
Apr 10@ UTAL 133-126 OT6011100-20-1
Apr 6vs SASW 120-10914501112-41-3
Apr 5@ CHIL 118-11310211101-10-0
Apr 3@ TORW 112-1038010000-00-0
Apr 1@ ATLW 127-1131000000-00-0
Mar 30@ NYKL 110-931000000-10-1
Mar 28@ SACL 128-1072200001-20-1
Mar 22vs DENW 128-1092000000-00-0

Justin Minaya: frequently asked questions

How many points per game does Justin Minaya average in 2023-24?

Justin Minaya averages 1.8 points, 1.6 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game in 34 games in 2023-24.

How old is Justin Minaya?

Justin Minaya is 27 years old: he was born on March 26, 1999.

How tall is Justin Minaya, and how much does he weigh?

Justin Minaya is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).

Where is Justin Minaya from?

United States: Justin Minaya was born in Harrington Park, NJ, in the United States.

How good is Justin Minaya?

Justin Minaya produced -0.8 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023-24. His PAL rating is 4 out of 100: very poor for his position.

What is Justin Minaya's projection for 2024-25?

Our projection has him at -0.2 WAR in 2024-25, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.