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Mitchell

Wilcox

TE · NE · Very poor

PAL
9
WAR
0.0
YDS
56

2023

Mitchell Wilcox

#86TENew England Patriots logoNew England Patriots

Biography

Team
New England Patriots
Position
Tight End
Height
6' 4"
Weight
250 lbs
Born
November 7, 1996 (29)
Birthplace
Tarpon Springs, FL
College
South Florida
Experience
4th Season
Status
Free Agent

NFL record

YearTeamGPRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLNGFD
2023Cincinnati Bengals17912566.20122
2022Cincinnati Bengals1617181398.21196
2021Cincinnati Bengals1535165.3080

Mitchell Wilcox: our analysis

2023 season: 17 GP, 12 TGT, 9 REC, 56 YDS, 0 TD, 48 YAC. WAR 0.0 · PAL 9, very poor.

In 2023, Mitchell Wilcox, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 9 out of 100 (very poor), with a WAR of 0.0.

His strengths: after the catch (65, above average). On the other hand, usage (0, among the weakest in the league) and efficiency (28, below average) hold him back.

Receiving: 0.0 (in wins).

A marked decline: his PAL was 69 in 2022, against 9 now; his WAR went from 0.1 to 0.0.

Advanced stats, 2023 Tight ends (receiving)

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular tight ends (receiving): 90th means better than 90% of them.

EPA per target

+0.02

15th percentile

Target share

2.9 %

0th percentile

Separation

—

Drops

1

88th percentile

Targets

12

2th percentile

Receptions

9

2th percentile

Catch rate

75.0 %

73th percentile

Receiving yards

56

0th percentile

Yards after catch

48

0th percentile

Receiving TDs

0

8th percentile

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.1

80% of cases: 0.0 to 0.1

Games

17

WAR 2023

0.0

Games played

17

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (-1)

  • 20220.1 WAR · 0.006 per game
  • 20230.0 WAR · 0.000 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

+9 · 26 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

78

Established starter

REC
Receiving
74
SEP
Separation
—
ELU
Elusiveness
74
HND
Hands
78
DUR
Durability
81
EX
Experience
50
Why these ratings?
  • REC — Receiving : Expected points added and yards per target
  • SEP — Separation : Separation from the defender at the throw (Next Gen Stats)
  • ELU — Elusiveness : Yards over expected, after contact or catch, broken tackles
  • HND — Hands : Drops avoided, catches per target
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Efficiency28
Usage0
After the catch65
Hands35

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Receiving+0.01

25% of the EPA of passes thrown his way (the QB and line get the rest), above replacement.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVRecRec ydsTDEPA/tgt
2023CIN170.09789560+0.02
2022CIN160.16983171391+0.52

Mitchell Wilcox: frequently asked questions

What are Mitchell Wilcox's stats in 2023?

Mitchell Wilcox has 9 catches for 56 yards and 0 touchdowns in 17 games in 2023.

How old is Mitchell Wilcox?

Mitchell Wilcox is 29 years old: he was born on November 7, 1996.

How tall is Mitchell Wilcox, and how much does he weigh?

Mitchell Wilcox is 6'4" (193 cm) and weighs 249 lb (113 kg).

Where is Mitchell Wilcox from?

United States: Mitchell Wilcox was born in Tarpon Springs, FL, in the United States.

What team does Mitchell Wilcox play for?

Mitchell Wilcox plays for the New England Patriots in the NFL, at TE, wearing number 86.

How good is Mitchell Wilcox?

Mitchell Wilcox produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023. His PAL rating is 9 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Mitchell Wilcox getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 69 in 2022 to 9 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Mitchell Wilcox's projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 0.1 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his New England Patriots teammates

Full roster →