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Dennis

Smith Jr.

G · MIA · Around average

PAL
49
WAR
0.8
PTS
6.6

2023-24№ 74 / 112

Dennis Smith Jr.

GMiami Heat logoMiami Heat

Biography

Team
Miami Heat
Position
Guard
Height
6' 2"
Weight
205 lbs
Born
November 25, 1997 (28)
Birthplace
Fayetteville, NC
College
NC State
Draft
2017: Rd 1, Pk 9 (DAL)
Experience
7th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Brooklyn Nets · 2023-24 (1 season)
  • Charlotte Hornets · 2022-23 (1 season)
  • Portland Trail Blazers · 2021-22 (1 season)
  • 2020 21 Totals · 2020-21 (1 season)
  • Detroit Pistons · 2020-21 (1 season)
  • New York Knicks · 2019-20 – 2020-21 (2 seasons)
  • 2018 19 Totals · 2018-19 (1 season)
  • New York Knicks · 2018-19 (1 season)
  • Dallas Mavericks · 2017-18 – 2018-19 (2 seasons)

NBA record

YearTeamGPGSMINFGFG%3PT3P%FT
2023-24Brooklyn Nets56218.92.6-6.043.50.6-1.929.40.8-1.0
2022-23Charlotte Hornets541525.73.4-8.441.20.4-2.121.61.4-2.0
2021-22Portland Trail Blazers37417.32.1-5.141.80.2-0.722.21.1-1.7
2020-212020 21 Totals23918.32.5-6.340.00.8-2.532.80.8-1.1
2020-21Detroit Pistons20919.62.8-6.841.51.0-2.735.20.7-1.0
2020-21New York Knicks309.30.7-3.320.00.0-1.30.01.7-2.0
2019-20New York Knicks34315.82.1-6.234.10.5-1.629.60.8-1.6
2018-192018 19 Totals535028.55.2-12.342.81.3-3.932.21.9-2.9
2018-19New York Knicks211828.65.8-14.041.31.1-4.028.92.0-3.5
2018-19Dallas Mavericks323228.44.9-11.244.01.3-3.934.41.8-2.6
2017-18Dallas Mavericks696929.75.9-14.839.51.5-4.931.31.9-2.8

Dennis Smith Jr.: our analysis

2023-24 season: 56 GP, 6.6 PTS, 2.9 REB, 3.6 AST, 1.2 STL, 0.2 BLK. WAR 0.8 (74th of 112) · PAL 49, around average.

In 2023-24, Dennis Smith Jr., 28, posts a PAL Rating of 49 out of 100 (around average), and his WAR of 0.8 ranks 74th among 112 regulars, in the bottom half.

His strengths: defense (94, among the best in the league) and rebounding (83, well above average). On the other hand, shooting (5, among the weakest in the league) and scoring (7, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (points per 100 possessions above average), his biggest contribution: defensive BPM (+1.8); his biggest cost: offensive BPM (-2.6).

A clear step forward: his PAL went from 22 in 2022-23 to 49; his WAR went from -0.3 to 0.8.

Advanced stats, 2023-24 Guards

NBA stats →

Points

6.6

Rebounds

2.9

Assists

3.6

TS%

50.8 %

Usage

17.7 %

PER

13.4

WS/48

.080

On/off +/−

+5.0

Minutes

18.9

Games

56

Per game, regular season. Stats: Basketball-Reference.

2024-25 projection

NBA trends →

Projected WAR

0.8

80% of cases: -1.3 to 3.2

Points/game

6.7

Games

55

WAR 2023-24

0.8

The pace of the last three seasons, pulled toward the group average, over the minutes of the last two, adjusted for age. Average backtest error: 1.7 wins.

