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33BaseLance Lynn headshot

Michael

Lynn

P · STL · Below average

PAL
23
WAR
1.3
ERA
3.84

2024№ 98 / 163

Lance Lynn

#33PSt. Louis Cardinals logoSt. Louis Cardinals

Biography

Height
6' 5"
Weight
127 kg
Bats
S
Throws
R
MLB debut
June 2, 2011
Born
May 12, 1987 (39)
Birthplace
Marion County, IN, USA
Nickname
ML2
Draft
2008

Career history

  • St. Louis Cardinals · 2024 (1 season)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers · 2023 (1 season)
  • Chicago White Sox · 2021 – 2023 (3 seasons)
  • Texas Rangers · 2019 – 2020 (2 seasons)
  • New York Yankees · 2018 (1 season)
  • Minnesota Twins · 2018 (1 season)
  • St. Louis Cardinals · 2011 – 2017 (6 seasons)

MLB record

YearTeamPJVDMPMMJRBWHIP
2024St. Louis Cardinals23743.84117.11091.34
20233213115.73183.21911.39
2023Los Angeles Dodgers11724.3664.0471.27
2023Chicago White Sox21696.47119.21441.46
2022Chicago White Sox21873.99121.21241.13
2021Chicago White Sox281162.69157.01761.07
2020Texas Rangers13633.3284.0891.06
2019Texas Rangers3316113.67208.12461.22
20183110104.77156.21611.53
2018New York Yankees11324.1454.1611.33
2018Minnesota Twins20785.10102.11001.63
2017St. Louis Cardinals331183.43186.11531.23
2015St. Louis Cardinals3112113.03175.11671.37
2014St. Louis Cardinals3315102.74203.21811.26
2013St. Louis Cardinals3315103.97201.21981.31
2012St. Louis Cardinals351873.78176.01801.32
2011St. Louis Cardinals18113.1234.2401.04
Career totals364143993.742006.120151.28

Lance Lynn: our analysis

2024 season: 23 G, 117.3 IP, 7 W, 4 L, 109 SO, 1.34 WHIP. WAR 1.3 (98th of 163) · PAL 23, below average.

In 2024, Lance Lynn, 39, posts a PAL Rating of 23 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 1.3 ranks 98th among 163 regulars, in the bottom half.

On the other hand, contact allowed (13, among the weakest in the league) and workload (23, well below average) hold him back.

A slight dip from 2023, when his PAL was 28; his WAR, though, went from 0.5 to 1.3.

Advanced stats, 2024 Starting pitcher

MLB stats →

ERA

3.84

FIP

4.31

xFIP

4.39

ERA-

95

WHIP

1.34

K%

21.3 %

BB%

8.6 %

Strikeouts

109

Innings

117.3

Wins

7

Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.

2025 projection

MLB trends →

Projected WAR

1.6

80% of cases: -0.3 to 4.0

Strikeouts

130

2024 WAR

1.3

This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.

Trend

↑ Slightly up (+11)

  • 20214.3 WAR · 4.9 per full season
  • 20221.8 WAR · 2.7 per full season
  • 20230.5 WAR · 0.5 per full season
  • 20241.3 WAR · 2.0 per full season

Outlook, age included

-19 · 37 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2024

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from Statcast, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

71

Established regular

VEL
Velocity
68
STF
Stuff
77
CTL
Control
72
CNT
Contact allowed
68
STA
Stamina
73
DUR
Durability
80
EX
Experience
92
Why these ratings?
  • VEL — Velocity : Fastball velocity
  • STF — Stuff : Strikeouts, K − BB
  • CTL — Control : Walks avoided
  • CNT — Contact allowed : xwOBA, barrels and hard-hit balls allowed
  • STA — Stamina : Innings per start and innings pitched
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors

WAR and PAL Rating, 2024

How we rate →

WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Run prevention35
Stuff38
Command31
Contact allowed13
Velocity29
Workload23

A pitcher's WAR

Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 4.31 · RA9-WAR: 0.9

MLB's tracking of every ball, 2024 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Fastball

92.3 mi/h

28th percentile

K%

21.3 %

45th percentile

BB%

8.6 %

30th percentile

xERA

4.87

16th percentile

xwOBA allowed

.342

16th percentile

Barrels allowed

10.5 %

8th percentile

Season by season
SeasonTeamWARPALOVFastballK%BB%xERAxwOBA allowed
2024STL1.3237192.321.38.64.87.342
2023LAD0.5288092.423.68.34.83.336
2022CWS1.8768693.024.23.73.64.300
2021CWS4.3898794.027.57.02.77.258

Game log, 2024

DateOpponentIPHERBBSOERA
Sep 17vs PIT6.041253.84
Sep 11vs CIN5.051173.96
Jul 30vs TEX5.031134.06
Jul 23@ PIT5.040324.17
Jul 13vs CHC6.052264.39
Jul 6@ WSH2.2910424.48
Jun 30vs CIN6.020163.59
Jun 24vs ATL6.241053.86
Jun 18@ MIA5.1105054.08
Jun 13vs PIT4.143353.75

Lance Lynn: frequently asked questions

What is Lance Lynn's record in 2024?

Lance Lynn is 7-4 in 2024, with a 3.84 ERA and 109 strikeouts in 117.3 innings.

How old is Lance Lynn?

Lance Lynn is 39 years old: he was born on May 12, 1987.

How tall is Lance Lynn, and how much does he weigh?

Lance Lynn is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 280 lb (127 kg).

Where is Lance Lynn from?

United States: Lance Lynn was born in Marion County, IN, United States.

What team does Lance Lynn play for?

Lance Lynn plays for the St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB, at P, wearing number 33.

How good is Lance Lynn?

Lance Lynn produced 1.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2024, 98th of 163 players at his position in the MLB. His PAL rating is 23 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is Lance Lynn a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 98th of 163 players at his position in the MLB in 2024. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Lance Lynn getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 28 in 2023 to 23 in 2024 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

Where was Lance Lynn drafted?

Lance Lynn: 2008.

What is Lance Lynn's projection for 2025?

Our projection has him at 1.6 WAR in 2025, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his St. Louis Cardinals teammates

Full roster →