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Breel

Embolo

F

BE

#36

Breel Embolo

#36FAtlanta United FC

Height : 6' 2" · Weight : 183 lbs · Age : 29

MLS record

YearTeamFCFARCYCOGAPPSUBA
Current seasonAtlanta United FC519000500

Advanced stats, 2026 Strikers

MLS stats →

2026 season, in progress (485 minutes played). The percentile ranks the player among regular strikers (1,000+ minutes over a full season): 90th means better than 90% of them.

Goals

1

5th percentile

Assists

0

8th percentile

Expected goals (xG)

1.9

3th percentile

Expected assists (xA)

0.4

5th percentile

Goals − xG

−0.9

37th percentile

Key passes

5

5th percentile

Pass completion

84.6 %

98th percentile

Passes over expected

+3.1 /100

100th percentile

g+ per 90

−0.11

12th percentile

Minutes

485

Regular season. xG: expected goals from chance quality; xA: expected assists. Passes over expected: completed passes above expectation, per 100 passes, given their difficulty. g+: goals added, above the position average. Data: American Soccer Analysis.

2027 projection

MLS trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

Confidence: low · based on the backtest and minutes played

Projected minutes

589

WAR 2026

-0.1

Minutes played

485

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per minute, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average as if 1,000 more minutes, over the minutes expected from the last two seasons, adjusted for age. Method chosen by backtest (2023 to 2026): mean error of 0.24 wins.

Trend

→ Stable (0)

  • 2026-0.1 WAR · -0.62 per 3,000 min

The trend compares this season's WAR per 3,000 minutes with last season's (at least 500 minutes each), weighted by playing time.

Outlook, age included

0 · 29 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, transfers or role changes.

Player ratings, 2026

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. EX counts his MLS seasons since 2021, from our data: his career elsewhere is not included.

OV · Overall

60

Depth player

FIN
Finishing
68
SHO
Shot threat
73
MOV
Movement
64
VIS
Vision
74
DRI
Dribbling
71
PAS
Passing
70
DUR
Durability
47
EX
Experience
27
Why these ratings?
  • FIN — Finishing : Goals over expected goals, shot quality
  • SHO — Shot threat : Expected goals and shots per 90
  • MOV — Movement : Goals added by receiving: getting open to receive
  • VIS — Vision : Expected assists and key passes per 90
  • DRI — Dribbling : Goals added by carrying the ball
  • PAS — Passing : Goals added by passing, passes completed over expected
  • DUR — Durability : Share of his club's minutes played, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : MLS seasons since 2021 (our data)

WAR and PAL Rating, 2026

How we rate →

WAR: the goals added (g+) of each of his actions, above replacement level (the per-minute output of his group's fringe players), converted to standings points (0.64 points per goal), then to wins (3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Production27
Shooting18
Receiving24
Chance creation49
Dribbling31
Defending35

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Fouling+0.06

Fouls drawn (free kicks, penalties won) minus fouls committed.

Interrupting−0.02

Breaking up the opponent's play: tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocked shots.

Shooting−0.02

The value of his shots: the quality of the chance and what he makes of it.

Dribbling−0.03

Carrying the ball and beating defenders, minus the balls lost.

Passing−0.06

How his passes change his team's chances of scoring and conceding.

Receiving−0.06

Getting open and receiving the ball in dangerous areas.

Replacement adjustment+0.02

The parts above are measured against the position average. This adjustment moves the baseline to a fringe player in his group, prorated by minutes: positive when fringe players do worse than average, negative when they do better.

Breel Embolo in five questions

How many goals does Breel Embolo have in 2026?

Breel Embolo has 1 goal and 0 assists in 485 minutes in 2026 (expected goals: 1.9).

How old and how tall is Breel Embolo?

Breel Embolo is 29 years old. He is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).

How good is Breel Embolo?

Breel Embolo produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026. His PAL rating is 16 out of 100: very poor for his position.

What number does Breel Embolo wear, and what team does he play for?

Breel Embolo plays for Atlanta United FC in the MLS, at F, and wears number 36.

What is Breel Embolo's projection for 2027?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2027, based on his weighted recent seasons and age. Confidence is low: limited minutes or a position where WAR swings a lot from season to season.

See also: his Atlanta United FC teammates

Full roster →