Gage
Guerra
F
#88
Gage Guerra
#88F
Portland Timbers
Height : 5' 10" · Weight : 181 lbs · Age : 23
MLS record
| Year | Team | FC | FA | RC | YC | OG | APP | SUB | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current season | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 3 |
- 2026 guaranteed comp.
- 88 k$
- Base salary
- 88 k$
- Rank on the club
- #23 of 24
Guaranteed compensation: base salary plus signing bonuses and other guaranteed money, annualized; performance bonuses are not included. Contract length is not made public.
Advanced stats, 2026 Strikers
MLS stats →2026 season, in progress (458 minutes played). The percentile ranks the player among regular strikers (1,000+ minutes over a full season): 90th means better than 90% of them.
Goals
1
5th percentile
Assists
0
8th percentile
Expected goals (xG)
1.3
1th percentile
Expected assists (xA)
0.3
2th percentile
Goals − xG
−0.3
52th percentile
Key passes
1
0th percentile
Pass completion
67.2 %
10th percentile
Passes over expected
−10.1 /100
0th percentile
g+ per 90
−0.09
12th percentile
Minutes
458
Regular season. xG: expected goals from chance quality; xA: expected assists. Passes over expected: completed passes above expectation, per 100 passes, given their difficulty. g+: goals added, above the position average. Data: American Soccer Analysis.
2027 projection
MLS trends →Projected WAR
0.0
Confidence: low · based on the backtest and minutes played
Projected minutes
402
WAR 2026
-0.1
Minutes played
458
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per minute, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average as if 1,000 more minutes, over the minutes expected from the last two seasons, adjusted for age. Method chosen by backtest (2023 to 2026): mean error of 0.24 wins.
Trend
→ Stable (0)
- 2026-0.1 WAR · -0.66 per 3,000 min
The trend compares this season's WAR per 3,000 minutes with last season's (at least 500 minutes each), weighted by playing time.
Outlook, age included
+25 · 23 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, transfers or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. EX counts his MLS seasons since 2021, from our data: his career elsewhere is not included.
OV · Overall
52
Backup or prospect
- FIN
- Finishing
- 70
- SHO
- Shot threat
- 64
- MOV
- Movement
- 75
- VIS
- Vision
- 62
- DRI
- Dribbling
- 71
- PAS
- Passing
- 68
- DUR
- Durability
- 35
- EX
- Experience
- 43
Why these ratings?Hide details
- FIN — Finishing : Goals over expected goals, shot quality
- SHO — Shot threat : Expected goals and shots per 90
- MOV — Movement : Goals added by receiving: getting open to receive
- VIS — Vision : Expected assists and key passes per 90
- DRI — Dribbling : Goals added by carrying the ball
- PAS — Passing : Goals added by passing, passes completed over expected
- DUR — Durability : Share of his club's minutes played, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : MLS seasons since 2021 (our data)
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026
How we rate →WAR: the goals added (g+) of each of his actions, above replacement level (the per-minute output of his group's fringe players), converted to standings points (0.64 points per goal), then to wins (3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
WAR
-0.1
−0.4 goals above replacement
PAL Rating
22 / 100
Value Rating · 2026
Sporting contract value
68 / 100
The surplus: his 2026 WAR (-0.1) × the price of a win ($3.6M), minus his 2026 guaranteed compensation, against other strikers. Commercial value (tickets, sponsors, media rights) is not counted.Salary$88KSurplus−$452KWAR paid0.02PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Carrying the ball and beating defenders, minus the balls lost.
Fouls drawn (free kicks, penalties won) minus fouls committed.
The value of his shots: the quality of the chance and what he makes of it.
Breaking up the opponent's play: tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocked shots.
Getting open and receiving the ball in dangerous areas.
How his passes change his team's chances of scoring and conceding.
The parts above are measured against the position average. This adjustment moves the baseline to a fringe player in his group, prorated by minutes: positive when fringe players do worse than average, negative when they do better.
Gage Guerra in five questions
How many goals does Gage Guerra have in 2026?
Gage Guerra has 1 goal and 0 assists in 458 minutes in 2026 (expected goals: 1.3).
How old and how tall is Gage Guerra?
Gage Guerra is 23 years old. He is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 181 lb (82 kg).
How good is Gage Guerra?
Gage Guerra produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026. His PAL rating is 22 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Gage Guerra make?
Gage Guerra earns $88K for the 2026 season. His Value Rating (on-field contract efficiency) is 68 out of 100 (good value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position; the player's commercial value is not part of it.
What number does Gage Guerra wear, and what team does he play for?
Gage Guerra plays for Portland Timbers in the MLS, at F, and wears number 88.
