Elias
Saad
F
#11
Elias Saad
#11F
Nashville SC
Height : 6' 1" · Weight : 174 lbs · Age : 26
MLS record
| Year | Team | FC | FA | RC | YC | OG | APP | SUB | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current season | Nashville SC | 13 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 5 |
Advanced stats, 2026 Attacking midfielders and wingers
MLS stats →2026 season, in progress (661 minutes played). The percentile ranks the player among regular attacking midfielders and wingers (1,000+ minutes over a full season): 90th means better than 90% of them.
Goals
0
3th percentile
Assists
3
51th percentile
Expected goals (xG)
2.1
16th percentile
Expected assists (xA)
1.8
27th percentile
Goals − xG
−2.1
17th percentile
Key passes
12
17th percentile
Pass completion
81.5 %
88th percentile
Passes over expected
+4.0 /100
98th percentile
g+ per 90
+0.17
93th percentile
Minutes
661
Regular season. xG: expected goals from chance quality; xA: expected assists. Passes over expected: completed passes above expectation, per 100 passes, given their difficulty. g+: goals added, above the position average. Data: American Soccer Analysis.
2027 projection
MLS trends →Projected WAR
0.1
Confidence: low · based on the backtest and minutes played
Projected minutes
803
WAR 2026
0.2
Minutes played
661
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per minute, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average as if 1,000 more minutes, over the minutes expected from the last two seasons, adjusted for age. Method chosen by backtest (2023 to 2026): mean error of 0.24 wins.
Trend
→ Stable (0)
- 20260.2 WAR · 0.91 per 3,000 min
The trend compares this season's WAR per 3,000 minutes with last season's (at least 500 minutes each), weighted by playing time.
Outlook, age included
+10 · 26 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, transfers or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. EX counts his MLS seasons since 2021, from our data: his career elsewhere is not included.
OV · Overall
81
Very good
- VIS
- Vision
- 80
- DRI
- Dribbling
- 83
- SHO
- Shot threat
- 79
- PAS
- Passing
- 83
- FIN
- Finishing
- 65
- MOV
- Movement
- 88
- DUR
- Durability
- 51
- EX
- Experience
- 27
Why these ratings?Hide details
- VIS — Vision : Expected assists and key passes per 90
- DRI — Dribbling : Goals added by carrying the ball
- SHO — Shot threat : Expected goals and shots per 90
- PAS — Passing : Goals added by passing, passes completed over expected
- FIN — Finishing : Goals over expected goals, shot quality
- MOV — Movement : Goals added by receiving: getting open to receive
- DUR — Durability : Share of his club's minutes played, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : MLS seasons since 2021 (our data)
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026
How we rate →WAR: the goals added (g+) of each of his actions, above replacement level (the per-minute output of his group's fringe players), converted to standings points (0.64 points per goal), then to wins (3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Getting open and receiving the ball in dangerous areas.
Carrying the ball and beating defenders, minus the balls lost.
The value of his shots: the quality of the chance and what he makes of it.
How his passes change his team's chances of scoring and conceding.
Fouls drawn (free kicks, penalties won) minus fouls committed.
Breaking up the opponent's play: tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocked shots.
The parts above are measured against the position average. This adjustment moves the baseline to a fringe player in his group, prorated by minutes: positive when fringe players do worse than average, negative when they do better.
Elias Saad in five questions
How many goals does Elias Saad have in 2026?
Elias Saad has 0 goals and 3 assists in 661 minutes in 2026 (expected goals: 2.1).
How old and how tall is Elias Saad?
Elias Saad is 26 years old. He is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 174 lb (79 kg).
How good is Elias Saad?
Elias Saad produced 0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026. His PAL rating is 82 out of 100: excellent for his position.
What number does Elias Saad wear, and what team does he play for?
Elias Saad plays for Nashville SC in the MLS, at F, and wears number 11.
What is Elias Saad's projection for 2027?
Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2027, based on his weighted recent seasons and age. Confidence is low: limited minutes or a position where WAR swings a lot from season to season.
