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Carson

Kelly

CAge : 32Bats : R

#15

Carson Kelly

#15CChicago Cubs

Height : 6' 1" · Weight : 96 kg · Bats : R · Throws : R · MLB debut : 2016-09-05

Born in : Chicago, IL, USA

MLB record

YearTeamPJABHHRPPMOYOPS
2026Chicago Cubs121380981058.258.712
2025Chicago Cubs111369921750.249.761
20249128167937.238.687
2024Texas Rangers311022428.235.634
2024Detroit Tigers6017943729.240.716
20235213628213.206.565
2023Detroit Tigers1952917.173.540
2023Arizona Diamondbacks33841916.226.581
2022Arizona Diamondbacks10431767735.211.616
2021Arizona Diamondbacks98304731346.240.754
2020Arizona Diamondbacks3912227519.221.649
2019Arizona Diamondbacks111314771847.245.826
2018St. Louis Cardinals1935403.114.319
2017St. Louis Cardinals34691206.174.457
2016St. Louis Cardinals1013201.154.445
Career totals790234054781315.234.698

ContractChicago Cubs payroll →

Type
Free Agent
Length
2 yrs · 2025–2026
Total value
11.5 M$
AAV
5.75 M$

Advanced stats, 2026HitterMLB stats →

wRC+

103

wOBA

.320

xwOBA

.311

OPS

.712

AVG

.258

OBP

.336

HR

10

RBI

58

SB

0

PA

425

Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.

2027 projectionMLB trends →

Projected WAR

1.6

Home runs

10

2026 WAR

1.6

This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.

Trend

↓ Slight decline (-10)

  • 20230.1 WAR · 0.4 per full season
  • 20241.8 WAR · 3.5 per full season
  • 20252.7 WAR · 3.8 per full season
  • 20261.6 WAR · 2.3 per full season

Outlook, age included

-10 · 31 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2026All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed from Statcast and MLB stats over four seasons, never by hand. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

69

Depth

CON
Contact
78
POW
Power
67
EYE
Eye
81
SPD
Speed
58
FLD
Fielding
80
DUR
Durability
71
EX
Experience
84
Why these ratings?
  • CON — Contact : Strikeouts avoided, xBA, squared-up contact
  • POW — Power : Barrels, exit velocity, home runs, xSLG
  • EYE — Eye : Walks and strikeouts
  • SPD — Speed : Sprint speed (Statcast), baserunning
  • FLD — Fielding : Outs above average, WAR fielding runs
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors

WAR and PAL Rating, 2026How we rate →

WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).

WAR

1.6

#145 of 267 regular hitters

PAL Rating

38 / 100

#165 of 267 regular hitters

Value Rating

46 / 100

Surplus $9.9M · salary $5.8M

PAL: dimensions

Offense47
Power19
Discipline75
Speed8
Defense66

WAR, in runs

Batting+1.6
Baserunning-2.6
Fielding-1.7
Positional+6.5
Replacement+12.9

StatcastStatcast leaderboards →

MLB's tracking of every ball, 2026 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Avg exit velocity

86.7 mi/h

13th percentile

Max exit velocity

108.4 mi/h

15th percentile

Barrels

5.2 %

26th percentile

Hard-hit

36.1 %

29th percentile

xBA

.244

43th percentile

Bat speed

70.6 mi/h

30th percentile

Sprint speed

25.8 pi/s

14th percentile

Outs above average

—

Season by season
SeasonTeamWARPALOVAvg exit velocityMax exit velocityBarrelsHard-hitxBA
2026CHC1.6386986.7108.45.236.1.244
2025CHC2.7797188.8110.19.640.3.236
2024TEX1.8576387.6107.76.639.4.234
2023DET0.1195286.8107.32.133.0.185
2022AZ0.6196087.7109.45.236.8.225
2021AZ1.8586988.2109.28.534.0.250

Game log, 2026

DateOpponentABHHRRBIBBSOAVG
Sep 25@ BOS300001.258
Sep 24vs MIA300000.260
Sep 23vs MIA100000.262
Sep 22vs MIA510003.263
Sep 19@ CIN400000.264
Sep 18@ CIN220110.266
Sep 16vs ATL420000.262
Sep 15vs ATL100000.260
Sep 14vs ATL310110.261
Sep 13vs PIT100000.260