Sam
Ehlinger
QB

#4
Sam Ehlinger
#4QB
Denver Broncos
Height : 6' 1" · Weight : 222 lbs · Age : 28
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | CMP | ATT | CMP% | YDS | AVG | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Indianapolis Colts | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2022 | Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 64 | 101 | 63.4 | 573 | 5.7 | 3 | 3 |
| 2021 | Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Contract
Denver Broncos payroll →- 2026 cap number
- 2.00 M$
- Average per year
- 2.00 M$
- Total value
- 2.0 M$
- Seasons left
- 1 · through 2026
2026
2.00 M$
Partially guaranteed
Cap number: the season's salary plus the share of the signing bonus spread over the contract. Total value and average per year cover the whole contract, from its signing.
Advanced stats, 2022 Quarterbacks
NFL stats →2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular quarterbacks: 90th means better than 90% of them.
EPA per dropback
−0.28
0th percentile
CPOE
−3.5 %
12th percentile
Passing yards
573
0th percentile
Completion %
63.4 %
36th percentile
Yards per attempt
5.7
0th percentile
Passing TDs
3
0th percentile
Interceptions
3
100th percentile
Sacks taken
14
100th percentile
Rushing yards
87
24th percentile
Games
4
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2023 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
0.0
Games
4
WAR 2022
-0.5
Games played
4
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
↓ Slight decline (-15)
- 2022-0.5 WAR · -0.125 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
+10 · 23 y.o. · usually still improving
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2022
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
50
Backup or prospect
- PAS
- Passing
- 56
- ACC
- Accuracy
- 64
- DEC
- Decisions
- 56
- DEP
- Deep ball
- 59
- MOB
- Mobility
- 78
- DUR
- Durability
- 35
- EX
- Experience
- 25
Why these ratings?Hide details
- PAS — Passing : Expected points added per dropback, success rate
- ACC — Accuracy : Completion percentage over expected (CPOE), on-target throws
- DEC — Decisions : Interceptions and sacks avoided
- DEP — Deep ball : Production on throws of 20+ air yards
- MOB — Mobility : Value of his runs
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2022
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
60% of the EPA of his throws to a receiver, 75% of his sacks, throwaways and scrambles, above replacement.
45% of the EPA of his carries (the line gets the rest), above replacement.
Sam Ehlinger in five questions
What are Sam Ehlinger's stats in 2022?
Sam Ehlinger has 573 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes and 3 interceptions in 4 games in 2022.
How old and how tall is Sam Ehlinger?
Sam Ehlinger is 28 years old. He is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 223 lb (101 kg).
How good is Sam Ehlinger?
Sam Ehlinger produced -0.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022. His PAL rating is 9 out of 100: very poor for his position.
What number does Sam Ehlinger wear, and what team does he play for?
Sam Ehlinger plays for Denver Broncos in the NFL, at QB, and wears number 4.
What is Sam Ehlinger's projection for 2023?
Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.





