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Rafael

Ortega

CF · Below average

PAL
30
WAR
0.3
HR
1

2023

Rafael Ortega

#5CF

Biography

Height
6' 0"
Weight
91 kg
Bats
L
Throws
R
MLB debut
September 30, 2012
Born
May 15, 1991 (35)
Birthplace
El Tigre, Venezuela

Career history

  • Chicago White Sox · 2024 (1 season)
  • New York Mets · 2023 (1 season)
  • Chicago Cubs · 2021 – 2022 (2 seasons)
  • Atlanta Braves · 2019 (1 season)
  • Miami Marlins · 2018 (1 season)
  • Los Angeles Angels · 2016 (1 season)
  • Colorado Rockies · 2012 (1 season)

MLB record

YearTeamPJABHHRPPMOYOPS
2024Chicago White Sox1414101.071.247
2023New York Mets471142518.219.613
2022Chicago Cubs11831676735.241.689
2021Chicago Cubs103296861133.291.823
2019Atlanta Braves348818210.205.578
2018Miami Marlins411333107.233.558
2016Los Angeles Angels6618543116.232.575
2012Colorado Rockies24200.5001.167
Career totals425115028222110.245.671

Rafael Ortega: our analysis

2023 season: .219 AVG, .341 OBP, .272 SLG, 1 HR, 8 RBI, 6 SB. WAR 0.3 · PAL 30, below average.

In 2023, Rafael Ortega, 35, posts a PAL Rating of 30 out of 100 (below average), with a WAR of 0.3.

His strengths: discipline (80, well above average) and speed (70, above average). On the other hand, power (11, among the weakest in the league) and offense (29, below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (runs above average), his biggest contribution: baserunning (+1.2); his biggest cost: batting (-3.1).

A marked decline: his PAL was 40 in 2022, against 30 now; his WAR went from 0.7 to 0.3.

Advanced stats, 2023 Hitter

MLB stats →

wRC+

82

wOBA

.288

xwOBA

.287

OPS

.613

AVG

.219

OBP

.341

HR

1

RBI

8

SB

6

PA

136

Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.

2024 projection

MLB trends →

Projected WAR

0.5

80% of cases: -0.9 to 2.0

Home runs

2

2023 WAR

0.3

This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 20211.6 WAR · 2.9 per full season
  • 20220.7 WAR · 1.1 per full season
  • 20230.3 WAR

Outlook, age included

-15 · 32 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from Statcast, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

60

Depth

CON
Contact
72
POW
Power
57
EYE
Eye
85
SPD
Speed
75
FLD
Fielding
69
DUR
Durability
53
EX
Experience
87
Why these ratings?
  • CON — Contact : Strikeouts avoided, xBA, squared-up contact
  • POW — Power : Barrels, exit velocity, home runs, xSLG
  • EYE — Eye : Walks and strikeouts
  • SPD — Speed : Sprint speed (Statcast), baserunning
  • FLD — Fielding : Outs above average, WAR fielding runs
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Offense29
Power11
Discipline80
Speed70
Defense56

WAR, in runs

Batting-3.1
Baserunning+1.2
Fielding+0.6
Positional-0.7
Replacement+4.2

MLB's tracking of every ball, 2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Avg exit velocity

86.8 mi/h

14th percentile

Max exit velocity

104.6 mi/h

1th percentile

Barrels

0.0 %

0th percentile

Hard-hit

26.8 %

4th percentile

xBA

.212

10th percentile

Bat speed

—

Sprint speed

27.2 pi/s

42th percentile

Outs above average

1

58th percentile

Season by season
SeasonTeamWARPALOVAvg exit velocityMax exit velocityBarrelsHard-hitxBA
2023NYM0.3306086.8104.60.026.8.212
2022CHC0.7406787.2108.44.833.7.246
2021CHC1.6536888.3109.55.734.6.250

Game log, 2023

DateOpponentABHHRRBIBBSOAVG
Oct 1vs PHI300011.219
Sep 30vs PHI510002.225
Sep 30vs PHI410001.226
Sep 28vs MIA210101.225
Sep 27vs MIA300011.220
Sep 27vs MIA000000.227
Sep 24@ PHI100001.227
Sep 22@ PHI320000.229
Sep 20@ MIA400001.215
Sep 19@ MIA000000.225

Rafael Ortega: frequently asked questions

How many home runs does Rafael Ortega have in 2023?

Rafael Ortega has 1 home run in 47 games in 2023, with a .219 batting average, 8 RBIs and a .613 OPS.

How old is Rafael Ortega?

Rafael Ortega is 35 years old: he was born on May 15, 1991.

How tall is Rafael Ortega, and how much does he weigh?

Rafael Ortega is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 201 lb (91 kg).

Where is Rafael Ortega from?

Venezuela: Rafael Ortega was born in El Tigre, Venezuela.

How good is Rafael Ortega?

Rafael Ortega produced 0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 30 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is Rafael Ortega getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 40 in 2022 to 30 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Rafael Ortega's projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 0.5 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.