SD2
MIL1FS1, FS1, FOX Dep.8:00 p.m.Division series
ATL0
LAD0FS1, FS1, FOX Dep.Bryce
Elder
PAge : 27Throws : R
#55
#55PAtlanta Braves
Height : 6' 2" · Weight : 100 kg · Bats : R · Throws : R · MLB debut : 2022-04-12
Born in : Decatur, TX, USA
| Year | Team | PJ | V | D | MPM | MJ | RB | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Atlanta Braves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 4.11 | 149.0 | 121 | 1.27 |
| 2025 | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 8 | 11 | 5.30 | 156.1 | 131 | 1.39 |
| 2024 | Atlanta Braves | 10 | 2 | 5 | 6.52 | 49.2 | 46 | 1.63 |
| 2023 | Atlanta Braves | 31 | 12 | 4 | 3.81 | 174.2 | 128 | 1.28 |
| 2022 | Atlanta Braves | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3.17 | 54.0 | 47 | 1.24 |
| Career totals | 105 | 32 | 32 | 4.46 | 583.2 | 473 | 1.33 | |
2026
0.81 M$
Pre-arb
2027
—
Arb 1
2028
—
Arb 2
2029
—
Arb 3
ERA
4.11
FIP
4.62
xFIP
4.19
ERA-
98
WHIP
1.27
K%
19.1 %
BB%
7.7 %
Strikeouts
121
Innings
149.0
Wins
8
Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.
Projected WAR
1.2
Strikeouts
124
2026 WAR
1.2
This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.
Trend
→ Stable (+3)
Outlook, age included
+13 · 27 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Ratings from 0 to 100, computed from Statcast and MLB stats over four seasons, never by hand. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
68
Depth
WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).
WAR
1.2
#108 of 166 regular starters
PAL Rating
47 / 100
#88 of 166 regular starters
Value Rating
50 / 100
Surplus $10.9M · salary $0.8MPAL: dimensions
A pitcher's WAR
Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 4.62 · RA9-WAR: 2.0
MLB's tracking of every ball, 2026 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Fastball
92.4 mi/h
17th percentile
K%
19.1 %
31th percentile
BB%
7.7 %
55th percentile
xERA
4.15
56th percentile
xwOBA allowed
.313
56th percentile
Barrels allowed
6.8 %
71th percentile
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | OV | Fastball | K% | BB% | xERA | xwOBA allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ATL | 1.2 | 47 | 68 | 92.4 | 19.1 | 7.7 | 4.15 | .313 |
| 2025 | ATL | 0.9 | 31 | 65 | 92.8 | 19.3 | 7.5 | 4.73 | .335 |
| 2024 | ATL | 0.3 | 17 | 57 | 91.5 | 20.4 | 7.5 | 4.87 | .342 |
| 2023 | ATL | 1.8 | 39 | 66 | 90.8 | 17.5 | 8.6 | 4.51 | .326 |
| 2022 | ATL | 0.8 | 39 | 70 | 90.5 | 20.7 | 10.1 | 4.28 | .323 |
| Date | Opponent | IP | H | ER | BB | SO | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | vs SF | 5.1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4.11 |
| Aug 25 | vs LAD | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3.95 |
| Aug 16 | vs AZ | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3.92 |
| Aug 10 | vs NYM | 5.0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4.03 |
| Aug 5 | vs MIA | 7.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3.69 |
| Jul 31 | vs WSH | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3.84 |
| Jul 25 | @ BAL | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3.96 |
| Jul 20 | vs SD | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4.06 |
| Jul 9 | @ PIT | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4.12 |
| Jun 27 | @ SF | 4.0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4.01 |
AnalysisAtlanta Braves
The MLB Division Series start Saturday with major storylines: how the Braves deploy Chris Sale, whether the Padres can play to their bullpen strength, and what could trip up the White Sox, Guardians, Yankees and Rays.
· CBS Sports
