Nathan
Ordaz
F
#22
Nathan Ordaz
#22F
D.C. United
Height : 5' 11" · Weight : 163 lbs · Age : 22
MLS record
| Year | Team | FC | FA | RC | YC | OG | APP | SUB | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current season | D.C. United | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 2 |
Salary
LAFC payroll →- 2026 guaranteed comp.
- 545 k$
- Base salary
- 500 k$
- Rank on the club
- #15 of 23
Guaranteed compensation: base salary plus signing bonuses and other guaranteed money, annualized; performance bonuses are not included. Contract length is not made public.
Advanced stats, 2026 Strikers
MLS stats →2026 season, in progress (1,040 minutes played). The percentile ranks the player among regular strikers (1,000+ minutes over a full season): 90th means better than 90% of them.
Goals
2
12th percentile
Assists
1
32th percentile
Expected goals (xG)
2.3
8th percentile
Expected assists (xA)
1.5
44th percentile
Goals − xG
−0.3
52th percentile
Key passes
12
32th percentile
Pass completion
79.4 %
64th percentile
Passes over expected
−2.0 /100
48th percentile
g+ per 90
−0.09
13th percentile
Minutes
1,040
Regular season. xG: expected goals from chance quality; xA: expected assists. Passes over expected: completed passes above expectation, per 100 passes, given their difficulty. g+: goals added, above the position average. Data: American Soccer Analysis.
2027 projection
MLS trends →Projected WAR
-0.1
Confidence: medium · based on the backtest and minutes played
Projected minutes
1,347
WAR 2026
-0.2
Minutes played
1,040
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per minute, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average as if 1,000 more minutes, over the minutes expected from the last two seasons, adjusted for age. Method chosen by backtest (2023 to 2026): mean error of 0.24 wins.
Trend
→ Stable (+3)
- 20230.0 WAR · 0.00 per 3,000 min
- 20240.0 WAR · 0.00 per 3,000 min
- 2025-0.4 WAR · -0.81 per 3,000 min
- 2026-0.2 WAR · -0.58 per 3,000 min
The trend compares this season's WAR per 3,000 minutes with last season's (at least 500 minutes each), weighted by playing time.
Outlook, age included
+28 · 22 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, transfers or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. EX counts his MLS seasons since 2021, from our data: his career elsewhere is not included.
OV · Overall
59
Backup or prospect
- FIN
- Finishing
- 73
- SHO
- Shot threat
- 50
- MOV
- Movement
- 67
- VIS
- Vision
- 79
- DRI
- Dribbling
- 72
- PAS
- Passing
- 66
- DUR
- Durability
- 50
- EX
- Experience
- 63
Why these ratings?Hide details
- FIN — Finishing : Goals over expected goals, shot quality
- SHO — Shot threat : Expected goals and shots per 90
- MOV — Movement : Goals added by receiving: getting open to receive
- VIS — Vision : Expected assists and key passes per 90
- DRI — Dribbling : Goals added by carrying the ball
- PAS — Passing : Goals added by passing, passes completed over expected
- DUR — Durability : Share of his club's minutes played, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : MLS seasons since 2021 (our data)
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026
How we rate →WAR: the goals added (g+) of each of his actions, above replacement level (the per-minute output of his group's fringe players), converted to standings points (0.64 points per goal), then to wins (3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
WAR
-0.2
#44 of 51 regular strikers
−0.8 goals above replacement
PAL Rating
17 / 100
#43 of 51 regular strikers
Value Rating · 2026
Sporting contract value
54 / 100
The surplus: his 2026 WAR (-0.2) × the price of a win ($3.6M), minus his 2026 guaranteed compensation, against other strikers. Commercial value (tickets, sponsors, media rights) is not counted.Salary$545KSurplus−$1.3MWAR paid0.15PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Getting open and receiving the ball in dangerous areas.
Fouls drawn (free kicks, penalties won) minus fouls committed.
Carrying the ball and beating defenders, minus the balls lost.
Breaking up the opponent's play: tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocked shots.
How his passes change his team's chances of scoring and conceding.
The value of his shots: the quality of the chance and what he makes of it.
The parts above are measured against the position average. This adjustment moves the baseline to a fringe player in his group, prorated by minutes: positive when fringe players do worse than average, negative when they do better.
| Season | Team | Min | WAR | PAL | OV | G | A | xG | xA | g+/90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LAFC | 1,040 | -0.2 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | −0.09 |
| 2025 | LAFC | 1,474 | -0.4 | 36 | 66 | 5 | 3 | 6.4 | 2.2 | −0.12 |
| 2024 | LAFC | 481 | 0.0 | 49 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | −0.05 |
| 2023 | LAFC | 356 | 0.0 | 53 | 70 | 0 | 1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | +0.02 |
Nathan Ordaz in five questions
How many goals does Nathan Ordaz have in 2026?
Nathan Ordaz has 2 goals and 1 assist in 1,040 minutes in 2026 (expected goals: 2.3).
How old and how tall is Nathan Ordaz?
Nathan Ordaz is 22 years old. He is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 163 lb (74 kg).
How good is Nathan Ordaz?
Nathan Ordaz produced -0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026, 45th of 51 players at his position in the MLS. His PAL rating is 17 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Nathan Ordaz make?
Nathan Ordaz earns $545K for the 2026 season. His Value Rating (on-field contract efficiency) is 54 out of 100 (fair value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position; the player's commercial value is not part of it.
What number does Nathan Ordaz wear, and what team does he play for?
Nathan Ordaz plays for D.C. United in the MLS, at F, and wears number 22.
