John
McCarthy
G
#77
John McCarthy
New York Red BullsHeight : 6' 1" · Weight : 183 lbs · Age : 34
MLS record
| Year | Team | FC | FA | RC | YC | OG | APP | SUB | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current season | New York Red Bulls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 2026 guaranteed comp.
- 589 k$
- Base salary
- 525 k$
- Rank on the club
- #6 of 24
Guaranteed compensation: base salary plus signing bonuses and other guaranteed money, annualized; performance bonuses are not included. Contract length is not made public.
Advanced stats, 2025 Goalkeepers
MLS stats →2025 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular goalkeepers (1,000+ minutes over a full season): 90th means better than 90% of them.
Saves
35
7th percentile
Shots on target faced
64
Save percentage
54.7 %
4th percentile
Goals conceded
27
Goals allowed − xG faced
+4.6
10th percentile
g+ per 90
−0.35
1th percentile
Pass completion
61.8 %
7th percentile
Minutes
1,212
Regular season. Goals allowed − xG faced: below zero, he allowed fewer goals than the quality of the shots on target predicted (lower is better). g+: goals added, above the position average. Data: American Soccer Analysis.
2026 projection
MLS trends →Projected WAR
0.0
Confidence: medium · a goalkeeper's output swings a lot from season to season
Projected minutes
2,034
WAR 2025
-1.1
Minutes played
1,212
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per minute, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average as if 1,000 more minutes, over the minutes expected from the last two seasons, adjusted for age. Method chosen by backtest (2023 to 2026): mean error of 0.24 wins.
Trend
↓ Declining (-46)
- 20230.7 WAR · 0.83 per 3,000 min
- 20241.7 WAR · 1.56 per 3,000 min
- 2025-1.1 WAR · -2.72 per 3,000 min
The trend compares this season's WAR per 3,000 minutes with last season's (at least 500 minutes each), weighted by playing time. For goalkeepers, goals added swing a lot from season to season: read a strong trend with caution.
Outlook, age included
-61 · 32 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, transfers or role changes.
Player ratings, 2025
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. EX counts his MLS seasons since 2021, from our data: his career elsewhere is not included.
OV · Overall
63
Depth player
- SAV
- Shot stopping
- 65
- DST
- Distribution
- 46
- CLM
- Claiming
- 80
- SWP
- Sweeping
- 74
- DUR
- Durability
- 68
- EX
- Experience
- 70
Why these ratings?Hide details
- SAV — Shot stopping : Goals allowed against post-shot expected goals, shot-stopping g+
- DST — Distribution : Goals added by distribution
- CLM — Claiming : Goals added by claiming crosses
- SWP — Sweeping : Goals added by sweeping
- DUR — Durability : Share of his club's minutes played, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : MLS seasons since 2021 (our data)
WAR and PAL Rating, 2025
How we rate →WAR: the goals added (g+) of each of his actions, above replacement level (the per-minute output of his group's fringe players), converted to standings points (0.64 points per goal), then to wins (3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
WAR
-1.1
#32 of 35 regular goalkeepers
−5.0 goals above replacement
PAL Rating
1 / 100
#35 of 35 regular goalkeepers
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Holding the shot or parrying it without giving up a rebound.
Collecting loose balls and low crosses (counted with handling in his ratings).
Catching or punching crosses rather than leaving them in the box.
Coming off his line to cut out a ball in behind.
Kicking and throwing: how his distribution changes his team's chances.
Goals prevented given the quality of the shots on target he faced.
The parts above are measured against the position average. This adjustment moves the baseline to a fringe player in his group, prorated by minutes: positive when fringe players do worse than average, negative when they do better.
Shot stopping drives almost all of a goalkeeper's WAR, and it swings a lot from season to season: one season says less than it does for an outfield player.
| Season | Team | Min | WAR | PAL | OV | Saves | Sv% | G − xG | g+/90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LA | 1,212 | -1.1 | 1 | 63 | 35 | 54.7 | +4.6 | −0.35 |
| 2024 | LA | 3,268 | 1.7 | 81 | 78 | 125 | 71.8 | −2.4 | +0.11 |
| 2023 | LAFC | 2,518 | 0.7 | 25 | 60 | 67 | 67.7 | +1.6 | −0.05 |
John McCarthy in five questions
What is John McCarthy's record in 2025?
John McCarthy has 35 saves and has conceded 27 goals in 1,212 minutes in 2025.
How old and how tall is John McCarthy?
John McCarthy is 34 years old. He is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).
How good is John McCarthy?
John McCarthy produced -1.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025, 32nd of 35 players at his position in the MLS. His PAL rating is 1 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does John McCarthy make?
John McCarthy earns $475K for the 2025 season.
What number does John McCarthy wear, and what team does he play for?
John McCarthy plays for New York Red Bulls in the MLS, at G, and wears number 77.