Mitch

Keller

PAge : 30Throws : R

#23

Mitch Keller

#23PPittsburgh Pirates

Height : 6' 3" · Weight : 97 kg · Bats : R · Throws : R · MLB debut : 2019-05-27

Born in : Cedar Rapids, IA, USA

MLB record

Year	Team	PJ	V	D	MPM	MJ	RB	WHIP
2026	Pittsburgh Pirates	22	6	8	5.29	115.2	89	1.37
2025	Pittsburgh Pirates	32	6	15	4.19	176.1	150	1.26
2024	Pittsburgh Pirates	31	11	12	4.25	178.0	166	1.30
2023	Pittsburgh Pirates	32	13	9	4.21	194.1	210	1.25
2022	Pittsburgh Pirates	31	5	12	3.91	159.0	138	1.40
2021	Pittsburgh Pirates	23	5	11	6.17	100.2	92	1.79
2020	Pittsburgh Pirates	5	1	1	2.91	21.2	16	1.25
2019	Pittsburgh Pirates	11	1	5	7.13	48.0	65	1.83
Career totals		187	48	73	4.60	993.2	926	1.38

ContractPittsburgh Pirates payroll →

Type: Extension
Length: 5 yrs · 2024–2028
Total value: 77.0 M$
AAV: 15.40 M$

2026
16.91 M$
Guaranteed
2027
18.41 M$
Guaranteed
2028
20.41 M$
Guaranteed

Advanced stats, 2026Starting pitcherMLB stats →

ERA

5.29

FIP

4.54

xFIP

4.61

ERA-

122

WHIP

1.37

17.7 %

BB%

8.3 %

Strikeouts

Innings

115.7

Wins

Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.

2027 projectionMLB trends →

Projected WAR

1.2

Strikeouts

109

2026 WAR

1.0

This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.

Trend

→ Stable (-7)

20233.2 WAR · 3.0 per full season
20242.2 WAR · 2.2 per full season
20252.5 WAR · 2.6 per full season
20261.0 WAR · 1.6 per full season

Outlook, age included

-7 · 30 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2026All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed from Statcast and MLB stats over four seasons, never by hand. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

Established regular

VEL: Velocity; 72
STF: Stuff; 69
CTL: Control; 78
CNT: Contact allowed; 70
STA: Stamina; 78
DUR: Durability; 82
EX: Experience; 75

Why these ratings?

VEL — Velocity : Fastball velocity
STF — Stuff : Strikeouts, K − BB
CTL — Control : Walks avoided
CNT — Contact allowed : xwOBA, barrels and hard-hit balls allowed
STA — Stamina : Innings per start and innings pitched
DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors

WAR and PAL Rating, 2026How we rate →

WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).

WAR

1.0

#115 of 166 regular starters

PAL Rating

15 / 100

#141 of 166 regular starters

Value Rating

16 / 100

Surplus $-5.6M · salary $15.4M

PAL: dimensions

Run prevention18

Stuff17

Command42

Contact allowed23

Velocity32

Workload30

A pitcher's WAR

Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 4.54 · RA9-WAR: 0.2

StatcastStatcast leaderboards →

MLB's tracking of every ball, 2026 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Fastball

93.3 mi/h

32th percentile

17.7 %

18th percentile

BB%

8.3 %

43th percentile

xERA

5.51

9th percentile

xwOBA allowed

.355

9th percentile

Barrels allowed

7.4 %

61th percentile

Season by season
Season	Team	WAR	PAL	OV	Fastball	K%	BB%	xERA	xwOBA allowed
2026	PIT	1.0	15	72	93.3	17.7	8.3	5.51	.355
2025	PIT	2.5	57	81	94.1	20.0	6.8	4.45	.326
2024	PIT	2.2	62	81	94.5	21.5	6.5	4.22	.321
2023	PIT	3.2	85	81	95.2	25.5	6.7	4.18	.315
2022	PIT	2.1	52	70	95.6	20.1	8.7	4.16	.319
2021	PIT	1.1	7	54	93.8	19.6	10.4	5.69	.360

Game log, 2026

Date	Opponent	IP	H	ER	BB	SO	ERA
Aug 2	@ CIN	2.0	6	7	4	2	5.29
Jul 27	vs AZ	5.1	6	2	1	4	4.83
Jul 22	@ NYY	5.0	3	0	2	6	4.90
Jul 9	vs ATL	3.0	4	3	2	3	5.14
Jul 3	@ WSH	6.0	8	5	0	1	5.02
Jun 28	vs CIN	6.0	5	3	1	4	4.87
Jun 23	vs SEA	6.0	7	3	1	4	4.89
Jun 16	@ ATH	5.1	4	1	4	7	4.92
Jun 11	vs LAD	4.0	7	5	4	3	5.14
Jun 5	@ ATL	4.2	7	6	3	4	4.81