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Nik

Needham

CB · NYJ · Below average

PAL
38
WAR
0.0
TKL
17

2022

Nik Needham

#40CBNew York Jets logoNew York Jets

Biography

Team
New York Jets
Position
Cornerback
Height
6' 0"
Weight
193 lbs
Born
November 4, 1996 (29)
Birthplace
Buena Park, CA
College
UTEP
Experience
6th Season
Status
Free Agent

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2024Miami Dolphins21010000
2023Miami Dolphins107430000
2022Miami Dolphins6211560000
2021Miami Dolphins175948111010
2020Miami Dolphins165836221000
2019Miami Dolphins125441131100

Nik Needham: our analysis

2022 season: 6 GP, 17 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 0 TFL, 0 INT, 2 PD. WAR 0.0 · PAL 38, below average.

In 2022, Nik Needham, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 38 out of 100 (below average), with a WAR of 0.0.

His strengths: coverage (66, above average). On the other hand, splash plays (14, among the weakest in the league) and ball skills (31, below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), no component is positive; the costliest: splash plays (-0.1).

A marked decline: his PAL was 71 in 2021, against 38 now; his WAR went from 0.2 to 0.0.

Advanced stats, 2022 Safeties

NFL stats →

2022 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular safeties: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

17

0th percentile

Interceptions

0

13th percentile

Passes defended

2

6th percentile

Targets in coverage

19

Yards allowed

150 yd

Yards allowed per target

7.9 yd

59th percentile

Passer rating allowed

96.4

47th percentile

Missed tackle rate

4.5 %

79th percentile

Tackles for loss

0

13th percentile

Defensive snaps

297

0th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2023 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: -0.2 to 0.4

Games

10

WAR 2022

0.0

Games played

6

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-3)

  • 20210.2 WAR · 0.012 per game
  • 20220.0 WAR · 0.000 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+7 · 25 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2022

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

74

Established starter

COV
Coverage
81
BAL
Ball skills
72
TCK
Tackling
79
DUR
Durability
51
EX
Experience
50
Why these ratings?
  • COV — Coverage : Yards and passer rating allowed per target
  • BAL — Ball skills : Ball carrier: fumbles avoided. Defender: interceptions and passes defended
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2022

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Coverage66
Ball skills31
Tackling44
Splash plays14

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.06

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage+0.02

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.03

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.01

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklINTPDYds/tgt
2022MIA60.0387417027.9
2021MIA170.2718753257.3

Nik Needham: frequently asked questions

What are Nik Needham's stats in 2022?

Nik Needham has 0 interceptions and 2 passes defensed in 6 games in 2022.

How old is Nik Needham?

Nik Needham is 29 years old: he was born on November 4, 1996.

How tall is Nik Needham, and how much does he weigh?

Nik Needham is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 194 lb (88 kg).

Where is Nik Needham from?

United States: Nik Needham was born in Buena Park, CA, in the United States.

What team does Nik Needham play for?

Nik Needham plays for the New York Jets in the NFL, at CB, wearing number 40.

How good is Nik Needham?

Nik Needham produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2022. His PAL rating is 38 out of 100: below average for his position.

Is Nik Needham getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 71 in 2021 to 38 in 2022 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Nik Needham's projection for 2023?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2023, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his New York Jets teammates

Full roster →