Steven
Nelson
CB
#38
Steven Nelson
#38CB
Kansas City Chiefs
Height : 5' 11" · Weight : 194 lbs · Age : 33
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | TOT | SOLO | AST | SACK | FF | FR | YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Houston Texans | 17 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | Houston Texans | 15 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021 | Philadelphia Eagles | 16 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 15 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 15 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2018 | Kansas City Chiefs | 16 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2017 | Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2016 | Kansas City Chiefs | 15 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2015 | Kansas City Chiefs | 12 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Advanced stats, 2023 Cornerbacks
NFL stats →2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular cornerbacks: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Interceptions
4
92th percentile
Passes defended
12
76th percentile
Targets in coverage
70
Yards allowed
657 yd
Yards allowed per target
9.4 yd
10th percentile
Passer rating allowed
73.3
83th percentile
Tackles
60
73th percentile
Missed tackle rate
7.4 %
74th percentile
Tackles for loss
0
17th percentile
Defensive snaps
1,088
96th percentile
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2024 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
-0.1
Games
16
WAR 2023
-0.3
Games played
17
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
↓ Slight decline (-12)
- 2021-0.2 WAR · -0.013 per game
- 20220.4 WAR · 0.027 per game
- 2023-0.3 WAR · -0.018 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
-27 · 30 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2023
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
77
Established starter
- COV
- Coverage
- 71
- BAL
- Ball skills
- 82
- TCK
- Tackling
- 69
- DUR
- Durability
- 86
- EX
- Experience
- 79
Why these ratings?Hide details
- COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
- BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
- TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2023
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.
Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).
Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.
How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.
The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.
| Season | Team | G | WAR | PAL | OV | INT | PD | Yds/tgt | Rtg allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | 17 | -0.3 | 48 | 77 | 4 | 12 | 9.4 | 73.3 |
| 2022 | HOU | 15 | 0.4 | 55 | 73 | 1 | 7 | 5.9 | 80.5 |
| 2021 | PHI | 16 | -0.2 | 15 | 67 | 1 | 7 | 8.0 | 108.4 |
Steven Nelson in five questions
What are Steven Nelson's stats in 2023?
Steven Nelson has 4 interceptions and 12 passes defensed in 17 games in 2023.
How old and how tall is Steven Nelson?
Steven Nelson is 33 years old. He is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 194 lb (88 kg).
How good is Steven Nelson?
Steven Nelson produced -0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023, 81st of 95 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 48 out of 100: around average for his position.
What number does Steven Nelson wear, and what team does he play for?
Steven Nelson plays for Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL, at CB, and wears number 38.
What is Steven Nelson's projection for 2024?
Our projection has him at -0.1 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
