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Morgan

Fox

DE · BUF · Very poor

PAL
3
WAR
0.1
SACKS
3.5

2024№ 33 / 50

Morgan Fox

#51DEBuffalo Bills logoBuffalo Bills

Biography

Team
Buffalo Bills
Position
Defensive End
Height
6' 3"
Weight
259 lbs
Born
September 12, 1994 (32)
Birthplace
Fountain, CO
College
CSU Pueblo
Experience
9th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Los Angeles Chargers · 2022 – 2024 (3 seasons)
  • Carolina Panthers · 2021 (1 season)
  • Los Angeles Rams · 2016 – 2020 (4 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2024Los Angeles Chargers17271983.5000
2023Los Angeles Chargers17151145.5000
2022Los Angeles Chargers173824146.5000
2021Carolina Panthers173416181.5113
2020Los Angeles Rams16272166110
2019Los Angeles Rams16181262000
2017Los Angeles Rams16191452.5110
2016Los Angeles Rams45320110

Morgan Fox: our analysis

2024 season: 17 GP, 24 TKL, 3.5 SACKS, 4 TFL, 0 INT, 1 PD. WAR 0.1 (33rd of 50) · PAL 3, very poor.

In 2024, Morgan Fox, 32, posts a PAL Rating of 3 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.1 ranks 33rd among 50 regulars, in the bottom half.

On the other hand, splash plays (7, among the weakest in the league) and pass rush (7, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: positional (+0.2); his biggest cost: splash plays (-0.1).

A marked decline: his PAL was 41 in 2023, against 3 now; his WAR, though, went from 0.1 to 0.1.

Advanced stats, 2024 Edge rushers

NFL stats →

2024 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular edge rushers: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Sacks

3.5

18th percentile

Pressures

10

10th percentile

QB hits

6

10th percentile

Tackles for loss

4

8th percentile

Tackles

24

11th percentile

Forced fumbles

0

14th percentile

Passes defended

1

37th percentile

Missed tackle rate

3.6 %

93th percentile

Defensive snaps

577

31th percentile

Games

17

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2025 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: -0.1 to 0.2

Games

17

WAR 2024

0.1

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-1)

  • 20210.1 WAR · 0.006 per game
  • 20220.1 WAR · 0.006 per game
  • 20230.1 WAR · 0.006 per game
  • 20240.1 WAR · 0.006 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-1 · 29 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2024

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

68

Depth player

PRS
Pass rush
62
RDF
Run defense
61
TCK
Tackling
71
DUR
Durability
94
EX
Experience
79
Why these ratings?
  • PRS — Pass rush : Pressures, sacks and QB hits, per snap
  • RDF — Run defense : Run tackles and tackles for loss, per snap
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2024

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Pass rush7
Splash plays7
Run defense21
Tackling47

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.11

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage0.00

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.17

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense+0.01

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVSacksPrssTFLTkl
2024LAC170.13683.510424
2023LAC170.141745.516511
2022LAC170.152746.516631
2021CAR170.15681.512232

Morgan Fox: frequently asked questions

What are Morgan Fox's stats in 2024?

Morgan Fox has 3.5 sacks and 6 QB hits in 17 games in 2024.

How old is Morgan Fox?

Morgan Fox is 32 years old: he was born on September 12, 1994.

How tall is Morgan Fox, and how much does he weigh?

Morgan Fox is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 258 lb (117 kg).

Where is Morgan Fox from?

United States: Morgan Fox was born in Fountain, CO, in the United States.

What team does Morgan Fox play for?

Morgan Fox plays for the Buffalo Bills in the NFL, at DE, wearing number 51.

How good is Morgan Fox?

Morgan Fox produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2024, 36th of 50 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 3 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Morgan Fox a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 36th of 50 players at his position in the NFL in 2024. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Morgan Fox getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 41 in 2023 to 3 in 2024 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Morgan Fox's projection for 2025?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2025, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his Buffalo Bills teammates

Full roster →