Trey
Sermon
RB
#44
Trey Sermon
#44RB
Atlanta Falcons
Height : 6' 0" · Weight : 215 lbs · Age : 27
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LNG | FD | FUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2024 | Indianapolis Colts | 17 | 56 | 159 | 2.8 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 2023 | Indianapolis Colts | 14 | 35 | 160 | 4.6 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 2022 | Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 2021 | San Francisco 49ers | 9 | 41 | 167 | 4.1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Contract
Atlanta Falcons payroll →- 2026 cap number
- 0.57 M$
- Average per year
- 1.22 M$
- Total value
- 1.2 M$
- Seasons left
- 1 · through 2026
- Status
- Injured reserve
2026
0.57 M$
Not guaranteed
Cap number: the season's salary plus the share of the signing bonus spread over the contract. Total value and average per year cover the whole contract, from its signing.
Advanced stats, 2024 Running backs
NFL stats →2024 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular running backs: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per carry
−0.20
2th percentile
Rush yards over expected
—
Carries
56
0th percentile
Rushing yards
159
0th percentile
Yards per carry
2.8
0th percentile
Rushing TDs
2
10th percentile
Targets
19
10th percentile
Receiving yards
99
12th percentile
EPA per target
−0.29
12th percentile
Games
17
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2025 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.0
Games
16
WAR 2024
-0.1
Games played
17
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (-2)
- 20210.0 WAR · 0.000 per game
- 20230.0 WAR · 0.000 per game
- 2024-0.1 WAR · -0.006 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+8 · 25 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2024
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
54
Backup or prospect
- RUN
- Rushing
- 62
- ELU
- Elusiveness
- 66
- REC
- Receiving
- 63
- BAL
- Ball skills
- 84
- DUR
- Durability
- 59
- EX
- Experience
- 50
Why these ratings?Hide details
- RUN — Rushing : Expected points added and success rate per carry
- ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
- REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
- BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2024
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.
25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.
| Season | Team | G | WAR | PAL | OV | Rush yds | TD | Rec yds | EPA/car |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | IND | 17 | -0.1 | 7 | 54 | 159 | 2 | 99 | −0.20 |
| 2023 | IND | 14 | 0.0 | 46 | 77 | 160 | 0 | 13 | −0.03 |
| 2021 | SF | 9 | 0.0 | 45 | 71 | 167 | 1 | 26 | −0.04 |
Trey Sermon in five questions
What are Trey Sermon's stats in 2024?
Trey Sermon has 159 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns and 16 catches in 17 games in 2024.
How old and how tall is Trey Sermon?
Trey Sermon is 27 years old. He is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 216 lb (98 kg).
How good is Trey Sermon?
Trey Sermon produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2024. His PAL rating is 7 out of 100: very poor for his position.
What number does Trey Sermon wear, and what team does he play for?
Trey Sermon plays for Atlanta Falcons in the NFL, at RB, and wears number 44.
What is Trey Sermon's projection for 2025?
Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2025, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
