Cavan
Sullivan
M
#6
Cavan Sullivan
Philadelphia UnionHeight : 5' 7" · Weight : 150 lbs · Age : 17
MLS record
| Year | Team | FC | FA | RC | YC | OG | APP | SUB | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current season | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 9 |
- 2026 guaranteed comp.
- 614 k$
- Base salary
- 450 k$
- Rank on the club
- #6 of 24
Guaranteed compensation: base salary plus signing bonuses and other guaranteed money, annualized; performance bonuses are not included. Contract length is not made public.
Advanced stats, 2026 Attacking midfielders and wingers
MLS stats →2026 season, in progress (1,650 minutes played). The percentile ranks the player among regular attacking midfielders and wingers (1,000+ minutes over a full season): 90th means better than 90% of them.
Goals
7
86th percentile
Assists
4
65th percentile
Expected goals (xG)
5.9
74th percentile
Expected assists (xA)
4.8
78th percentile
Goals − xG
+1.1
78th percentile
Key passes
32
68th percentile
Pass completion
67.8 %
6th percentile
Passes over expected
−1.2 /100
35th percentile
g+ per 90
+0.14
91th percentile
Minutes
1,650
Regular season. xG: expected goals from chance quality; xA: expected assists. Passes over expected: completed passes above expectation, per 100 passes, given their difficulty. g+: goals added, above the position average. Data: American Soccer Analysis.
2027 projection
MLS trends →Projected WAR
0.2
Confidence: medium · based on the backtest and minutes played
Projected minutes
1,317
WAR 2026
0.5
Minutes played
1,650
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per minute, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average as if 1,000 more minutes, over the minutes expected from the last two seasons, adjusted for age. Method chosen by backtest (2023 to 2026): mean error of 0.24 wins.
Trend
→ Stable (0)
- 20260.5 WAR · 0.91 per 3,000 min
The trend compares this season's WAR per 3,000 minutes with last season's (at least 500 minutes each), weighted by playing time.
Outlook, age included
+25 · 16 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, transfers or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. EX counts his MLS seasons since 2021, from our data: his career elsewhere is not included.
OV · Overall
85
High-end
- VIS
- Vision
- 82
- DRI
- Dribbling
- 84
- SHO
- Shot threat
- 84
- PAS
- Passing
- 81
- FIN
- Finishing
- 78
- MOV
- Movement
- 83
- DUR
- Durability
- 61
- EX
- Experience
- 54
Why these ratings?Hide details
- VIS — Vision : Expected assists and key passes per 90
- DRI — Dribbling : Goals added by carrying the ball
- SHO — Shot threat : Expected goals and shots per 90
- PAS — Passing : Goals added by passing, passes completed over expected
- FIN — Finishing : Goals over expected goals, shot quality
- MOV — Movement : Goals added by receiving: getting open to receive
- DUR — Durability : Share of his club's minutes played, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : MLS seasons since 2021 (our data)
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026
How we rate →WAR: the goals added (g+) of each of his actions, above replacement level (the per-minute output of his group's fringe players), converted to standings points (0.64 points per goal), then to wins (3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
WAR
0.5
#6 of 90 regular attacking midfielders and wingers
+2.2 goals above replacement
PAL Rating
88 / 100
#11 of 90 regular attacking midfielders and wingers
Value Rating · 2026
Sporting contract value
89 / 100
The surplus: his 2026 WAR (0.5) × the price of a win ($3.6M), minus his 2026 guaranteed compensation, against other attacking midfielders and wingers. Commercial value (tickets, sponsors, media rights) is not counted.Salary$614KSurplus+$1.2MWAR paid0.17PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Carrying the ball and beating defenders, minus the balls lost.
How his passes change his team's chances of scoring and conceding.
Getting open and receiving the ball in dangerous areas.
The value of his shots: the quality of the chance and what he makes of it.
Fouls drawn (free kicks, penalties won) minus fouls committed.
Breaking up the opponent's play: tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocked shots.
The parts above are measured against the position average. This adjustment moves the baseline to a fringe player in his group, prorated by minutes: positive when fringe players do worse than average, negative when they do better.
Cavan Sullivan in five questions
How many goals does Cavan Sullivan have in 2026?
Cavan Sullivan has 7 goals and 4 assists in 1,650 minutes in 2026 (expected goals: 5.9).
How old and how tall is Cavan Sullivan?
Cavan Sullivan is 17 years old. He is 5'7" (170 cm) and weighs 150 lb (68 kg).
How good is Cavan Sullivan?
Cavan Sullivan produced 0.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026, 9th of 90 players at his position in the MLS. His PAL rating is 88 out of 100: excellent for his position.
How much does Cavan Sullivan make?
Cavan Sullivan earns $614K for the 2026 season. His Value Rating (on-field contract efficiency) is 89 out of 100 (very good contract): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position; the player's commercial value is not part of it.
What number does Cavan Sullivan wear, and what team does he play for?
Cavan Sullivan plays for Philadelphia Union in the MLS, at M, and wears number 6.
