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91BaseNick Thurman headshot

Nick

Thurman

DT · CAR · Very poor

PAL
14
WAR
-0.1
SACKS
0.0

2024

Nick Thurman

#91DTCarolina Panthers logoCarolina Panthers

Biography

Team
Carolina Panthers
Position
Defensive Tackle
Height
6' 4"
Weight
305 lbs
Born
June 12, 1995 (31)
Birthplace
Dallas, TX
College
Houston
Experience
3rd Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Carolina Panthers · 2023 – 2024 (2 seasons)
  • Atlanta Falcons · 2021 (1 season)
  • New England Patriots · 2020 (1 season)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2024Carolina Panthers9196130000
2023Carolina Panthers173113180000
2021Atlanta Falcons11100000
2020New England Patriots710640000

Nick Thurman: our analysis

2024 season: 9 GP, 18 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 1 TFL, 0 INT, 0 PD. WAR -0.1 · PAL 14, very poor.

In 2024, Nick Thurman, 31, posts a PAL Rating of 14 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of -0.1.

On the other hand, pass rush (11, among the weakest in the league) and splash plays (23, well below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), no component is positive; the costliest: team defense (-0.1).

A marked decline: his PAL was 28 in 2023, against 14 now; his WAR, though, went from -0.1 to -0.1.

Advanced stats, 2024 Interior defensive line

NFL stats →

2024 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular interior defensive line: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

18

0th percentile

Sacks

0.0

5th percentile

Pressures

—

QB hits

0

0th percentile

Tackles for loss

1

6th percentile

Forced fumbles

0

29th percentile

Passes defended

0

16th percentile

Missed tackle rate

9.5 %

30th percentile

Defensive snaps

240

0th percentile

Games

9

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2025 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

80% of cases: 0.0 to 0.1

Games

12

WAR 2024

-0.1

Games played

9

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-1)

  • 2023-0.1 WAR · -0.006 per game
  • 2024-0.1 WAR · -0.011 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-1 · 29 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2024

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

56

Backup or prospect

PRS
Pass rush
56
RDF
Run defense
77
TCK
Tackling
74
DUR
Durability
35
EX
Experience
65
Why these ratings?
  • PRS — Pass rush : Pressures, sacks and QB hits, per snap
  • RDF — Run defense : Run tackles and tackles for loss, per snap
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2024

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Pass rush11
Run defense61
Splash plays23
Tackling46

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.04

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage0.00

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.03

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense−0.06

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklSacksPrssTFL
2024CAR9-0.11456180.0—1
2023CAR17-0.12866290.021

Nick Thurman: frequently asked questions

What are Nick Thurman's stats in 2024?

Nick Thurman has 0 sacks and 0 QB hits in 9 games in 2024.

How old is Nick Thurman?

Nick Thurman is 31 years old: he was born on June 12, 1995.

How tall is Nick Thurman, and how much does he weigh?

Nick Thurman is 6'4" (193 cm) and weighs 304 lb (138 kg).

Where is Nick Thurman from?

United States: Nick Thurman was born in Dallas, TX, in the United States.

What team does Nick Thurman play for?

Nick Thurman plays for the Carolina Panthers in the NFL, at DT, wearing number 91.

How good is Nick Thurman?

Nick Thurman produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2024. His PAL rating is 14 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Nick Thurman getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 28 in 2023 to 14 in 2024 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Nick Thurman's projection for 2025?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2025, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Carolina Panthers teammates

Full roster →