SD2
MIL1FS1, FS1, FOX Dep.8:00 p.m.Division series
ATL0
LAD0FS1, FS1, FOX Dep.Parker
Messick
PAge : 25Throws : L
#77
Height : 6' 0" · Weight : 102 kg · Bats : L · Throws : L · MLB debut : 2025-08-20
Born in : Plant City, FL, USA
| Year | Team | PJ | V | D | MPM | MJ | RB | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Cleveland Guardians | 32 | 12 | 9 | 2.56 | 186.1 | 193 | 1.06 |
| 2025 | Cleveland Guardians | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2.72 | 39.2 | 38 | 1.31 |
| Career totals | 39 | 15 | 10 | 2.59 | 226.0 | 231 | 1.11 | |
2026
0.79 M$
Pre-arb
2027
—
Pre-arb
2028
—
Pre-arb
2029
—
Arb 1
2030
—
Arb 2
2031
—
Arb 3
ERA
2.56
FIP
3.07
xFIP
3.37
ERA-
62
WHIP
1.06
K%
25.8 %
BB%
6.6 %
Strikeouts
193
Innings
186.3
Wins
12
Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.
Projected WAR
3.0
Strikeouts
117
2026 WAR
4.9
This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.
Trend
→ Stable (0)
Outlook, age included
+25 · 25 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Ratings from 0 to 100, computed from Statcast and MLB stats over four seasons, never by hand. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
89
High-end
WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).
WAR
4.9
#9 of 166 regular starters
PAL Rating
93 / 100
#12 of 166 regular starters
Value Rating
98 / 100
Surplus $47.1M · salary $0.8MPAL: dimensions
A pitcher's WAR
Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 3.07 · RA9-WAR: 6.5
MLB's tracking of every ball, 2026 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Fastball
94.4 mi/h
53th percentile
K%
25.8 %
79th percentile
BB%
6.6 %
78th percentile
xERA
3.15
91th percentile
xwOBA allowed
.275
91th percentile
Barrels allowed
5.0 %
95th percentile
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | OV | Fastball | K% | BB% | xERA | xwOBA allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CLE | 4.9 | 93 | 89 | 94.4 | 25.8 | 6.6 | 3.15 | .275 |
| 2025 | CLE | 1.0 | 81 | 81 | 92.8 | 23.0 | 3.6 | 3.07 | .274 |
| Date | Opponent | IP | H | ER | BB | SO | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @ KC | 3.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.56 |
| Sep 22 | @ BOS | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2.55 |
| Sep 16 | vs CWS | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2.57 |
| Sep 11 | @ MIN | 5.1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2.51 |
| Sep 5 | vs DET | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 2.53 |
| Aug 30 | vs KC | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2.46 |
| Aug 24 | @ LAA | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2.50 |
| Aug 19 | vs SF | 6.2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2.54 |
| Aug 13 | @ DET | 5.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2.59 |
| Aug 7 | @ CWS | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2.57 |
AnalysisAtlanta Braves
The MLB Division Series start Saturday with major storylines: how the Braves deploy Chris Sale, whether the Padres can play to their bullpen strength, and what could trip up the White Sox, Guardians, Yankees and Rays.
· CBS Sports
