Nathan
Lukes
RFAge : 32Bats : L
#38
Nathan Lukes
#38RF
Toronto Blue Jays
Height : 5' 11" · Weight : 82 kg · Bats : L · Throws : R · MLB debut : 2023-03-30
Born in : Sacramento, CA, USA
MLB record
| Year | Team | PJ | AB | H | HR | PP | MOY | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays | 125 | 408 | 113 | 10 | 41 | .277 | .714 |
| 2025 | Toronto Blue Jays | 135 | 388 | 99 | 12 | 65 | .255 | .730 |
| 2024 | Toronto Blue Jays | 22 | 76 | 23 | 1 | 10 | .303 | .818 |
| 2023 | Toronto Blue Jays | 29 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | .192 | .598 |
| Career totals | 311 | 898 | 240 | 23 | 118 | .267 | .727 | |
ContractToronto Blue Jays payroll →
- Type
- Pre-Arbitration
- Length
- 1 yr · 2026–2026
- Total value
- 0.8 M$
- AAV
- 0.81 M$
2026
0.81 M$
Pre-arb
2027
—
Arb 1
2028
—
Arb 2
2029
—
Arb 3
2030
—
Arb 4
Advanced stats, 2026HitterMLB stats →
wRC+
102
wOBA
.317
xwOBA
.293
OPS
.714
AVG
.277
OBP
.327
HR
10
RBI
41
SB
1
PA
450
Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.
2027 projectionMLB trends →
Projected WAR
2.1
Home runs
10
2026 WAR
2.2
This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.
Trend
→ Stable (+3)
- 20251.8 WAR · 2.5 per full season
- 20262.2 WAR · 2.9 per full season
Outlook, age included
+3 · 31 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026All ratings →
Ratings from 0 to 100, computed from Statcast and MLB stats over four seasons, never by hand. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
69
Depth
- CON
- Contact
- 84
- POW
- Power
- 62
- EYE
- Eye
- 76
- SPD
- Speed
- 70
- FLD
- Fielding
- 82
- DUR
- Durability
- 66
- EX
- Experience
- 55
Why these ratings?Hide details
- CON — Contact : Strikeouts avoided, xBA, squared-up contact
- POW — Power : Barrels, exit velocity, home runs, xSLG
- EYE — Eye : Walks and strikeouts
- SPD — Speed : Sprint speed (Statcast), baserunning
- FLD — Fielding : Outs above average, WAR fielding runs
- DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026How we rate →
WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).
WAR
2.2
#114 of 267 regular hitters
PAL Rating
40 / 100
#160 of 267 regular hitters
Value Rating
68 / 100
Surplus $20.7M · salary $0.8MPAL: dimensions
WAR, in runs
StatcastStatcast leaderboards →
MLB's tracking of every ball, 2026 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Avg exit velocity
86.9 mi/h
17th percentile
Max exit velocity
107.5 mi/h
7th percentile
Barrels
2.5 %
7th percentile
Hard-hit
29.1 %
9th percentile
xBA
.258
68th percentile
Bat speed
67.0 mi/h
2th percentile
Sprint speed
27.0 pi/s
40th percentile
Outs above average
2
66th percentile
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | OV | Avg exit velocity | Max exit velocity | Barrels | Hard-hit | xBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | TOR | 2.2 | 40 | 69 | 86.9 | 107.5 | 2.5 | 29.1 | .258 |
| 2025 | TOR | 1.8 | 55 | 75 | 87.9 | 107.7 | 4.7 | 37.0 | .259 |
Game log, 2026
| Date | Opponent | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | SO | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | vs CIN | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .277 |
| Sep 25 | vs CIN | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .279 |
| Sep 23 | @ BAL | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .276 |
| Sep 23 | @ BAL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .274 |
| Sep 21 | @ BAL | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .275 |
| Sep 20 | @ TEX | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .274 |
| Sep 19 | @ TEX | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .271 |
| Sep 18 | @ TEX | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .273 |
| Sep 16 | vs DET | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .274 |
| Sep 15 | vs DET | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .274 |