Trend

↑ Slightly up (+15)

  • 2021-220.3 WAR · 0.9 per 2,000 min
  • 2022-23-0.3 WAR · -0.4 per 2,000 min
  • 2023-240.8 WAR · 1.5 per 2,000 min

Outlook, age included

+25 · 26 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023-24

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

66

Rotation

SCO
Scoring
48
SHT
Shooting
46
FIN
Finishing
77
PLY
Playmaking
82
BAL
Ball security
63
REB
Rebounding
81
DEF
Defense
91
DUR
Durability
58
EX
Experience
71
Why these ratings?
  • SCO — Scoring : Points per 100 possessions, usage, efficiency (TS%)
  • SHT — Shooting : Three-point shooting (accuracy and volume), free throws, midrange
  • FIN — Finishing : Finishing at the rim, dunks, free throws drawn
  • PLY — Playmaking : Assists (rate and volume)
  • BAL — Ball security : Turnovers avoided
  • REB — Rebounding : Offensive and defensive rebound rates
  • DEF — Defense : Defensive impact estimated from available stats (defensive BPM, steals, blocks); not a complete measure of individual defense
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NBA

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023-24

How we rate →

WAR: Basketball-Reference's VORP × 2.7, wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Impact52
Scoring7
Playmaking61
Shooting5
Rebounding83
Defense94

Where WAR comes from

VORP+0.3
BPM (per 100 possessions)-0.8
Offensive BPM-2.6
Defensive BPM+1.8
Win Shares+1.8

Where the shots come from and how well they go in, 2023-24 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the group: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Avg distance

11.5 pi

93th percentile

At the rim

67.2 %

51th percentile

Rim share

37.0 %

98th percentile

Midrange

31.8 %

20th percentile

Three-point

.294

3th percentile

3PA share

32.2 %

13th percentile

Corner threes

34.2 %

17th percentile

Free throws

.741

14th percentile

Season by season
SeasonTeamPTSWARPALOVTS %3P%3PA share
2023-24BKN6.60.8496650.8.29432.2
2022-23CHA8.8-0.3226247.5.21624.6
2021-22POR5.60.3426547.4.22214.3

Game log

DateOpponentResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG3PT
Mar 31vs LALL 116-1044200001-20-1
Mar 23@ NYKL 105-9314801203-41-2
Mar 22@ MILL 115-10819536302-21-1
Mar 19vs NOPL 104-9110003100-20-0
Mar 17@ SASL 122-115 OT17534202-61-2
Mar 16@ INDL 121-10011402002-40-1
Mar 13@ ORLL 114-106181032204-72-5
Mar 10@ CLEW 120-10120732002-31-2
Mar 10@ CHAL 110-9914730002-41-3
Mar 8@ DETL 118-11224923403-101-4

News

Dennis Smith Jr.: frequently asked questions

How many points per game does Dennis Smith Jr. average in 2023-24?

Dennis Smith Jr. averages 6.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game in 56 games in 2023-24.

How old is Dennis Smith Jr.?

Dennis Smith Jr. is 28 years old: he was born on November 25, 1997.

How tall is Dennis Smith Jr., and how much does he weigh?

Dennis Smith Jr. is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).

Where is Dennis Smith Jr. from?

United States: Dennis Smith Jr. was born in Fayetteville, NC, in the United States.

What team does Dennis Smith Jr. play for?

Dennis Smith Jr. plays for the Miami Heat in the NBA, at G.

How good is Dennis Smith Jr.?

Dennis Smith Jr. produced 0.8 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023-24, 77th of 112 players at his position in the NBA. His PAL rating is 49 out of 100: around average for his position.

Is Dennis Smith Jr. a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 77th of 112 players at his position in the NBA in 2023-24. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Dennis Smith Jr. getting better?

Yes: his PAL rating went from 22 in 2022-23 to 49 in 2023-24 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

Where was Dennis Smith Jr. drafted?

Dennis Smith Jr. was drafted in 2017 by DAL, in round 1 (pick 9 of the round).

What is Dennis Smith Jr.'s projection for 2024-25?

Our projection has him at 0.8 WAR in 2024-25, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Miami Heat teammates

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