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AJ

Griffin

F · HOU · Below average

PAL
39
WAR
1.1
PTS
8.9

2022-23№ 57 / 102

AJ Griffin

#14FHouston Rockets logoHouston Rockets

Biography

Team
Houston Rockets
Position
Forward
Height
6' 6"
Weight
220 lbs
Born
August 25, 2003 (23)
Birthplace
White Plains, NY
College
Duke
Draft
2022: Rd 1, Pk 16 (ATL)
Experience
2nd Season
Status
Free Agent

NBA record

YearTeamGPGSMINFGFG%3PT3P%FT
2023-24Atlanta Hawks2008.60.9-3.129.00.5-2.025.60.1-0.1
2022-23Atlanta Hawks721219.53.4-7.446.51.4-3.639.00.6-0.7

AJ Griffin: our analysis

2022-23 season: 72 GP, 8.9 PTS, 2.1 REB, 1.0 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.2 BLK. WAR 1.1 (57th of 102) · PAL 39, below average.

In 2022-23, AJ Griffin, 23, posts a PAL Rating of 39 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 1.1 ranks 57th among 102 regulars, in the bottom half.

His strengths: shooting (83, well above average). On the other hand, rebounding (6, among the weakest in the league) and defense (36, below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (points per 100 possessions above average), no component is positive; the costliest: defensive BPM (-0.5).

Advanced stats, 2022-23 Forwards

NBA stats →

Points

8.9

Rebounds

2.1

Assists

1.0

TS%

57.7 %

Usage

17.9 %

PER

12.6

WS/48

.075

On/off +/−

+3.8

Minutes

19.5

Games

72

Per game, regular season. Stats: Basketball-Reference.

2023-24 projection

NBA trends →

Projected WAR

1.4

80% of cases: -0.6 to 3.3

Points/game

10.0

Games

72

WAR 2022-23

1.1

The pace of the last three seasons, pulled toward the group average, over the minutes of the last two, adjusted for age. Average backtest error: 1.7 wins.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 2022-231.1 WAR · 1.6 per 2,000 min

Outlook, age included

+25 · 19 y.o. · usually still improving

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022-23

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

71

Established regular

SCO
Scoring
75
SHT
Shooting
83
FIN
Finishing
62
PLY
Playmaking
70
BAL
Ball security
86
REB
Rebounding
62
DEF
Defense
71
DUR
Durability
80
EX
Experience
—
Why these ratings?
  • SCO — Scoring : Points per 100 possessions, usage, efficiency (TS%)
  • SHT — Shooting : Three-point shooting (accuracy and volume), free throws, midrange
  • FIN — Finishing : Finishing at the rim, dunks, free throws drawn
  • PLY — Playmaking : Assists (rate and volume)
  • BAL — Ball security : Turnovers avoided
  • REB — Rebounding : Offensive and defensive rebound rates
  • DEF — Defense : Defensive impact estimated from available stats (defensive BPM, steals, blocks); not a complete measure of individual defense
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NBA

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022-23

How we rate →

WAR: Basketball-Reference's VORP × 2.7, wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Impact51
Scoring50
Playmaking43
Shooting83
Rebounding6
Defense36

Where WAR comes from

VORP+0.4
BPM (per 100 possessions)-0.8
Offensive BPM-0.3
Defensive BPM-0.5
Win Shares+2.2

Where the shots come from and how well they go in, 2022-23 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the group: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Avg distance

16.8 pi

25th percentile

At the rim

63.0 %

8th percentile

Rim share

10.1 %

8th percentile

Midrange

37.5 %

49th percentile

Three-point

.390

72th percentile

3PA share

48.6 %

65th percentile

Corner threes

40.8 %

61th percentile

Free throws

.894

98th percentile

Game log

DateOpponentResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG3PT
Apr 14@ INDL 157-11520800014-140-5
Apr 13@ MINL 109-10618341001-31-1
Jan 31vs LALW 138-1222010000-10-0
Jan 25@ GSWL 134-1122000000-20-2
Jan 21vs CLEL 116-953200001-20-1
Jan 14vs WASL 127-995010000-10-1
Jan 13vs INDL 126-1084200011-20-1
Jan 6@ INDL 150-1167300001-31-3
Dec 12vs DENL 129-1229021000-10-1
Nov 29@ CLEL 128-10515010000-80-4

AJ Griffin: frequently asked questions

How many points per game does AJ Griffin average in 2022-23?

AJ Griffin averages 8.9 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1.0 assists per game in 72 games in 2022-23.

How old is AJ Griffin?

AJ Griffin is 23 years old: he was born on August 25, 2003.

How tall is AJ Griffin, and how much does he weigh?

AJ Griffin is 6'6" (198 cm) and weighs 220 lb (100 kg).

Where is AJ Griffin from?

United States: AJ Griffin was born in White Plains, NY, in the United States.

What team does AJ Griffin play for?

AJ Griffin plays for the Houston Rockets in the NBA, at F, wearing number 14.

How good is AJ Griffin?

AJ Griffin produced 1.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022-23, 62nd of 102 players at his position in the NBA. His PAL rating is 39 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is AJ Griffin a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 62nd of 102 players at his position in the NBA in 2022-23. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Where was AJ Griffin drafted?

AJ Griffin was drafted in 2022 by ATL, in round 1 (pick 16 of the round).

What is AJ Griffin's projection for 2023-24?

Our projection has him at 1.4 WAR in 2023-24, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Houston Rockets teammates

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