Antônio Carlos
Carlos
D
#3
Antônio Carlos
Houston Dynamo FCHeight : 6' 3" · Weight : 172 lbs · Age : 33
MLS record
| Year | Team | FC | FA | RC | YC | OG | APP | SUB | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current season | Houston Dynamo FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
- 2026 guaranteed comp.
- 833 k$
- Base salary
- 750 k$
- Rank on the club
- #5 of 21
Guaranteed compensation: base salary plus signing bonuses and other guaranteed money, annualized; performance bonuses are not included. Contract length is not made public.
Advanced stats, 2026 Center backs
MLS stats →2026 season, in progress (1,580 minutes played). The percentile ranks the player among regular center backs (1,000+ minutes over a full season): 90th means better than 90% of them.
Goals
0
26th percentile
Assists
0
37th percentile
Expected goals (xG)
0.9
68th percentile
Expected assists (xA)
0.2
34th percentile
Goals − xG
−0.9
12th percentile
Key passes
2
27th percentile
Pass completion
92.5 %
85th percentile
Passes over expected
+3.7 /100
91th percentile
g+ per 90
−0.03
28th percentile
Minutes
1,580
Regular season. xG: expected goals from chance quality; xA: expected assists. Passes over expected: completed passes above expectation, per 100 passes, given their difficulty. g+: goals added, above the position average. Data: American Soccer Analysis.
2027 projection
MLS trends →Projected WAR
0.0
Confidence: medium · based on the backtest and minutes played
Projected minutes
1,432
WAR 2026
0.0
Minutes played
1,580
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per minute, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average as if 1,000 more minutes, over the minutes expected from the last two seasons, adjusted for age. Method chosen by backtest (2023 to 2026): mean error of 0.24 wins.
Trend
→ Stable (-3)
- 20220.1 WAR · 0.17 per 3,000 min
- 20230.2 WAR · 0.38 per 3,000 min
- 20250.1 WAR · 0.43 per 3,000 min
- 20260.0 WAR · 0.00 per 3,000 min
The trend compares this season's WAR per 3,000 minutes with last season's (at least 500 minutes each), weighted by playing time.
Outlook, age included
-33 · 33 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, transfers or role changes.
Player ratings, 2026
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. EX counts his MLS seasons since 2021, from our data: his career elsewhere is not included.
OV · Overall
67
Depth player
- DEF
- Defending
- 71
- PAS
- Passing
- 73
- DIS
- Discipline
- 71
- DRI
- Dribbling
- 75
- DUR
- Durability
- 68
- EX
- Experience
- 70
Why these ratings?Hide details
- DEF — Defending : Goals added by interrupting (tackles, interceptions, clearances)
- PAS — Passing : Goals added by passing, passes completed over expected
- DIS — Discipline : Goals added by fouls drawn and avoided
- DRI — Dribbling : Goals added by carrying the ball
- DUR — Durability : Share of his club's minutes played, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : MLS seasons since 2021 (our data)
WAR and PAL Rating, 2026
How we rate →WAR: the goals added (g+) of each of his actions, above replacement level (the per-minute output of his group's fringe players), converted to standings points (0.64 points per goal), then to wins (3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
WAR
0.0
#55 of 98 regular center backs
−0.2 goals above replacement
PAL Rating
37 / 100
#62 of 98 regular center backs
Value Rating · 2026
Sporting contract value
28 / 100
The surplus: his 2026 WAR (0.0) × the price of a win ($3.6M), minus his 2026 guaranteed compensation, against other center backs. Commercial value (tickets, sponsors, media rights) is not counted.Salary$833KSurplus−$833KWAR paid0.23PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Fouls drawn (free kicks, penalties won) minus fouls committed.
Carrying the ball and beating defenders, minus the balls lost.
Getting open and receiving the ball in dangerous areas.
The value of his shots: the quality of the chance and what he makes of it.
Breaking up the opponent's play: tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocked shots.
How his passes change his team's chances of scoring and conceding.
The parts above are measured against the position average. This adjustment moves the baseline to a fringe player in his group, prorated by minutes: positive when fringe players do worse than average, negative when they do better.
| Season | Team | Min | WAR | PAL | OV | G | A | xG | xA | g+/90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | HOU | 1,580 | 0.0 | 37 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | −0.03 |
| 2025 | HOU | 701 | 0.1 | 55 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | +0.04 |
| 2023 | ORL | 1,579 | 0.2 | 65 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | +0.03 |
| 2022 | ORL | 1,804 | 0.1 | 73 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | +0.03 |
Antônio Carlos in five questions
How many goals does Antônio Carlos have in 2026?
Antônio Carlos has 0 goals and 0 assists in 1,580 minutes in 2026 (expected goals: 0.9).
How old and how tall is Antônio Carlos?
Antônio Carlos is 33 years old. He is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 172 lb (78 kg).
How good is Antônio Carlos?
Antônio Carlos produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2026, 72nd of 98 players at his position in the MLS. His PAL rating is 37 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Antônio Carlos make?
Antônio Carlos earns $833K for the 2026 season. His Value Rating (on-field contract efficiency) is 28 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position; the player's commercial value is not part of it.
What number does Antônio Carlos wear, and what team does he play for?
Antônio Carlos plays for Houston Dynamo FC in the MLS, at D, and wears number 3.
