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Jaylen

Nowell

G · WAS · Below average

PAL
21
WAR
-0.5
PTS
10.8

2022-23№ 98 / 114

Jaylen Nowell

#5GWashington Wizards logoWashington Wizards

Biography

Team
Washington Wizards
Position
Guard
Height
6' 5"
Weight
208 lbs
Born
July 9, 1999 (27)
Birthplace
Seattle, WA
College
Washington
Draft
2019: Rd 2, Pk 43 (MIN)
Status
Inactive

Career history

  • New Orleans Pelicans · 2024-25 (1 season)
  • 2023 24 Totals · 2023-24 (1 season)
  • Detroit Pistons · 2023-24 (1 season)
  • Memphis Grizzlies · 2023-24 (1 season)
  • Minnesota Timberwolves · 2019-20 – 2022-23 (4 seasons)

NBA record

YearTeamGPGSMINFGFG%3PT3P%FT
2024-25New Orleans Pelicans8021.03.3-9.135.61.0-3.429.60.9-1.4
2023-242023 24 Totals13116.52.6-6.043.60.5-2.220.70.5-0.7
2023-24Detroit Pistons4014.53.0-5.852.20.5-1.533.31.0-1.5
2023-24Memphis Grizzlies9117.32.4-6.140.00.4-2.617.40.3-0.3
2022-23Minnesota Timberwolves65219.34.3-9.644.81.0-3.628.91.2-1.5
2021-22Minnesota Timberwolves62115.73.2-6.747.51.0-2.639.41.2-1.5
2020-21Minnesota Timberwolves42018.13.4-8.042.41.2-3.633.31.1-1.3
2019-20Minnesota Timberwolves15010.11.3-3.535.80.2-1.711.51.1-1.1

Jaylen Nowell: our analysis

2022-23 season: 65 GP, 10.8 PTS, 2.6 REB, 2.0 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.1 BLK. WAR -0.5 (98th of 114) · PAL 21, below average.

In 2022-23, Jaylen Nowell, 27, posts a PAL Rating of 21 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of -0.5 ranks 98th among 114 regulars, in the bottom quarter.

His strengths: rebounding (68, above average). On the other hand, shooting (16, well below average) and impact (18, well below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (points per 100 possessions above average), no component is positive; the costliest: offensive BPM (-1.5).

A marked decline: his PAL was 66 in 2021-22, against 21 now; his WAR went from 1.9 to -0.5.

Advanced stats, 2022-23 Guards

NBA stats →

Points

10.8

Rebounds

2.6

Assists

2.0

TS%

52.7 %

Usage

25.0 %

PER

13.7

WS/48

.046

On/off +/−

-0.8

Minutes

19.3

Games

65

Per game, regular season. Stats: Basketball-Reference.

2023-24 projection

NBA trends →

Projected WAR

0.4

80% of cases: -1.6 to 2.7

Points/game

11.6

Games

64

WAR 2022-23

-0.5

The pace of the last three seasons, pulled toward the group average, over the minutes of the last two, adjusted for age. Average backtest error: 1.7 wins.

Trend

↓ Declining (-35)

  • 2021-221.9 WAR · 3.9 per 2,000 min
  • 2022-23-0.5 WAR · -0.8 per 2,000 min

Outlook, age included

-10 · 23 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022-23

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

68

Rotation

SCO
Scoring
76
SHT
Shooting
63
FIN
Finishing
71
PLY
Playmaking
70
BAL
Ball security
89
REB
Rebounding
78
DEF
Defense
66
DUR
Durability
69
EX
Experience
55
Why these ratings?
  • SCO — Scoring : Points per 100 possessions, usage, efficiency (TS%)
  • SHT — Shooting : Three-point shooting (accuracy and volume), free throws, midrange
  • FIN — Finishing : Finishing at the rim, dunks, free throws drawn
  • PLY — Playmaking : Assists (rate and volume)
  • BAL — Ball security : Turnovers avoided
  • REB — Rebounding : Offensive and defensive rebound rates
  • DEF — Defense : Defensive impact estimated from available stats (defensive BPM, steals, blocks); not a complete measure of individual defense
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NBA

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022-23

How we rate →

WAR: Basketball-Reference's VORP × 2.7, wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Impact18
Scoring50
Playmaking46
Shooting16
Rebounding68
Defense21

Where WAR comes from

VORP-0.2
BPM (per 100 possessions)-2.5
Offensive BPM-1.5
Defensive BPM-1.0
Win Shares+1.2

Where the shots come from and how well they go in, 2022-23 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the group: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Avg distance

13.5 pi

80th percentile

At the rim

66.2 %

48th percentile

Rim share

25.1 %

78th percentile

Midrange

36.8 %

28th percentile

Three-point

.289

5th percentile

3PA share

37.1 %

27th percentile

Corner threes

22.2 %

1th percentile

Free throws

.778

24th percentile

Season by season
SeasonTeamPTSWARPALOVTS %3P%3PA share
2022-23MIN10.8-0.5216852.7.28937.1
2021-22MIN8.51.9667858.1.39438.7

Jaylen Nowell: frequently asked questions

How many points per game does Jaylen Nowell average in 2022-23?

Jaylen Nowell averages 10.8 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game in 65 games in 2022-23.

How old is Jaylen Nowell?

Jaylen Nowell is 27 years old: he was born on July 9, 1999.

How tall is Jaylen Nowell, and how much does he weigh?

Jaylen Nowell is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 207 lb (94 kg).

Where is Jaylen Nowell from?

United States: Jaylen Nowell was born in Seattle, WA, in the United States.

What team does Jaylen Nowell play for?

Jaylen Nowell plays for the Washington Wizards in the NBA, at G, wearing number 5.

How good is Jaylen Nowell?

Jaylen Nowell produced -0.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022-23, 100th of 114 players at his position in the NBA. His PAL rating is 21 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is Jaylen Nowell a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 100th of 114 players at his position in the NBA in 2022-23. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Jaylen Nowell getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 66 in 2021-22 to 21 in 2022-23 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

Where was Jaylen Nowell drafted?

Jaylen Nowell was drafted in 2019 by MIN, in round 2 (pick 43 of the round).

What is Jaylen Nowell's projection for 2023-24?

Our projection has him at 0.4 WAR in 2023-24, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Washington Wizards teammates

Full roster →