Ryan
Neal
S · TB · Very poor
- PAL
- 1
- WAR
- -0.9
- TKL
- 65
2023№ 88 / 88
Ryan Neal
Tampa Bay BuccaneersBiography
- Team
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Position
- Safety
- Height
- 6' 3"
- Weight
- 200 lbs
- Born
- December 24, 1995 (30)
- Birthplace
- Merrillville, IN
- College
- Southern Illinois
- Experience
- 5th Season
- Status
- Free Agent
Career history
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 2023 – 2024 (2 seasons)
- Seattle Seahawks · 2019 – 2022 (4 seasons)
NFL record
| Year | Team | GP | TOT | SOLO | AST | SACK | FF | FR | YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 15 | 76 | 52 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | Seattle Seahawks | 14 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021 | Seattle Seahawks | 16 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | Seattle Seahawks | 13 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Neal: our analysis
2023 season: 15 GP, 65 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 3 TFL, 0 INT, 0 PD. WAR -0.9 (88th of 88) · PAL 1, very poor.
In 2023, Ryan Neal, 30, posts a PAL Rating of 1 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.9 ranks 88th among 88 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
His strengths: tackling (97, among the best in the league). On the other hand, ball skills (1, among the weakest in the league) and coverage (1, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: positional (+0.1); his biggest cost: coverage (-1.0).
A marked decline: his PAL was 95 in 2022, against 1 now; his WAR went from 0.9 to -0.9.
Advanced stats, 2023 Safeties
NFL stats →2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.
Tackles
65
51th percentile
Interceptions
0
13th percentile
Passes defended
0
2th percentile
Targets in coverage
34
Yards allowed
568 yd
Yards allowed per target
16.7 yd
1th percentile
Passer rating allowed
158.3
1th percentile
Missed tackle rate
6.2 %
78th percentile
Tackles for loss
3
78th percentile
Defensive snaps
581
23th percentile
Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.
2024 projection
NFL trends →Projected WAR
-0.3
80% of cases: -0.7 to 0.0
Games
15
WAR 2023
-0.9
Games played
15
The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.
Trend
↓ Declining (-34)
- 2021-0.1 WAR · -0.006 per game
- 20220.9 WAR · 0.064 per game
- 2023-0.9 WAR · -0.060 per game
The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.
Outlook, age included
-24 · 27 y.o. · prime years
It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.
Player ratings, 2023
All ratings →Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.
OV · Overall
62
Depth player
- COV
- Coverage
- 47
- BAL
- Ball skills
- 56
- TCK
- Tackling
- 87
- DUR
- Durability
- 74
- EX
- Experience
- 65
Why these ratings?Hide details
- COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
- BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
- TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
- DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
- EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL
WAR and PAL Rating, 2023
How we rate →WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).
PAL: dimensions
Where WAR comes from (in wins)
Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.
Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).
Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.
How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.
The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.
| Season | Team | G | WAR | PAL | OV | Tkl | INT | PD | Yds/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | TB | 15 | -0.9 | 1 | 62 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 16.7 |
| 2022 | SEA | 14 | 0.9 | 95 | 82 | 63 | 1 | 8 | 3.7 |
| 2021 | SEA | 16 | -0.1 | 25 | 66 | 45 | 0 | 3 | 9.9 |
Ryan Neal: frequently asked questions
What are Ryan Neal's stats in 2023?
Ryan Neal has 0 interceptions and 0 passes defensed in 15 games in 2023.
How old is Ryan Neal?
Ryan Neal is 30 years old: he was born on December 24, 1995.
How tall is Ryan Neal, and how much does he weigh?
Ryan Neal is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 201 lb (91 kg).
Where is Ryan Neal from?
United States: Ryan Neal was born in Merrillville, IN, in the United States.
What team does Ryan Neal play for?
Ryan Neal plays for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL, at S, wearing number 36.
How good is Ryan Neal?
Ryan Neal produced -0.9 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023, 88th of 88 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 1 out of 100: very poor for his position.
Is Ryan Neal a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 88th of 88 players at his position in the NFL in 2023. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Ryan Neal getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 95 in 2022 to 1 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
What is Ryan Neal's projection for 2024?
Our projection has him at -0.3 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.
