John

Ober

PAge : 31Throws : R

#17

Bailey Ober

#17PMinnesota Twins

Height : 6' 9" · Weight : 118 kg · Bats : R · Throws : R · MLB debut : 2021-05-18

Born in : Huntersville, NC, USA

MLB record

Year	Team	PJ	V	D	MPM	MJ	RB	WHIP
2026	Minnesota Twins	25	7	7	4.47	131.0	96	1.30
2025	Minnesota Twins	27	6	9	5.10	146.1	120	1.30
2024	Minnesota Twins	31	12	9	3.98	178.2	191	1.00
2023	Minnesota Twins	26	8	6	3.43	144.1	146	1.07
2022	Minnesota Twins	11	2	3	3.21	56.0	51	1.05
2021	Minnesota Twins	20	3	3	4.19	92.1	96	1.20
Career totals		140	38	37	4.15	748.2	700	1.15

ContractMinnesota Twins payroll →

Type: Arbitration
Length: 1 yr · 2026–2026
Total value: 5.2 M$
AAV: 5.20 M$

2026
5.20 M$
Guaranteed
2027
—
Arb 3

Advanced stats, 2026Starting pitcherMLB stats →

ERA

4.47

FIP

4.61

xFIP

4.86

ERA-

107

WHIP

1.30

17.1 %

BB%

6.6 %

Strikeouts

Innings

131.0

Wins

Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.

2027 projectionMLB trends →

Projected WAR

1.3

Strikeouts

2026 WAR

1.3

This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.

Trend

→ Stable (+3)

20232.5 WAR · 3.1 per full season
20242.9 WAR · 2.9 per full season
20251.1 WAR · 1.4 per full season
20261.3 WAR · 1.8 per full season

Outlook, age included

+3 · 30 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2026All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed from Statcast and MLB stats over four seasons, never by hand. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

Established regular

VEL: Velocity; 38
STF: Stuff; 73
CTL: Control; 86
CNT: Contact allowed; 71
STA: Stamina; 77
DUR: Durability; 81
EX: Experience; 66

Why these ratings?

VEL — Velocity : Fastball velocity
STF — Stuff : Strikeouts, K − BB
CTL — Control : Walks avoided
CNT — Contact allowed : xwOBA, barrels and hard-hit balls allowed
STA — Stamina : Innings per start and innings pitched
DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors

WAR and PAL Rating, 2026How we rate →

WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).

WAR

1.3

#101 of 166 regular starters

PAL Rating

20 / 100

#133 of 166 regular starters

Value Rating

41 / 100

Surplus $7.5M · salary $5.2M

PAL: dimensions

Run prevention24

Stuff18

Command76

Contact allowed30

Velocity0

Workload42

A pitcher's WAR

Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 4.61 · RA9-WAR: 1.2

StatcastStatcast leaderboards →

MLB's tracking of every ball, 2026 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Fastball

88.0 mi/h

0th percentile

17.1 %

13th percentile

BB%

6.6 %

78th percentile

xERA

4.66

33th percentile

xwOBA allowed

.330

33th percentile

Barrels allowed

9.9 %

13th percentile

Season by season
Season	Team	WAR	PAL	OV	Fastball	K%	BB%	xERA	xwOBA allowed
2026	MIN	1.3	20	75	88.0	17.1	6.6	4.66	.330
2025	MIN	1.1	28	80	90.3	19.2	5.0	4.36	.323
2024	MIN	2.9	83	86	91.7	26.9	6.1	3.25	.284
2023	MIN	2.5	79	79	91.3	25.3	5.0	3.58	.293
2022	MIN	1.4	47	72	91.5	22.5	4.8	4.71	.337
2021	MIN	0.9	50	74	92.3	25.3	5.0	4.51	.325

Game log, 2026

Date	Opponent	IP	H	ER	BB	SO	ERA
Sep 26	vs TEX	5.0	10	6	1	5	4.47
Sep 20	@ LAA	3.0	1	0	0	3	4.21
Sep 15	vs NYY	5.1	9	3	2	3	4.32
Sep 6	@ CWS	4.1	4	1	3	6	4.28
Aug 29	vs CWS	5.0	2	1	2	5	4.37
Aug 23	@ SD	5.0	4	1	3	3	4.49
Aug 17	vs ATL	4.1	6	2	1	4	4.62
Aug 11	vs BAL	6.0	8	5	1	4	4.64
Aug 6	@ KC	6.0	6	3	0	0	4.45
Jul 30	vs KC	6.0	4	2	2	3	4.45