Chase
Burns
PAge : 23Throws : R
#26
Chase Burns
#26PCincinnati Reds
Height : 6' 3" · Weight : 95 kg · Bats : R · Throws : R · MLB debut : 2025-06-24
Born in : Naples, Italy
MLB record
| Year | Team | PJ | V | D | MPM | MJ | RB | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Cincinnati Reds | 29 | 15 | 3 | 2.86 | 154.1 | 185 | 1.17 |
| 2025 | Cincinnati Reds | 13 | 0 | 3 | 4.57 | 43.1 | 67 | 1.32 |
| Career totals | 42 | 15 | 6 | 3.23 | 197.2 | 252 | 1.20 | |
ContractCincinnati Reds payroll →
- Type
- Pre-Arbitration (Guaranteed Sect
- Length
- 1 yr · 2026–2026
- Total value
- 0.8 M$
- AAV
- 0.79 M$
2026
0.79 M$
Pre-arb
2027
—
Pre-arb
2028
—
Pre-arb
2029
—
Arb 1
2030
—
Arb 2
2031
—
Arb 3
2032
23.29 M$
Guaranteed
2033
25.29 M$
Guaranteed
Advanced stats, 2026Starting pitcherMLB stats →
ERA
2.86
FIP
3.24
xFIP
3.44
ERA-
67
WHIP
1.17
K%
29.4 %
BB%
8.9 %
Strikeouts
185
Innings
154.3
Wins
15
Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.
2027 projectionMLB trends →
Projected WAR
2.9
Strikeouts
124
2026 WAR
4.3
This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.
Trend
→ Stable (0)
- 20251.4 WAR
- 20264.3 WAR · 5.0 per full season
Outlook, age included
+25 · 23 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026All ratings →
Ratings from 0 to 100, computed from Statcast and MLB stats over four seasons, never by hand. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
83
Very good
- VEL
- Velocity
- 90
- STF
- Stuff
- 88
- CTL
- Control
- 70
- CNT
- Contact allowed
- 81
- STA
- Stamina
- 71
- DUR
- Durability
- 74
- EX
- Experience
- 37
Why these ratings?Hide details
- VEL — Velocity : Fastball velocity
- STF — Stuff : Strikeouts, K − BB
- CTL — Control : Walks avoided
- CNT — Contact allowed : xwOBA, barrels and hard-hit balls allowed
- STA — Stamina : Innings per start and innings pitched
- DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026How we rate →
WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).
WAR
4.3
#12 of 166 regular starters
PAL Rating
88 / 100
#20 of 166 regular starters
Value Rating
96 / 100
Surplus $41.2M · salary $0.8MPAL: dimensions
A pitcher's WAR
Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 3.24 · RA9-WAR: 4.7
StatcastStatcast leaderboards →
MLB's tracking of every ball, 2026 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Fastball
97.6 mi/h
95th percentile
K%
29.4 %
92th percentile
BB%
8.9 %
34th percentile
xERA
3.25
90th percentile
xwOBA allowed
.279
90th percentile
Barrels allowed
8.0 %
50th percentile
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | OV | Fastball | K% | BB% | xERA | xwOBA allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CIN | 4.3 | 88 | 83 | 97.6 | 29.4 | 8.9 | 3.25 | .279 |
| 2025 | CIN | 1.4 | 79 | 78 | 98.7 | 35.6 | 8.5 | 3.46 | .290 |
Game log, 2026
| Date | Opponent | IP | H | ER | BB | SO | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | vs CHC | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2.86 |
| Sep 13 | @ MIL | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2.80 |
| Sep 7 | @ LAD | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2.73 |
| Aug 30 | @ CHC | 5.2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2.79 |
| Aug 24 | @ SF | 3.2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2.77 |
| Aug 19 | vs STL | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2.51 |
| Aug 14 | vs MIA | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2.47 |
| Aug 8 | @ WSH | 5.1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2.61 |
| Aug 2 | vs PIT | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2.35 |
| Jul 28 | vs CLE | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.40 |
