PickALeague.com
58BaseMike Purcell headshot

Mike

Purcell

DT · NE · Very poor

PAL
12
WAR
0.0
SACKS
0.0

2023№ 42 / 71

Mike Purcell

#58DTNew England Patriots logoNew England Patriots

Biography

Team
New England Patriots
Position
Defensive Tackle
Height
6' 3"
Weight
328 lbs
Born
April 20, 1991 (35)
Birthplace
Highlands Ranch, CO
College
Wyoming
Experience
8th Season
Status
Free Agent

Career history

  • Denver Broncos · 2019 – 2023 (5 seasons)
  • San Francisco 49ers · 2014 – 2016 (3 seasons)

NFL record

YearTeamGPTOTSOLOASTSACKFFFRYDS
2023Denver Broncos162511140010
2022Denver Broncos174521241.5010
2021Denver Broncos133317160010
2020Denver Broncos6151051000
2019Denver Broncos134828200000
2016San Francisco 49ers15261790100
2015San Francisco 49ers8151141000
2014San Francisco 49ers21100000

Mike Purcell: our analysis

2023 season: 16 GP, 20 TKL, 0.0 SACKS, 0 TFL, 0 INT, 3 PD. WAR 0.0 (42nd of 71) · PAL 12, very poor.

In 2023, Mike Purcell, 35, posts a PAL Rating of 12 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.0 ranks 42nd among 71 regulars, in the bottom half.

On the other hand, run defense (17, well below average) and splash plays (26, below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (in wins), his biggest contribution: positional (+0.1); his biggest cost: splash plays (-0.1).

A marked decline: his PAL was 20 in 2022, against 12 now; his WAR, though, went from -0.1 to 0.0.

Advanced stats, 2023 Interior defensive line

NFL stats →

2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular interior defensive line: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Tackles

20

2th percentile

Sacks

0.0

6th percentile

Pressures

4

20th percentile

QB hits

5

29th percentile

Tackles for loss

0

3th percentile

Forced fumbles

0

31th percentile

Passes defended

3

77th percentile

Missed tackle rate

7.4 %

41th percentile

Defensive snaps

462

3th percentile

Games

16

Regular season. Data: nflverse (play-by-play, snap counts), Next Gen Stats, Pro Football Reference. EPA: expected points added. CPOE: completion percentage over expected.

2024 projection

NFL trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

80% of cases: 0.0 to 0.1

Games

16

WAR 2023

0.0

Games played

16

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per game, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average, over the games expected from his availability in the last two, adjusted for age.

Trend

→ Stable (+1)

  • 2021-0.1 WAR · -0.008 per game
  • 2022-0.1 WAR · -0.006 per game
  • 20230.0 WAR · 0.000 per game

The trend compares this season's WAR per game with last season's, weighted by games played.

Outlook, age included

-29 · 32 y.o. · the age when performance usually declines

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

56

Backup or prospect

PRS
Pass rush
64
RDF
Run defense
63
TCK
Tackling
73
DUR
Durability
67
EX
Experience
86
Why these ratings?
  • PRS — Pass rush : Pressures, sacks and QB hits, per snap
  • RDF — Run defense : Run tackles and tackles for loss, per snap
  • TCK — Tackling : Tackles made and missed tackles
  • DUR — Durability : Games played out of his team's, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the NFL

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR: the EPA (expected points added) of every play, above replacement level, shared among those who made it, then converted to wins (35.3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Pass rush26
Run defense17
Splash plays26
Tackling35

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Splash plays−0.06

Half the EPA of his sacks, interceptions, passes defended, forced fumbles, tackles for loss and QB hits, against his position's average per snap.

Coverage0.00

Yards allowed per target against his position's average, 0.12 points per yard (measured).

Position share+0.07

Replacement level: the share of defense the league spends on his position (by payroll), prorated by snaps.

Team defense0.00

How much better or worse than average his team's defense was (EPA allowed), minus what is already credited to players, prorated by snaps.

The individual part is splash plays and coverage. The rest is the position share and his team's defense, split by snaps played.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGWARPALOVTklSacksPrssTFL
2023DEN160.01256200.040
2022DEN17-0.12062401.571
2021DEN13-0.1857290.030

Mike Purcell: frequently asked questions

What are Mike Purcell's stats in 2023?

Mike Purcell has 0 sacks and 5 QB hits in 16 games in 2023.

How old is Mike Purcell?

Mike Purcell is 35 years old: he was born on April 20, 1991.

How tall is Mike Purcell, and how much does he weigh?

Mike Purcell is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 328 lb (149 kg).

Where is Mike Purcell from?

United States: Mike Purcell was born in Highlands Ranch, CO, in the United States.

What team does Mike Purcell play for?

Mike Purcell plays for the New England Patriots in the NFL, at DT, wearing number 58.

How good is Mike Purcell?

Mike Purcell produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023, 53rd of 71 players at his position in the NFL. His PAL rating is 12 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Mike Purcell a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 53rd of 71 players at his position in the NFL in 2023. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Mike Purcell getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 20 in 2022 to 12 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What is Mike Purcell's projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 0.0 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.

See also: his New England Patriots teammates

Full roster →