Tre
Herndon
S · BUF · Below average
- PAL
- 25
- WAR
- 0.0
- TKL
- 42
2023№ 55 / 95
Tre Herndon
#38S
Buffalo Bills
Biography
- Team
- Buffalo Bills
- Position
- Safety
- Height
- 5' 11"
- Weight
- 185 lbs
- Born
- March 5, 1996 (30)
- Birthplace
- Chattanooga, TN
- College
- Vanderbilt
- Experience
- 7th Season
- Status
- Free Agent
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | TOT | SOLO | AST | SACK | FF | FR | YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 16 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 15 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| 2021 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 9 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 16 | 76 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 16 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 11 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tre Herndon: our analysis
2023 season: 16 GP, 42 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 1 TFL, 0 INT, 9 PD. WAR 0.0 (55th of 95) · PAL 25, below average.
In 2023, Tre Herndon, 30, posts a PAL Rating of 25 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 0.0 ranks 55th among 95 regulars, in the bottom half.
His strengths: splash plays (83, well above average) and tackling (70, above average). On the other hand, coverage (13, among the weakest in the league) and ball skills (32, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: positional (+0.1); his biggest cost: coverage (-0.2).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 7 in 2022 to 25; his WAR went from -0.3 to 0.0.
Advanced stats, 2023 Cornerbacks
NFL stats →2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular cornerbacks: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Interceptions
0
13th percentile
Passes defended
9
53th percentile
Targets in coverage
62
Yards allowed
500 yd
Yards allowed per target
8.1 yd
31th percentile
Passer rating allowed
115.0
9th percentile
Tackles
42
33th percentile
Missed tackle rate
11.5 %
40th percentile
Tackles for loss
1
48th percentile
Defensive snaps
481
11th percentile
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2024 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
-0.1
80% of cases: -0.3 to 0.3
Games
16
WAR 2023
0.0
Games played
16
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
→ Stable (+5)
- 2021-0.2 WAR · -0.022 per game
- 2022-0.3 WAR · -0.020 per game
- 20230.0 WAR · 0.000 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+15 · 27 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2023
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
58
Backup or prospect
- COV
- Coverage
- 49
- BAL
- Ball skills
- 58
- TCK
- Tackling
- 78
- DUR
- Durability
- 76
- EX
- Experience
- 65
Why these ratings?Hide details
- COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
- BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
- TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2023
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.
Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).
Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.
How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.
The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.
| Season | Team | G | WAR | PAL | OV | INT | PD | Yds/tgt | Rtg allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | JAX | 16 | 0.0 | 25 | 58 | 0 | 9 | 8.1 | 115.0 |
| 2022 | JAX | 15 | -0.3 | 7 | 35 | 0 | 5 | 9.6 | 117.5 |
| 2021 | JAX | 9 | -0.2 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 9.5 | 123.9 |
Tre Herndon: frequently asked questions
What are Tre Herndon's stats in 2023?
Tre Herndon has 0 interceptions and 9 passes defensed in 16 games in 2023.
How old is Tre Herndon?
Tre Herndon is 30 years old: he was born on March 5, 1996.
How tall is Tre Herndon, and how much does he weigh?
Tre Herndon is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 185 lb (84 kg).
Where is Tre Herndon from?
United States: Tre Herndon was born in Chattanooga, TN, in the United States.
What team does Tre Herndon play for?
Tre Herndon plays for the Buffalo Bills in the NFL, at S, wearing number 38.
How good is Tre Herndon?
Tre Herndon produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023, 56th of 95 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 25 out of 100: below average for his position.
Is Tre Herndon a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 56th of 95 players at his position in the NFL in 2023. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Tre Herndon getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 7 in 2022 to 25 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
What is Tre Herndon's projection for 2024?
Our projection has him at -0.1 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
