Casey

Mize

PAge : 29Throws : R

#32

Casey Mize

#32PSan Diego Padres

Height : 6' 3" · Weight : 96 kg · Bats : R · Throws : R · MLB debut : 2020-08-19

Born in : Springville, AL, USA

MLB record

Year	Team	PJ	V	D	MPM	MJ	RB	WHIP
2026		26	6	10	4.32	131.1	110	1.23
2026	San Diego Padres	10	2	4	7.46	44.2	25	1.68
2026	Detroit Tigers	16	4	6	2.70	86.2	85	0.99
2025	Detroit Tigers	28	14	6	3.87	149.0	139	1.27
2024	Detroit Tigers	22	2	6	4.49	102.1	78	1.47
2022	Detroit Tigers	2	0	1	5.40	10.0	4	1.50
2021	Detroit Tigers	30	7	9	3.71	150.1	118	1.14
2020	Detroit Tigers	7	0	3	6.99	28.1	26	1.48
Career totals		115	29	35	4.22	571.1	475	1.27

ContractSan Diego Padres payroll →

Type: Arbitration
Length: 1 yr · 2026–2026
Total value: 6.2 M$
AAV: 6.15 M$

2026
6.15 M$
Guaranteed

Advanced stats, 2026Starting pitcherMLB stats →

ERA

4.32

FIP

4.14

xFIP

4.55

ERA-

106

WHIP

1.23

20.0 %

BB%

6.9 %

Strikeouts

110

Innings

131.3

Wins

Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.

2027 projectionMLB trends →

Projected WAR

2.4

Strikeouts

114

2026 WAR

2.3

This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.

Trend

→ Stable (+1)

20211.2 WAR · 1.4 per full season
20241.4 WAR · 2.5 per full season
20252.4 WAR · 2.9 per full season
20262.3 WAR · 3.2 per full season

Outlook, age included

+1 · 29 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2026All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed from Statcast and MLB stats over four seasons, never by hand. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

Established regular

VEL: Velocity; 72
STF: Stuff; 72
CTL: Control; 82
CNT: Contact allowed; 73
STA: Stamina; 69
DUR: Durability; 81
EX: Experience; 71

Why these ratings?

VEL — Velocity : Fastball velocity
STF — Stuff : Strikeouts, K − BB
CTL — Control : Walks avoided
CNT — Contact allowed : xwOBA, barrels and hard-hit balls allowed
STA — Stamina : Innings per start and innings pitched
DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors

WAR and PAL Rating, 2026How we rate →

WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).

WAR

2.3

#60 of 166 regular starters

PAL Rating

44 / 100

#93 of 166 regular starters

Value Rating

62 / 100

Surplus $16.3M · salary $6.2M

PAL: dimensions

Run prevention44

Stuff45

Command71

Contact allowed50

Velocity31

Workload28

A pitcher's WAR

Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 4.14 · RA9-WAR: 1.6

StatcastStatcast leaderboards →

MLB's tracking of every ball, 2026 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Fastball

93.3 mi/h

32th percentile

20.0 %

37th percentile

BB%

6.9 %

71th percentile

xERA

3.87

70th percentile

xwOBA allowed

.303

70th percentile

Barrels allowed

8.3 %

42th percentile

Season by season
Season	Team	WAR	PAL	OV	Fastball	K%	BB%	xERA	xwOBA allowed
2026	SD	2.3	44	75	93.3	20.0	6.9	3.87	.303
2025	DET	2.4	74	75	94.6	22.2	5.7	3.66	.298
2024	DET	1.4	29	60	95.5	17.3	6.4	4.74	.338
2021	DET	1.2	35	68	93.8	19.3	6.7	4.95	.339

Game log, 2026

Date	Opponent	IP	H	ER	BB	SO	ERA
Sep 25	vs AZ	4.0	7	7	2	1	4.32
Sep 19	vs MIA	3.0	5	5	5	2	3.96
Sep 14	@ COL	5.0	8	2	2	0	3.69
Sep 8	vs WSH	5.2	4	3	1	7	3.70
Sep 2	@ CIN	4.0	5	4	1	4	3.64
Aug 28	@ TB	5.0	6	2	1	1	3.45
Aug 22	vs MIN	2.2	4	4	1	0	3.44
Aug 16	@ CLE	6.0	3	0	1	3	3.18
Aug 10	vs MIL	6.0	5	2	2	6	3.38
Aug 5	@ AZ	3.1	9	8	3	1	3.40