Luis Otávio
Otávio
M
#5
Luis Otávio
Orlando City SCHeight : 5' 11" · Age : 19
MLS record
| Year | Team | FC | FA | RC | YC | OG | APP | SUB | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current season | Orlando City SC | 13 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
- 2026 guaranteed comp.
- 569 k$
- Base salary
- 500 k$
- Rank on the club
- #12 of 24
Guaranteed compensation: base salary plus signing bonuses and other guaranteed money, annualized; performance bonuses are not included. Contract length is not made public.
Advanced stats, 2026 Central midfielders
MLS stats →2026 season, in progress (1,147 minutes played). The percentile ranks the player among regular central midfielders (1,000+ minutes over a full season): 90th means better than 90% of them.
Goals
1
54th percentile
Assists
0
18th percentile
Expected goals (xG)
0.9
46th percentile
Expected assists (xA)
0.1
2th percentile
Goals − xG
+0.1
68th percentile
Key passes
3
2th percentile
Pass completion
86.3 %
53th percentile
Passes over expected
−0.1 /100
22th percentile
g+ per 90
−0.10
6th percentile
Minutes
1,147
Regular season. xG: expected goals from chance quality; xA: expected assists. Passes over expected: completed passes above expectation, per 100 passes, given their difficulty. g+: goals added, above the position average. Data: American Soccer Analysis.
2027 projection
MLS trends →Projected WAR
0.0
Confidence: low · based on the backtest and minutes played
Projected minutes
1,393
WAR 2026
-0.1
Minutes played
1,147
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per minute, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average as if 1,000 more minutes, over the minutes expected from the last two seasons, adjusted for age. Method chosen by backtest (2023 to 2026): mean error of 0.24 wins.
Trend
→ Stable (0)
- 2026-0.1 WAR · -0.26 per 3,000 min
The trend compares this season's WAR per 3,000 minutes with last season's (at least 500 minutes each), weighted by playing time.
Outlook, age included
+25 · 19 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, transfers or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. EX counts his MLS seasons since 2021, from our data: his career elsewhere is not included.
OV · Overall
51
Backup or prospect
- PAS
- Passing
- 68
- DEF
- Defending
- 64
- VIS
- Vision
- 58
- DRI
- Dribbling
- 68
- DIS
- Discipline
- 46
- DUR
- Durability
- 64
- EX
- Experience
- 27
Why these ratings?Hide details
- PAS — Passing : Goals added by passing, passes completed over expected
- DEF — Defending : Goals added by interrupting (tackles, interceptions, clearances)
- VIS — Vision : Expected assists and key passes per 90
- DRI — Dribbling : Goals added by carrying the ball
- DIS — Discipline : Goals added by fouls drawn and avoided
- DUR — Durability : Share of his club's minutes played, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : MLS seasons since 2021 (our data)
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026
How we rate →WAR: the goals added (g+) of each of his actions, above replacement level (the per-minute output of his group's fringe players), converted to standings points (0.64 points per goal), then to wins (3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
WAR
-0.1
#77 of 98 regular central midfielders
−0.6 goals above replacement
PAL Rating
1 / 100
#98 of 98 regular central midfielders
Value Rating · 2026
Sporting contract value
29 / 100
The surplus: his 2026 WAR (-0.1) × the price of a win ($3.6M), minus his 2026 guaranteed compensation, against other central midfielders. Commercial value (tickets, sponsors, media rights) is not counted.Salary$569KSurplus−$933KWAR paid0.16PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
The value of his shots: the quality of the chance and what he makes of it.
Carrying the ball and beating defenders, minus the balls lost.
Getting open and receiving the ball in dangerous areas.
Fouls drawn (free kicks, penalties won) minus fouls committed.
Breaking up the opponent's play: tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocked shots.
How his passes change his team's chances of scoring and conceding.
The parts above are measured against the position average. This adjustment moves the baseline to a fringe player in his group, prorated by minutes: positive when fringe players do worse than average, negative when they do better.
Luis Otávio in five questions
How many goals does Luis Otávio have in 2026?
Luis Otávio has 1 goal and 0 assists in 1,147 minutes in 2026 (expected goals: 0.9).
How old and how tall is Luis Otávio?
Luis Otávio is 19 years old. He is 5'11" (180 cm).
How good is Luis Otávio?
Luis Otávio produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026, 81st of 98 players at his position in the MLS. His PAL rating is 1 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Luis Otávio make?
Luis Otávio earns $569K for the 2026 season. His Value Rating (on-field contract efficiency) is 29 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position; the player's commercial value is not part of it.
What number does Luis Otávio wear, and what team does he play for?
Luis Otávio plays for Orlando City SC in the MLS, at M, and wears number 5.
