Alexander
Cobb
P · DET · Above average
- PAL
- 65
- WAR
- 1.8
- ERA
- 3.87
2023№ 71 / 168
Alex Cobb
#38P
Detroit Tigers
Biography
- Height
- 6' 3"
- Weight
- 93 kg
- Bats
- R
- Throws
- R
- MLB debut
- May 1, 2011
- Born
- October 7, 1987 (39)
- Birthplace
- Boston, MA, USA
- Nickname
- Swan
- Draft
- 2006
Career history
- Cleveland Guardians · 2024 (1 season)
- San Francisco Giants · 2022 – 2023 (2 seasons)
- Los Angeles Angels · 2021 (1 season)
- Baltimore Orioles · 2018 – 2020 (3 seasons)
- Tampa Bay Rays · 2011 – 2017 (6 seasons)
MLB record
| Year | Team | PJ | V | D | MPM | MJ | RB | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2.76 | 16.1 | 10 | 1.04 |
| 2023 | San Francisco Giants | 28 | 7 | 7 | 3.87 | 151.1 | 131 | 1.32 |
| 2022 | San Francisco Giants | 28 | 7 | 8 | 3.73 | 149.2 | 151 | 1.30 |
| 2021 | Los Angeles Angels | 18 | 8 | 3 | 3.76 | 93.1 | 98 | 1.26 |
| 2020 | Baltimore Orioles | 10 | 2 | 5 | 4.30 | 52.1 | 38 | 1.34 |
| 2019 | Baltimore Orioles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10.95 | 12.1 | 8 | 1.86 |
| 2018 | Baltimore Orioles | 28 | 5 | 15 | 4.90 | 152.1 | 102 | 1.41 |
| 2017 | Tampa Bay Rays | 29 | 12 | 10 | 3.66 | 179.1 | 128 | 1.22 |
| 2016 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8.59 | 22.0 | 16 | 1.77 |
| 2014 | Tampa Bay Rays | 27 | 10 | 9 | 2.87 | 166.1 | 149 | 1.14 |
| 2013 | Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 11 | 3 | 2.76 | 143.1 | 134 | 1.15 |
| 2012 | Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 11 | 9 | 4.03 | 136.1 | 106 | 1.25 |
| 2011 | Tampa Bay Rays | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3.42 | 52.2 | 37 | 1.33 |
| Career totals | 233 | 79 | 76 | 3.84 | 1327.2 | 1108 | 1.27 | |
Alex Cobb: our analysis
2023 season: 28 G, 151.3 IP, 7 W, 7 L, 131 SO, 1.32 WHIP. WAR 1.8 (71st of 168) · PAL 65, above average.
In 2023, Alex Cobb, 39, posts a PAL Rating of 65 out of 100 (above average), and his WAR of 1.8 ranks 71st among 168 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: command (85, among the best in the league), velocity (84, well above average) and run prevention (70, above average).
A marked decline: his PAL was 83 in 2022, against 65 now; his WAR went from 3.7 to 1.8.
Advanced stats, 2023 Starting pitcher
MLB stats →ERA
3.87
FIP
4.01
xFIP
3.51
ERA-
91
WHIP
1.32
K%
20.3 %
BB%
5.7 %
Strikeouts
131
Innings
151.3
Wins
7
Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.
2024 projection
MLB trends →Projected WAR
1.7
80% of cases: -0.2 to 4.1
Strikeouts
121
2023 WAR
1.8
This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.
Trend
↓ Slight decline (-17)
- 20212.5 WAR · 4.8 per full season
- 20223.7 WAR · 4.4 per full season
- 20231.8 WAR · 2.1 per full season
Outlook, age included
-47 · 35 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2023
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from Statcast, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
80
Very good
- VEL
- Velocity
- 83
- STF
- Stuff
- 75
- CTL
- Control
- 82
- CNT
- Contact allowed
- 80
- STA
- Stamina
- 74
- DUR
- Durability
- 81
- EX
- Experience
- 90
Why these ratings?Hide details
- VEL — Velocity : Fastball velocity
- STF — Stuff : Strikeouts, K − BB
- CTL — Control : Walks avoided
- CNT — Contact allowed : xwOBA, barrels and hard-hit balls allowed
- STA — Stamina : Innings per start and innings pitched
- DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors
WAR and PAL Rating, 2023
How we rate →WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
A pitcher's WAR
Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 4.01 · RA9-WAR: 2.6
Statcast
Statcast leaderboards →MLB's tracking of every ball, 2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Fastball
95.6 mi/h
82th percentile
K%
20.3 %
37th percentile
BB%
5.7 %
86th percentile
xERA
4.73
35th percentile
xwOBA allowed
.333
35th percentile
Barrels allowed
7.0 %
79th percentile
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | OV | Fastball | K% | BB% | xERA | xwOBA allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | SF | 1.8 | 65 | 80 | 95.6 | 20.3 | 5.7 | 4.73 | .333 |
| 2022 | SF | 3.7 | 83 | 83 | 95.4 | 23.9 | 6.8 | 3.13 | .279 |
| 2021 | LAA | 2.5 | 70 | 77 | 93.2 | 24.9 | 8.4 | 3.95 | .306 |
Game log, 2023
| Date | Opponent | IP | H | ER | BB | SO | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | @ AZ | 2.0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3.87 |
| Sep 11 | vs CLE | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3.62 |
| Sep 3 | @ SD | 3.0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3.74 |
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3.57 |
| Aug 23 | @ PHI | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3.74 |
| Aug 18 | @ ATL | 5.2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3.75 |
| Aug 12 | vs TEX | 4.1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3.62 |
| Aug 6 | @ ATH | 5.1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3.30 |
| Aug 1 | vs AZ | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3.05 |
| Jul 25 | vs ATH | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2.97 |
Alex Cobb: frequently asked questions
What is Alex Cobb's record in 2023?
Alex Cobb is 7-7 in 2023, with a 3.87 ERA and 131 strikeouts in 151.3 innings.
How old is Alex Cobb?
Alex Cobb is 39 years old: he was born on October 7, 1987.
How tall is Alex Cobb, and how much does he weigh?
Alex Cobb is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).
Where is Alex Cobb from?
United States: Alex Cobb was born in Boston, MA, United States.
What team does Alex Cobb play for?
Alex Cobb plays for the Detroit Tigers in the MLB, at P, wearing number 38.
How good is Alex Cobb?
Alex Cobb produced 1.8 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023, 71st of 168 players at his position in the MLB. His PAL rating is 65 out of 100: above average for his position.
Is Alex Cobb a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 71st of 168 players at his position in the MLB in 2023. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Alex Cobb getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 83 in 2022 to 65 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
Where was Alex Cobb drafted?
Alex Cobb: 2006.
What is Alex Cobb's projection for 2024?
Our projection has him at 1.7 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
