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Justin

Miller

P · Very poor

PAL
4
WAR
-0.4
ERA
6.16

2021

Justin Miller

P

Biography

Height
6' 3"
Weight
102 kg
Bats
R
Throws
R
MLB debut
April 18, 2014
Born
June 13, 1987 (39)
Birthplace
Bakersfield, CA, USA
Nickname
J. Millz
Draft
2008

Career history

  • St. Louis Cardinals · 2021 (1 season)
  • Washington Nationals · 2018 – 2021 (3 seasons)
  • Colorado Rockies · 2015 – 2016 (2 seasons)
  • Detroit Tigers · 2014 (1 season)

MLB record

YearTeamPJVDMPMMJRBWHIP
202123106.1619.0131.37
2021St. Louis Cardinals18104.5016.091.25
2021Washington Nationals50015.003.042.00
2019Washington Nationals17104.0215.2111.28
2018Washington Nationals51713.6152.1601.13
2016Colorado Rockies40115.7042.2451.64
2015Colorado Rockies34334.0533.1380.96
2014Detroit Tigers8105.1112.151.30
Career totals1731454.62175.11721.27

Justin Miller: our analysis

2021 season: 23 G, 19.0 IP, 1 W, 0 L, 13 SO, 1.37 WHIP. WAR -0.4 · PAL 4, very poor.

In 2021, Justin Miller, 39, posts a PAL Rating of 4 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -0.4.

His strengths: command (69, above average). On the other hand, run prevention (3, among the weakest in the league) and contact allowed (8, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Advanced stats, 2021 Relief pitcher

MLB stats →

ERA

6.16

FIP

6.49

xFIP

5.57

ERA-

149

WHIP

1.37

K%

15.7 %

BB%

7.2 %

Strikeouts

13

Innings

19.0

Wins

1

Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.

2022 projection

MLB trends →

Projected WAR

-0.4

80% of cases: -0.3 to 0.6

Strikeouts

12

2021 WAR

-0.4

This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 2021-0.4 WAR · -1.4 per full season

Outlook, age included

-15 · 34 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2021

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from Statcast, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

60

Depth

VEL
Velocity
69
STF
Stuff
62
CTL
Control
79
CNT
Contact allowed
58
STA
Stamina
—
DUR
Durability
56
EX
Experience
75
Why these ratings?
  • VEL — Velocity : Fastball velocity
  • STF — Stuff : Strikeouts, K − BB
  • CTL — Control : Walks avoided
  • CNT — Contact allowed : xwOBA, barrels and hard-hit balls allowed
  • STA — Stamina : Innings per start and innings pitched
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors

WAR and PAL Rating, 2021

How we rate →

WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Run prevention3
Stuff15
Command69
Contact allowed8
Velocity32

A pitcher's WAR

Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 6.49 · RA9-WAR: -0.3

MLB's tracking of every ball, 2021 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Fastball

92.8 mi/h

27th percentile

K%

15.7 %

4th percentile

BB%

7.2 %

78th percentile

xERA

7.81

0th percentile

xwOBA allowed

.410

0th percentile

Barrels allowed

9.7 %

17th percentile

Game log, 2021

DateOpponentIPHERBBSOERA
Sep 24@ CHC1.010006.16
Sep 22@ MIL1.000106.50
Sep 18vs SD1.000006.88
Sep 15@ NYM1.020017.31
Aug 15@ KC1.032017.80
Aug 8vs KC1.210027.07
Aug 5vs ATL0.210108.03
Aug 3vs ATL1.000108.49
Jul 31vs MIN1.010019.28
Jul 28@ CLE1.1220010.24

Justin Miller: frequently asked questions

What is Justin Miller's record in 2021?

Justin Miller is 1-0 in 2021, with a 6.16 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 19.0 innings, 1 save.

How old is Justin Miller?

Justin Miller is 39 years old: he was born on June 13, 1987.

How tall is Justin Miller, and how much does he weigh?

Justin Miller is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 225 lb (102 kg).

Where is Justin Miller from?

United States: Justin Miller was born in Bakersfield, CA, United States.

How good is Justin Miller?

Justin Miller produced -0.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2021. His PAL rating is 4 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Where was Justin Miller drafted?

Justin Miller: 2008.

What is Justin Miller's projection for 2022?

Our projection has him at -0.4 WAR in 2022, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.